Opinion Poll by MRB for real.gr, 28 November–6 December 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 37.1% 35.7–38.5% 35.3–38.9% 35.0–39.2% 34.4–39.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 27.6% 26.3–28.9% 26.0–29.3% 25.7–29.6% 25.1–30.2%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 8.1% 7.4–8.9% 7.1–9.2% 7.0–9.4% 6.6–9.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 8.1% 7.4–8.9% 7.1–9.2% 7.0–9.4% 6.6–9.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 7.1% 6.4–7.9% 6.2–8.1% 6.1–8.3% 5.7–8.7%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 2.7% 2.3–3.2% 2.2–3.4% 2.1–3.5% 1.9–3.8%
Το Ποτάμι 4.1% 1.7% 1.4–2.1% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6%
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 3.7% 1.7% 1.4–2.1% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 1.5% 1.2–1.9% 1.1–2.0% 1.1–2.1% 0.9–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 154 151–159 149–160 148–161 146–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 78 74–82 73–82 72–83 70–85
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 23 21–25 20–26 20–27 19–28
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 23 21–25 20–26 20–26 19–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 18–22 18–23 17–23 16–25
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0–9 0–9 0–10 0–10
Το Ποτάμι 11 0 0 0 0 0
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 10 0 0 0 0 0
Ελληνική Λύση 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 100%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.2% 99.8%  
146 0.6% 99.6%  
147 0.5% 99.0%  
148 2% 98.5%  
149 2% 97%  
150 4% 95%  
151 10% 91% Majority
152 5% 81%  
153 19% 76%  
154 7% 56% Median
155 11% 50%  
156 9% 39%  
157 7% 30%  
158 12% 24%  
159 5% 11%  
160 2% 6%  
161 3% 4%  
162 0.8% 1.4%  
163 0.4% 0.7%  
164 0.2% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 1.1% 99.4%  
72 2% 98%  
73 4% 96%  
74 4% 92%  
75 5% 88%  
76 11% 82%  
77 13% 72%  
78 19% 59% Median
79 10% 39%  
80 11% 29%  
81 5% 18%  
82 9% 13%  
83 2% 4%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 1.2% 2%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.3% 100% Last Result
19 1.0% 99.7%  
20 9% 98.7%  
21 13% 90%  
22 18% 77%  
23 27% 59% Median
24 18% 32%  
25 7% 14%  
26 4% 7%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.6% 0.8%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0.4% 100%  
19 1.4% 99.5%  
20 8% 98%  
21 14% 91%  
22 21% 77%  
23 24% 56% Median
24 18% 32%  
25 8% 14%  
26 4% 6%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0.3% 0.5%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100% Last Result
16 0.7% 99.8%  
17 4% 99.1%  
18 10% 95%  
19 27% 86%  
20 18% 59% Median
21 22% 41%  
22 11% 19%  
23 6% 8%  
24 1.0% 2%  
25 0.5% 0.6%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Median
1 0% 20%  
2 0% 20%  
3 0% 20%  
4 0% 20%  
5 0% 20%  
6 0% 20%  
7 0% 20%  
8 4% 20%  
9 13% 16% Last Result
10 3% 3%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Το Ποτάμι

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Το Ποτάμι page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0% Last Result

Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 177 100% 173–181 172–183 171–183 168–186
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής – Το Ποτάμι 103 177 100% 173–181 172–183 171–183 168–186
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 154 91% 151–159 149–160 148–161 146–163
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Το Ποτάμι 86 154 91% 151–159 149–160 148–161 146–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 155 78 0% 74–82 73–82 72–83 70–85
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 78 0% 74–82 73–82 72–83 70–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0.2% 99.9%  
167 0.2% 99.8%  
168 0.3% 99.6%  
169 0.7% 99.3%  
170 0.9% 98.6%  
171 3% 98%  
172 5% 95%  
173 3% 90%  
174 4% 87%  
175 10% 83%  
176 14% 73%  
177 13% 59% Median
178 9% 46%  
179 6% 37%  
180 15% 31%  
181 6% 16%  
182 4% 10%  
183 4% 6%  
184 0.8% 2%  
185 0.8% 2%  
186 0.7% 0.9%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής – Το Ποτάμι

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100% Last Result
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0.2% 99.9%  
167 0.2% 99.8%  
168 0.3% 99.6%  
169 0.7% 99.3%  
170 0.9% 98.6%  
171 3% 98%  
172 5% 95%  
173 3% 90%  
174 4% 87%  
175 10% 83%  
176 14% 73%  
177 13% 59% Median
178 9% 46%  
179 6% 37%  
180 15% 31%  
181 6% 16%  
182 4% 10%  
183 4% 6%  
184 0.8% 2%  
185 0.8% 2%  
186 0.7% 0.9%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 100%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.2% 99.8%  
146 0.6% 99.6%  
147 0.5% 99.0%  
148 2% 98.5%  
149 2% 97%  
150 4% 95%  
151 10% 91% Majority
152 5% 81%  
153 19% 76%  
154 7% 56% Median
155 11% 50%  
156 9% 39%  
157 7% 30%  
158 12% 24%  
159 5% 11%  
160 2% 6%  
161 3% 4%  
162 0.8% 1.4%  
163 0.4% 0.7%  
164 0.2% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Το Ποτάμι

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100% Last Result
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 100%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.2% 99.8%  
146 0.6% 99.6%  
147 0.5% 99.0%  
148 2% 98.5%  
149 2% 97%  
150 4% 95%  
151 10% 91% Majority
152 5% 81%  
153 19% 76%  
154 7% 57% Median
155 11% 50%  
156 9% 39%  
157 7% 30%  
158 12% 24%  
159 5% 11%  
160 2% 6%  
161 3% 4%  
162 0.8% 1.4%  
163 0.4% 0.7%  
164 0.2% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 1.1% 99.4%  
72 2% 98%  
73 4% 96%  
74 4% 92%  
75 5% 88%  
76 11% 82%  
77 13% 72%  
78 19% 59% Median
79 10% 39%  
80 11% 29%  
81 5% 18%  
82 9% 13%  
83 2% 4%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 1.2% 2%  
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 1.1% 99.4%  
72 2% 98%  
73 4% 96%  
74 4% 92%  
75 5% 88%  
76 11% 82%  
77 13% 72%  
78 19% 59% Median
79 10% 39%  
80 11% 29%  
81 5% 18%  
82 9% 13%  
83 2% 4%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 1.2% 2%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

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