Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Τα Νέα, 26–28 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 36.7% 34.8–38.7% 34.2–39.2% 33.8–39.7% 32.8–40.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 22.6% 21.0–24.4% 20.5–24.9% 20.1–25.3% 19.3–26.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.6%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 3.7% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 153 147–160 145–161 144–163 143–168
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 64 60–66 57–68 57–73 55–75
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 28 26–31 24–33 22–35 21–37
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 22 20–27 20–28 19–28 16–30
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 16–24 16–24 14–26
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 10 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
Ελληνική Λύση 0 0 0–10 0–10 0–11 0–13
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 10 0 0 0–8 0–9 0–9
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.2% 99.7%  
144 4% 99.5%  
145 0.5% 95%  
146 4% 95%  
147 2% 91%  
148 13% 90%  
149 5% 77%  
150 3% 72%  
151 1.4% 69% Majority
152 0.4% 68%  
153 31% 67% Median
154 7% 36%  
155 4% 29%  
156 9% 26%  
157 1.0% 17%  
158 3% 16%  
159 0.7% 13%  
160 3% 12%  
161 4% 9%  
162 0.9% 5%  
163 2% 4%  
164 0.1% 2%  
165 1.3% 2%  
166 0.1% 0.7%  
167 0% 0.6%  
168 0.2% 0.6%  
169 0.2% 0.4%  
170 0.2% 0.2%  
171 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 0.1% 99.6%  
55 0.2% 99.6%  
56 1.2% 99.4%  
57 3% 98%  
58 2% 95%  
59 1.4% 93%  
60 5% 92%  
61 4% 87%  
62 7% 83%  
63 8% 76%  
64 33% 68% Median
65 7% 35%  
66 20% 28%  
67 1.5% 8%  
68 1.5% 6%  
69 1.0% 5%  
70 0.5% 4%  
71 0.5% 3%  
72 0.1% 3%  
73 2% 3%  
74 0.5% 1.0%  
75 0.1% 0.5%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.8% 99.9%  
22 2% 99.1%  
23 2% 97%  
24 0.3% 95%  
25 0.7% 95%  
26 10% 94%  
27 20% 84%  
28 16% 64% Median
29 10% 48%  
30 26% 38%  
31 3% 11%  
32 1.2% 9%  
33 5% 7%  
34 0.3% 3%  
35 1.0% 3%  
36 0.6% 2%  
37 0.9% 1.0%  
38 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.9% 100%  
17 0.4% 99.1%  
18 0.9% 98.7% Last Result
19 1.2% 98%  
20 35% 96%  
21 10% 62%  
22 17% 52% Median
23 7% 35%  
24 7% 28%  
25 6% 20%  
26 2% 15%  
27 4% 13%  
28 6% 9%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.3% 0.6%  
31 0.1% 0.3%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 1.1% 99.8%  
15 1.0% 98.8% Last Result
16 5% 98%  
17 7% 93%  
18 23% 86%  
19 7% 63%  
20 9% 56% Median
21 5% 47%  
22 30% 42%  
23 7% 12%  
24 3% 5%  
25 0.7% 2%  
26 0.9% 1.1%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100%  
1 0% 80%  
2 0% 80%  
3 0% 80%  
4 0% 80%  
5 0% 80%  
6 0% 80%  
7 0% 80%  
8 0.3% 80%  
9 23% 79% Last Result
10 10% 56% Median
11 41% 46%  
12 3% 5%  
13 1.5% 2%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 64% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 36%  
2 0% 36%  
3 0% 36%  
4 0% 36%  
5 0% 36%  
6 0% 36%  
7 0% 36%  
8 0.7% 36%  
9 12% 35%  
10 20% 23%  
11 1.0% 3%  
12 0.8% 2%  
13 1.2% 1.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 0% 6%  
5 0% 6%  
6 0% 6%  
7 0% 6%  
8 1.4% 6%  
9 4% 5%  
10 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0% 0.3%  
5 0% 0.3%  
6 0% 0.3%  
7 0% 0.3%  
8 0% 0.3%  
9 0.2% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 183 100% 175–189 173–191 173–193 171–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 153 69% 147–160 145–161 144–163 143–168
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 155 64 0% 60–69 57–71 57–73 55–76
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 64 0% 60–66 57–68 57–73 55–75

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.1% 99.8%  
171 0.4% 99.7%  
172 2% 99.2%  
173 4% 98%  
174 3% 94%  
175 15% 91%  
176 4% 76%  
177 1.1% 72%  
178 1.2% 71%  
179 5% 70%  
180 3% 65%  
181 2% 62% Median
182 8% 60%  
183 27% 53%  
184 6% 25%  
185 1.2% 19%  
186 0.5% 18%  
187 3% 18%  
188 1.5% 15%  
189 5% 13%  
190 3% 8%  
191 1.1% 5%  
192 1.2% 4%  
193 1.4% 3%  
194 0% 2%  
195 0.1% 2%  
196 0% 1.5%  
197 1.3% 1.4%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.2% 99.7%  
144 4% 99.5%  
145 0.5% 95%  
146 4% 95%  
147 2% 91%  
148 13% 90%  
149 5% 77%  
150 3% 72%  
151 1.4% 69% Majority
152 0.4% 68%  
153 31% 67% Median
154 7% 36%  
155 4% 29%  
156 9% 26%  
157 1.0% 17%  
158 3% 16%  
159 0.7% 13%  
160 3% 12%  
161 4% 9%  
162 0.9% 5%  
163 2% 4%  
164 0.1% 2%  
165 1.3% 2%  
166 0.1% 0.7%  
167 0% 0.6%  
168 0.2% 0.6%  
169 0.2% 0.4%  
170 0.2% 0.2%  
171 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 0% 99.6%  
55 0.1% 99.6%  
56 1.2% 99.5%  
57 3% 98%  
58 1.3% 95%  
59 1.3% 94%  
60 4% 92%  
61 3% 88%  
62 4% 85%  
63 7% 81%  
64 33% 74% Median
65 7% 41%  
66 20% 33%  
67 2% 14%  
68 2% 12%  
69 1.0% 10%  
70 1.1% 9%  
71 5% 8%  
72 0.2% 3%  
73 2% 3%  
74 0.4% 1.4%  
75 0.4% 1.0%  
76 0.3% 0.5%  
77 0% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 0.1% 99.6%  
55 0.2% 99.6%  
56 1.2% 99.4%  
57 3% 98%  
58 2% 95%  
59 1.4% 93%  
60 5% 92%  
61 4% 87%  
62 7% 83%  
63 8% 76%  
64 33% 68% Median
65 7% 35%  
66 20% 28%  
67 1.5% 8%  
68 1.5% 6%  
69 1.0% 5%  
70 0.5% 4%  
71 0.5% 3%  
72 0.1% 3%  
73 2% 3%  
74 0.5% 1.0%  
75 0.1% 0.5%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations