Opinion Poll by RASS for Πρώτο Θέμα, 6–8 March 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 35.8% 33.9–37.8% 33.4–38.4% 32.9–38.9% 32.0–39.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 23.4% 21.7–25.1% 21.2–25.6% 20.8–26.1% 20.1–26.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 12.4% 11.1–13.8% 10.8–14.2% 10.5–14.6% 9.9–15.3%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 8.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.7–11.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.7–10.1%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 3.7% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 146 140–152 140–155 138–155 135–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 62 58–67 56–70 56–70 54–74
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 34 29–37 29–39 29–39 26–41
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 24 21–27 20–28 19–29 18–31
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 21 18–24 17–25 17–25 15–27
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–13
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 10 8 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–12

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0.1% 100%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.3% 99.9%  
135 0.6% 99.6%  
136 0.3% 99.1%  
137 0.6% 98.8%  
138 1.4% 98%  
139 2% 97%  
140 5% 95%  
141 8% 90%  
142 4% 82%  
143 4% 78%  
144 6% 74%  
145 14% 69%  
146 7% 55% Median
147 15% 48%  
148 4% 33%  
149 9% 29%  
150 4% 20%  
151 5% 17% Majority
152 3% 12%  
153 2% 9%  
154 1.0% 7%  
155 4% 6%  
156 0.6% 2%  
157 0.5% 1.3%  
158 0.3% 0.8%  
159 0.2% 0.5%  
160 0.1% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.7%  
54 0.8% 99.5%  
55 1.2% 98.7%  
56 3% 98%  
57 2% 95%  
58 6% 93%  
59 3% 87%  
60 12% 84%  
61 9% 72%  
62 14% 63% Median
63 5% 49%  
64 8% 44%  
65 6% 37%  
66 17% 30%  
67 4% 13%  
68 3% 10%  
69 2% 7%  
70 3% 5%  
71 0.7% 2%  
72 0.7% 2%  
73 0.3% 1.0%  
74 0.5% 0.7%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0.4% 99.9%  
27 0.4% 99.4%  
28 1.4% 99.0%  
29 8% 98%  
30 5% 90%  
31 8% 85%  
32 9% 77%  
33 17% 68%  
34 17% 51% Median
35 7% 34%  
36 8% 27%  
37 11% 19%  
38 2% 8%  
39 4% 6%  
40 0.6% 2%  
41 0.4% 0.9%  
42 0.3% 0.5%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.2% 100%  
18 0.7% 99.8% Last Result
19 2% 99.1%  
20 6% 97%  
21 9% 91%  
22 13% 81%  
23 9% 68%  
24 23% 60% Median
25 14% 37%  
26 10% 24%  
27 7% 13%  
28 2% 6%  
29 2% 3%  
30 0.6% 2%  
31 0.7% 1.0%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
16 2% 99.5%  
17 5% 98%  
18 10% 93%  
19 11% 83%  
20 18% 72%  
21 18% 54% Median
22 13% 37%  
23 9% 24%  
24 7% 15%  
25 6% 8%  
26 1.0% 2%  
27 0.5% 0.9%  
28 0.2% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 0% 78%  
5 0% 78%  
6 0% 78%  
7 0% 78%  
8 16% 78%  
9 24% 62% Last Result, Median
10 17% 38%  
11 15% 20%  
12 3% 5%  
13 1.4% 2%  
14 0.3% 0.5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100%  
1 0% 55%  
2 0% 55%  
3 0% 55%  
4 0% 55%  
5 0% 55%  
6 0% 55%  
7 0% 55%  
8 12% 55% Median
9 24% 42%  
10 10% 18% Last Result
11 6% 8%  
12 1.5% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 180 100% 172–186 171–188 171–190 168–194
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 146 17% 140–152 140–155 138–155 135–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 155 68 0% 61–75 60–77 58–77 55–80
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 62 0% 58–67 56–70 56–70 54–74

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0.2% 99.8%  
168 0.2% 99.5%  
169 0.7% 99.4%  
170 0.6% 98.7%  
171 4% 98%  
172 4% 94%  
173 3% 90%  
174 4% 87%  
175 3% 83%  
176 5% 80%  
177 5% 76%  
178 7% 70%  
179 13% 63%  
180 12% 50% Median
181 5% 38%  
182 2% 32%  
183 4% 31%  
184 3% 27%  
185 6% 24%  
186 10% 17%  
187 2% 7%  
188 2% 5%  
189 1.3% 4%  
190 0.9% 3%  
191 0.5% 2%  
192 0.1% 1.2%  
193 0.5% 1.1%  
194 0.3% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0.1% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0.1% 100%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.3% 99.9%  
135 0.6% 99.6%  
136 0.3% 99.1%  
137 0.6% 98.8%  
138 1.4% 98%  
139 2% 97%  
140 5% 95%  
141 8% 90%  
142 4% 82%  
143 4% 78%  
144 6% 74%  
145 14% 69%  
146 7% 55% Median
147 15% 48%  
148 4% 33%  
149 9% 29%  
150 4% 20%  
151 5% 17% Majority
152 3% 12%  
153 2% 9%  
154 1.0% 7%  
155 4% 6%  
156 0.6% 2%  
157 0.5% 1.3%  
158 0.3% 0.8%  
159 0.2% 0.5%  
160 0.1% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0.5% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.5%  
57 0.4% 99.3%  
58 2% 98.9%  
59 1.3% 97%  
60 1.3% 96%  
61 7% 95%  
62 5% 87%  
63 3% 82%  
64 4% 79%  
65 6% 74%  
66 16% 68%  
67 1.3% 52%  
68 2% 51%  
69 9% 49%  
70 6% 40% Median
71 9% 34%  
72 2% 24%  
73 2% 22%  
74 8% 21%  
75 5% 12%  
76 2% 8%  
77 3% 6%  
78 0.3% 2%  
79 0.8% 2%  
80 1.0% 1.3%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.7%  
54 0.8% 99.5%  
55 1.2% 98.7%  
56 3% 98%  
57 2% 95%  
58 6% 93%  
59 3% 87%  
60 12% 84%  
61 9% 72%  
62 14% 63% Median
63 5% 49%  
64 8% 44%  
65 6% 37%  
66 17% 30%  
67 4% 13%  
68 3% 10%  
69 2% 7%  
70 3% 5%  
71 0.7% 2%  
72 0.7% 2%  
73 0.3% 1.0%  
74 0.5% 0.7%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations