Opinion Poll by Palmos Analysis for TVXS, 12–15 April 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 32.5% 30.7–34.4% 30.1–35.0% 29.7–35.5% 28.8–36.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 25.5% 23.8–27.3% 23.3–27.8% 22.9–28.3% 22.1–29.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.2% 7.8–11.5% 7.4–12.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 8.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 3.7% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–4.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 144 139–151 137–152 135–154 132–157
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 74 68–80 67–81 66–82 63–86
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 28 24–31 23–32 23–33 21–35
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 25 22–28 21–30 20–30 19–32
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 22 19–25 18–26 17–27 16–29
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–13
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 10 0 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–11

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0% 99.8%  
93 0% 99.8%  
94 0% 99.8%  
95 0% 99.8%  
96 0% 99.8%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0.1% 99.7%  
132 0.2% 99.6%  
133 0.4% 99.4%  
134 0.7% 99.0%  
135 1.0% 98%  
136 2% 97%  
137 2% 96%  
138 3% 93%  
139 5% 91%  
140 6% 86%  
141 9% 80%  
142 9% 71%  
143 8% 63%  
144 10% 55% Median
145 7% 45%  
146 8% 38%  
147 6% 30%  
148 6% 24%  
149 4% 18%  
150 4% 14%  
151 2% 10% Majority
152 3% 8%  
153 1.4% 5%  
154 1.2% 3%  
155 0.9% 2%  
156 0.5% 1.1%  
157 0.3% 0.5%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0.1% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.7%  
64 0.3% 99.5%  
65 0.9% 99.2%  
66 2% 98%  
67 4% 96%  
68 3% 92%  
69 3% 89%  
70 4% 86%  
71 7% 82%  
72 9% 75%  
73 12% 65%  
74 11% 53% Median
75 7% 42%  
76 7% 35%  
77 7% 28%  
78 5% 21%  
79 6% 16%  
80 3% 11%  
81 3% 7%  
82 1.5% 4%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.5% 2%  
85 0.6% 1.2%  
86 0.2% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.2% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.8%  
22 1.4% 99.3%  
23 3% 98%  
24 6% 95%  
25 10% 89%  
26 11% 79%  
27 15% 68%  
28 14% 53% Median
29 13% 38%  
30 9% 26%  
31 8% 17%  
32 4% 9%  
33 2% 5%  
34 1.3% 2%  
35 0.6% 1.1%  
36 0.3% 0.5%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0% 100% Last Result
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.3% 99.9%  
19 0.8% 99.6%  
20 2% 98.8%  
21 6% 97%  
22 10% 91%  
23 12% 81%  
24 12% 69%  
25 17% 57% Median
26 13% 40%  
27 10% 27%  
28 7% 17%  
29 4% 10%  
30 3% 6%  
31 1.4% 2%  
32 0.7% 1.0%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.5% 99.9%  
17 3% 99.4%  
18 3% 96% Last Result
19 5% 93%  
20 12% 89%  
21 25% 77%  
22 13% 52% Median
23 6% 38%  
24 13% 33%  
25 12% 19%  
26 4% 7%  
27 0.9% 3%  
28 2% 2%  
29 0.5% 0.8%  
30 0.2% 0.3%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100%  
1 0% 53%  
2 0% 53%  
3 0% 53%  
4 0% 53%  
5 0% 53%  
6 0% 53%  
7 0% 53%  
8 0.3% 53%  
9 22% 52% Last Result, Median
10 18% 30%  
11 6% 12%  
12 4% 5%  
13 1.1% 1.5%  
14 0.2% 0.3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 0% 17%  
5 0% 17%  
6 0% 17%  
7 0% 17%  
8 0.7% 17%  
9 9% 16%  
10 5% 7% Last Result
11 1.4% 2%  
12 0.4% 0.5%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 172 99.8% 166–179 164–181 162–182 158–185
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 144 10% 139–151 137–152 135–154 132–157
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 155 75 0% 70–82 68–84 67–86 65–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 74 0% 68–80 67–81 66–82 63–86

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.8%  
148 0% 99.8%  
149 0% 99.8%  
150 0% 99.8%  
151 0% 99.8% Majority
152 0% 99.8%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0% 99.8%  
155 0% 99.8%  
156 0% 99.8%  
157 0.1% 99.7%  
158 0.2% 99.6%  
159 0.2% 99.4%  
160 0.6% 99.2%  
161 0.7% 98.6%  
162 0.8% 98%  
163 2% 97%  
164 2% 95%  
165 2% 94%  
166 4% 91%  
167 6% 88%  
168 6% 82%  
169 7% 76%  
170 9% 69%  
171 7% 59%  
172 8% 52% Median
173 6% 45%  
174 8% 38%  
175 6% 30%  
176 5% 24%  
177 3% 19%  
178 5% 16%  
179 4% 12%  
180 2% 8%  
181 2% 6%  
182 2% 4%  
183 0.9% 2%  
184 0.5% 1.4%  
185 0.5% 0.9%  
186 0.2% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0% 99.8%  
93 0% 99.8%  
94 0% 99.8%  
95 0% 99.8%  
96 0% 99.8%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0.1% 99.7%  
132 0.2% 99.6%  
133 0.4% 99.4%  
134 0.7% 99.0%  
135 1.0% 98%  
136 2% 97%  
137 2% 96%  
138 3% 93%  
139 5% 91%  
140 6% 86%  
141 9% 80%  
142 9% 71%  
143 8% 63%  
144 10% 55% Median
145 7% 45%  
146 8% 38%  
147 6% 30%  
148 6% 24%  
149 4% 18%  
150 4% 14%  
151 2% 10% Majority
152 3% 8%  
153 1.4% 5%  
154 1.2% 3%  
155 0.9% 2%  
156 0.5% 1.1%  
157 0.3% 0.5%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0.1% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.6%  
66 1.2% 99.1%  
67 2% 98%  
68 2% 96%  
69 2% 94%  
70 4% 92%  
71 7% 88%  
72 7% 81%  
73 10% 74%  
74 9% 64% Median
75 7% 55%  
76 8% 48%  
77 7% 40%  
78 6% 33%  
79 6% 28%  
80 4% 22%  
81 5% 17%  
82 3% 12%  
83 3% 9%  
84 2% 6%  
85 2% 4%  
86 0.8% 3%  
87 0.6% 2%  
88 0.4% 1.4%  
89 0.3% 1.0%  
90 0.2% 0.7%  
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.7%  
64 0.3% 99.5%  
65 0.9% 99.2%  
66 2% 98%  
67 4% 96%  
68 3% 92%  
69 3% 89%  
70 4% 86%  
71 7% 82%  
72 9% 75%  
73 12% 65%  
74 11% 53% Median
75 7% 42%  
76 7% 35%  
77 7% 28%  
78 5% 21%  
79 6% 16%  
80 3% 11%  
81 3% 7%  
82 1.5% 4%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.5% 2%  
85 0.6% 1.2%  
86 0.2% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations