Opinion Poll by Public Issue, 23 April–7 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 39.0% 37.0–41.0% 36.5–41.5% 36.0–42.1% 35.1–43.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.7–22.6% 16.9–23.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.2–13.1% 8.6–13.7%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 8.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.1% 6.9–10.4% 6.4–11.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.7%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 3.7% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 161 155–166 153–169 152–169 149–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 56 52–61 52–64 49–64 48–65
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 30 27–35 27–36 26–36 25–40
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 24 21–27 21–29 20–30 18–32
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 16–22 15–22 15–22 13–25
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–15
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 10 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.2% 99.9%  
149 0.4% 99.7%  
150 0.3% 99.3%  
151 1.3% 99.0% Majority
152 1.3% 98%  
153 2% 96%  
154 2% 94%  
155 5% 92%  
156 3% 87%  
157 7% 84%  
158 7% 77%  
159 10% 70%  
160 7% 60%  
161 17% 53% Median
162 6% 36%  
163 5% 30%  
164 7% 24%  
165 5% 17%  
166 4% 13%  
167 3% 9%  
168 0.7% 6%  
169 3% 5%  
170 0.9% 2%  
171 0.6% 1.3%  
172 0.4% 0.7%  
173 0.2% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.4% 99.8%  
49 3% 99.5%  
50 0.3% 96%  
51 0.5% 96%  
52 12% 96%  
53 5% 84%  
54 2% 79%  
55 2% 77%  
56 27% 75% Median
57 10% 48%  
58 4% 38%  
59 5% 34%  
60 7% 29%  
61 14% 22%  
62 2% 8%  
63 0.7% 6%  
64 4% 5%  
65 0.8% 1.2%  
66 0.1% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.4% 99.9%  
25 0.5% 99.5%  
26 2% 99.0%  
27 8% 97%  
28 10% 90%  
29 26% 80%  
30 9% 54% Median
31 8% 45%  
32 12% 37%  
33 7% 25%  
34 6% 18%  
35 6% 11%  
36 3% 5%  
37 1.0% 2%  
38 0.6% 1.4%  
39 0.2% 0.7%  
40 0.4% 0.5%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.2% 100%  
18 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
19 0.8% 99.3%  
20 3% 98%  
21 9% 96%  
22 11% 87%  
23 6% 76%  
24 31% 69% Median
25 18% 38%  
26 8% 21%  
27 3% 13%  
28 4% 10%  
29 3% 6%  
30 2% 3%  
31 0.7% 1.2%  
32 0.4% 0.5%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.6% 99.9%  
14 1.1% 99.3%  
15 4% 98% Last Result
16 9% 94%  
17 12% 85%  
18 19% 73%  
19 9% 53% Median
20 31% 44%  
21 3% 14%  
22 8% 11%  
23 0.5% 2%  
24 1.4% 2%  
25 0.2% 0.5%  
26 0.3% 0.4%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 0.1% 84%  
9 19% 84% Last Result
10 31% 65% Median
11 16% 34%  
12 11% 18%  
13 5% 7%  
14 1.3% 2%  
15 0.6% 0.8%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 190 100% 186–197 184–199 183–202 180–204
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 161 99.0% 155–166 153–169 152–169 149–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 155 56 0% 52–61 52–64 49–64 48–65
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 56 0% 52–61 52–64 49–64 48–65

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0.1% 99.8%  
180 0.2% 99.7%  
181 0.5% 99.5%  
182 0.7% 99.0%  
183 2% 98%  
184 1.4% 96%  
185 3% 95%  
186 9% 92%  
187 5% 83%  
188 5% 78%  
189 5% 72%  
190 20% 67%  
191 6% 48% Median
192 6% 41%  
193 5% 36%  
194 5% 31%  
195 8% 26%  
196 5% 18%  
197 5% 14%  
198 2% 9%  
199 2% 6%  
200 0.5% 4%  
201 0.7% 4%  
202 2% 3%  
203 0.1% 0.7%  
204 0.3% 0.6%  
205 0.2% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.2% 99.9%  
149 0.4% 99.7%  
150 0.3% 99.3%  
151 1.3% 99.0% Majority
152 1.3% 98%  
153 2% 96%  
154 2% 94%  
155 5% 92%  
156 3% 87%  
157 7% 84%  
158 7% 77%  
159 10% 70%  
160 7% 60%  
161 17% 53% Median
162 6% 36%  
163 5% 30%  
164 7% 24%  
165 5% 17%  
166 4% 13%  
167 3% 9%  
168 0.7% 6%  
169 3% 5%  
170 0.9% 2%  
171 0.6% 1.3%  
172 0.4% 0.7%  
173 0.2% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.4% 99.8%  
49 3% 99.5%  
50 0.3% 96%  
51 0.5% 96%  
52 12% 96%  
53 5% 84%  
54 2% 79%  
55 2% 77%  
56 27% 75% Median
57 10% 48%  
58 4% 39%  
59 5% 34%  
60 7% 29%  
61 14% 22%  
62 2% 9%  
63 0.7% 6%  
64 4% 6%  
65 0.9% 1.3%  
66 0.2% 0.5%  
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.4% 99.8%  
49 3% 99.5%  
50 0.3% 96%  
51 0.5% 96%  
52 12% 96%  
53 5% 84%  
54 2% 79%  
55 2% 77%  
56 27% 75% Median
57 10% 48%  
58 4% 38%  
59 5% 34%  
60 7% 29%  
61 14% 22%  
62 2% 8%  
63 0.7% 6%  
64 4% 5%  
65 0.8% 1.2%  
66 0.1% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations