Opinion Poll by MRB for Real, 22–29 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 36.8% 35.4–38.2% 35.0–38.6% 34.7–38.9% 34.0–39.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 25.2% 24.0–26.5% 23.6–26.8% 23.3–27.2% 22.8–27.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 10.6% 9.8–11.5% 9.5–11.8% 9.3–12.0% 8.9–12.5%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 8.4% 7.7–9.3% 7.4–9.5% 7.3–9.7% 6.9–10.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–7.9% 5.9–8.1% 5.5–8.5%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.8–4.1% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.6%
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 3.7% 2.1% 1.7–2.6% 1.6–2.7% 1.6–2.8% 1.4–3.1%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.7% 0.9–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 151 147–156 146–157 145–158 143–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 69 66–72 65–74 64–75 62–76
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 30 27–32 26–33 26–33 24–34
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 24 20–26 20–26 19–27 19–28
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–21 17–22 16–22 16–23
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 10 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–12
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 10 0 0 0 0 0–9
Ελληνική Λύση 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0.3% 99.9%  
143 0.8% 99.7%  
144 1.1% 98.9%  
145 1.0% 98%  
146 3% 97%  
147 8% 94%  
148 13% 86%  
149 7% 73%  
150 12% 66%  
151 11% 54% Median, Majority
152 16% 43%  
153 3% 27%  
154 6% 24%  
155 3% 18%  
156 6% 15%  
157 6% 9%  
158 0.7% 3%  
159 2% 2%  
160 0.2% 0.4%  
161 0.2% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.7% 99.7%  
63 0.5% 99.1%  
64 1.1% 98.6%  
65 4% 97%  
66 6% 93%  
67 10% 87%  
68 12% 78%  
69 26% 66% Median
70 19% 40%  
71 6% 20%  
72 6% 14%  
73 2% 8%  
74 3% 6%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.4% 2%  
77 0.2% 0.5%  
78 0.2% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.5% 99.9%  
25 1.4% 99.5%  
26 5% 98%  
27 11% 93%  
28 9% 82%  
29 22% 73%  
30 18% 51% Median
31 20% 33%  
32 7% 13%  
33 5% 6%  
34 0.6% 0.9%  
35 0.3% 0.4%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100% Last Result
19 3% 99.8%  
20 10% 97%  
21 9% 87%  
22 17% 78%  
23 10% 61%  
24 27% 50% Median
25 12% 23%  
26 8% 11%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.7% 1.0%  
29 0.2% 0.3%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.4% 100% Last Result
16 4% 99.6%  
17 13% 96%  
18 20% 83%  
19 22% 63% Median
20 22% 40%  
21 11% 19%  
22 7% 8%  
23 0.6% 1.0%  
24 0.4% 0.5%  
25 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100%  
1 0% 80%  
2 0% 80%  
3 0% 80%  
4 0% 80%  
5 0% 80%  
6 0% 80%  
7 0% 80%  
8 9% 80%  
9 20% 72% Last Result
10 21% 52% Median
11 28% 31%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0% 0.8%  
5 0% 0.8%  
6 0% 0.8%  
7 0% 0.8%  
8 0.1% 0.8%  
9 0.6% 0.6%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 180 100% 177–186 175–187 174–188 172–190
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 151 54% 147–156 146–157 145–158 143–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 155 69 0% 66–72 65–74 65–75 62–77
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 69 0% 66–72 65–74 64–75 62–76

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0.1% 100%  
171 0.2% 99.9%  
172 0.7% 99.7%  
173 0.8% 99.0%  
174 2% 98%  
175 3% 97%  
176 3% 94%  
177 13% 91%  
178 12% 78%  
179 8% 66%  
180 13% 58%  
181 5% 46% Median
182 11% 41%  
183 8% 30%  
184 4% 22%  
185 6% 18%  
186 6% 12%  
187 3% 6%  
188 2% 3%  
189 0.2% 0.8%  
190 0.4% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.2% 0.2%  
193 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0.3% 99.9%  
143 0.8% 99.7%  
144 1.1% 98.9%  
145 1.0% 98%  
146 3% 97%  
147 8% 94%  
148 13% 86%  
149 7% 73%  
150 12% 66%  
151 11% 54% Median, Majority
152 16% 43%  
153 3% 27%  
154 6% 24%  
155 3% 18%  
156 6% 15%  
157 6% 9%  
158 0.7% 3%  
159 2% 2%  
160 0.2% 0.4%  
161 0.2% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.7% 99.7%  
63 0.5% 99.1%  
64 1.1% 98.6%  
65 4% 98%  
66 6% 93%  
67 9% 87%  
68 12% 78%  
69 26% 66% Median
70 19% 40%  
71 6% 21%  
72 6% 15%  
73 2% 9%  
74 3% 7%  
75 2% 4%  
76 2% 2%  
77 0.6% 1.0%  
78 0.3% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.7% 99.7%  
63 0.5% 99.1%  
64 1.1% 98.6%  
65 4% 97%  
66 6% 93%  
67 10% 87%  
68 12% 78%  
69 26% 66% Median
70 19% 40%  
71 6% 20%  
72 6% 14%  
73 2% 8%  
74 3% 6%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.4% 2%  
77 0.2% 0.5%  
78 0.2% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations