Opinion Poll by Vox Pop Analysis for Documento, 18–20 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 30.5% 28.7–32.4% 28.2–33.0% 27.7–33.4% 26.9–34.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 28.2% 26.4–30.1% 25.9–30.6% 25.5–31.1% 24.7–32.0%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 5.8% 5.0–6.9% 4.7–7.2% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–8.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Το Ποτάμι 4.1% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.9%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 3.7% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 149 93–155 92–157 90–158 87–161
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 92 85–148 83–150 82–151 80–154
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 25 22–29 21–30 20–31 19–33
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 19 16–23 15–23 14–25 13–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 12–18 11–18 10–19 0–21
Το Ποτάμι 11 0 0 0 0 0
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0 0
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 10 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.7%  
88 0.5% 99.5%  
89 0.6% 98.9%  
90 2% 98%  
91 2% 97%  
92 3% 95%  
93 4% 92%  
94 6% 87%  
95 2% 81%  
96 2% 80%  
97 1.0% 77%  
98 0.4% 76%  
99 0.3% 76%  
100 0.1% 76%  
101 0% 75%  
102 0% 75%  
103 0% 75%  
104 0% 75%  
105 0% 75%  
106 0% 75%  
107 0% 75%  
108 0% 75%  
109 0% 75%  
110 0% 75%  
111 0% 75%  
112 0% 75%  
113 0% 75%  
114 0% 75%  
115 0% 75%  
116 0% 75%  
117 0% 75%  
118 0% 75%  
119 0% 75%  
120 0% 75%  
121 0% 75%  
122 0% 75%  
123 0% 75%  
124 0% 75%  
125 0% 75%  
126 0% 75%  
127 0% 75%  
128 0% 75%  
129 0% 75%  
130 0% 75%  
131 0% 75%  
132 0% 75%  
133 0% 75%  
134 0% 75%  
135 0% 75%  
136 0% 75%  
137 0% 75%  
138 0% 75%  
139 0% 75%  
140 0% 75%  
141 0% 75%  
142 0.3% 75%  
143 0.4% 75%  
144 0.9% 75%  
145 4% 74%  
146 4% 70%  
147 6% 66%  
148 9% 59%  
149 7% 50% Median
150 8% 43%  
151 8% 35% Majority
152 6% 27%  
153 4% 21%  
154 5% 17%  
155 4% 12%  
156 3% 8%  
157 2% 5%  
158 1.0% 3%  
159 0.8% 2%  
160 0.5% 1.2%  
161 0.2% 0.7%  
162 0.2% 0.5%  
163 0.2% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.4% 99.6%  
81 0.8% 99.3%  
82 1.3% 98%  
83 2% 97%  
84 3% 95%  
85 4% 92%  
86 3% 89%  
87 5% 85%  
88 5% 80%  
89 5% 75%  
90 6% 71%  
91 9% 64%  
92 6% 55% Median
93 8% 49%  
94 6% 41%  
95 4% 35%  
96 3% 31%  
97 3% 29%  
98 1.2% 26%  
99 0.2% 25%  
100 0.1% 25%  
101 0% 25%  
102 0% 25%  
103 0% 25%  
104 0% 25%  
105 0% 25%  
106 0% 25%  
107 0% 25%  
108 0% 25%  
109 0% 25%  
110 0% 25%  
111 0% 25%  
112 0% 25%  
113 0% 25%  
114 0% 25%  
115 0% 25%  
116 0% 25%  
117 0% 25%  
118 0% 25%  
119 0% 25%  
120 0% 25%  
121 0% 25%  
122 0% 25%  
123 0% 25%  
124 0% 25%  
125 0% 25%  
126 0% 25%  
127 0% 25%  
128 0% 25%  
129 0% 25%  
130 0% 25%  
131 0% 25%  
132 0% 25%  
133 0% 25%  
134 0% 25%  
135 0% 25%  
136 0% 25%  
137 0% 25%  
138 0% 25%  
139 0% 25%  
140 0% 25%  
141 0.1% 25%  
142 0.1% 24%  
143 0.4% 24%  
144 1.1% 24%  
145 3% 23% Last Result
146 3% 20%  
147 4% 17%  
148 3% 13%  
149 3% 10%  
150 3% 7%  
151 2% 4% Majority
152 1.0% 2%  
153 0.6% 1.2%  
154 0.3% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
19 0.8% 99.7%  
20 2% 98.9%  
21 4% 97%  
22 6% 93%  
23 11% 87%  
24 14% 76%  
25 16% 62% Median
26 12% 46%  
27 9% 34%  
28 9% 24%  
29 6% 15%  
30 6% 9%  
31 2% 4%  
32 1.0% 2%  
33 0.4% 0.8%  
34 0.3% 0.4%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.8% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.0%  
15 6% 97%  
16 7% 91%  
17 15% 83% Last Result
18 14% 69%  
19 13% 55% Median
20 13% 42%  
21 11% 29%  
22 7% 18%  
23 6% 11%  
24 2% 4%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.5% 0.9%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 0% 99.3%  
2 0% 99.3%  
3 0% 99.3%  
4 0% 99.3%  
5 0% 99.3%  
6 0% 99.3%  
7 0% 99.3%  
8 0% 99.3%  
9 0% 99.3%  
10 2% 99.3%  
11 5% 97%  
12 8% 92%  
13 13% 84%  
14 20% 72%  
15 16% 51% Last Result, Median
16 14% 35%  
17 11% 21%  
18 6% 11%  
19 2% 4%  
20 1.1% 2%  
21 0.5% 0.7%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Το Ποτάμι

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Το Ποτάμι page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0% Last Result

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 167 75% 111–175 110–177 108–178 106–181
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής – Το Ποτάμι 103 167 75% 111–175 110–177 108–178 106–181
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 149 35% 93–155 92–157 90–158 87–161
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Το Ποτάμι 86 149 35% 93–155 92–157 90–158 87–161
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 155 92 4% 85–148 83–150 82–151 80–154
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 92 4% 85–148 83–150 82–151 80–154

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.4% 99.7%  
107 0.6% 99.3%  
108 1.4% 98.7%  
109 2% 97%  
110 4% 96%  
111 3% 92%  
112 3% 89%  
113 5% 86%  
114 2% 81%  
115 1.0% 79%  
116 2% 78%  
117 0.3% 76%  
118 0.2% 76%  
119 0.2% 76%  
120 0% 76%  
121 0% 75%  
122 0% 75%  
123 0% 75%  
124 0% 75%  
125 0% 75%  
126 0% 75%  
127 0% 75%  
128 0% 75%  
129 0% 75%  
130 0% 75%  
131 0% 75%  
132 0% 75%  
133 0% 75%  
134 0% 75%  
135 0% 75%  
136 0% 75%  
137 0% 75%  
138 0% 75%  
139 0% 75%  
140 0% 75%  
141 0% 75%  
142 0% 75%  
143 0% 75%  
144 0% 75%  
145 0% 75%  
146 0% 75%  
147 0% 75%  
148 0% 75%  
149 0% 75%  
150 0% 75%  
151 0% 75% Majority
152 0% 75%  
153 0% 75%  
154 0% 75%  
155 0% 75%  
156 0% 75%  
157 0% 75%  
158 0% 75%  
159 0.1% 75%  
160 0.2% 75%  
161 0.5% 75%  
162 1.0% 75%  
163 2% 74%  
164 4% 72%  
165 7% 68%  
166 3% 60%  
167 8% 57%  
168 6% 48% Median
169 6% 43%  
170 5% 36%  
171 6% 31%  
172 6% 25%  
173 5% 19%  
174 4% 15%  
175 2% 11%  
176 2% 8%  
177 2% 6%  
178 2% 4%  
179 0.9% 2%  
180 0.6% 1.2%  
181 0.3% 0.7%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής – Το Ποτάμι

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100% Last Result
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.4% 99.7%  
107 0.6% 99.3%  
108 1.4% 98.7%  
109 2% 97%  
110 4% 96%  
111 3% 92%  
112 3% 89%  
113 5% 86%  
114 2% 81%  
115 1.0% 79%  
116 2% 78%  
117 0.3% 76%  
118 0.2% 76%  
119 0.2% 76%  
120 0% 76%  
121 0% 75%  
122 0% 75%  
123 0% 75%  
124 0% 75%  
125 0% 75%  
126 0% 75%  
127 0% 75%  
128 0% 75%  
129 0% 75%  
130 0% 75%  
131 0% 75%  
132 0% 75%  
133 0% 75%  
134 0% 75%  
135 0% 75%  
136 0% 75%  
137 0% 75%  
138 0% 75%  
139 0% 75%  
140 0% 75%  
141 0% 75%  
142 0% 75%  
143 0% 75%  
144 0% 75%  
145 0% 75%  
146 0% 75%  
147 0% 75%  
148 0% 75%  
149 0% 75%  
150 0% 75%  
151 0% 75% Majority
152 0% 75%  
153 0% 75%  
154 0% 75%  
155 0% 75%  
156 0% 75%  
157 0% 75%  
158 0% 75%  
159 0.1% 75%  
160 0.2% 75%  
161 0.5% 75%  
162 1.0% 75%  
163 2% 74%  
164 4% 72%  
165 7% 68%  
166 3% 60%  
167 8% 57%  
168 6% 48% Median
169 6% 43%  
170 5% 36%  
171 6% 31%  
172 6% 25%  
173 5% 19%  
174 4% 15%  
175 2% 11%  
176 2% 8%  
177 2% 6%  
178 2% 4%  
179 0.9% 2%  
180 0.6% 1.2%  
181 0.3% 0.7%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.7%  
88 0.5% 99.5%  
89 0.6% 98.9%  
90 2% 98%  
91 2% 97%  
92 3% 95%  
93 4% 92%  
94 6% 87%  
95 2% 81%  
96 2% 80%  
97 1.0% 77%  
98 0.4% 76%  
99 0.3% 76%  
100 0.1% 76%  
101 0% 75%  
102 0% 75%  
103 0% 75%  
104 0% 75%  
105 0% 75%  
106 0% 75%  
107 0% 75%  
108 0% 75%  
109 0% 75%  
110 0% 75%  
111 0% 75%  
112 0% 75%  
113 0% 75%  
114 0% 75%  
115 0% 75%  
116 0% 75%  
117 0% 75%  
118 0% 75%  
119 0% 75%  
120 0% 75%  
121 0% 75%  
122 0% 75%  
123 0% 75%  
124 0% 75%  
125 0% 75%  
126 0% 75%  
127 0% 75%  
128 0% 75%  
129 0% 75%  
130 0% 75%  
131 0% 75%  
132 0% 75%  
133 0% 75%  
134 0% 75%  
135 0% 75%  
136 0% 75%  
137 0% 75%  
138 0% 75%  
139 0% 75%  
140 0% 75%  
141 0% 75%  
142 0.3% 75%  
143 0.4% 75%  
144 0.9% 75%  
145 4% 74%  
146 4% 70%  
147 6% 66%  
148 9% 59%  
149 7% 50% Median
150 8% 43%  
151 8% 35% Majority
152 6% 27%  
153 4% 21%  
154 5% 17%  
155 4% 12%  
156 3% 8%  
157 2% 5%  
158 1.0% 3%  
159 0.8% 2%  
160 0.5% 1.2%  
161 0.2% 0.7%  
162 0.2% 0.5%  
163 0.2% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Το Ποτάμι

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
87 0.2% 99.7%  
88 0.5% 99.5%  
89 0.6% 98.9%  
90 2% 98%  
91 2% 97%  
92 3% 95%  
93 4% 92%  
94 6% 87%  
95 2% 81%  
96 2% 80%  
97 1.0% 77%  
98 0.4% 76%  
99 0.3% 76%  
100 0.1% 76%  
101 0% 75%  
102 0% 75%  
103 0% 75%  
104 0% 75%  
105 0% 75%  
106 0% 75%  
107 0% 75%  
108 0% 75%  
109 0% 75%  
110 0% 75%  
111 0% 75%  
112 0% 75%  
113 0% 75%  
114 0% 75%  
115 0% 75%  
116 0% 75%  
117 0% 75%  
118 0% 75%  
119 0% 75%  
120 0% 75%  
121 0% 75%  
122 0% 75%  
123 0% 75%  
124 0% 75%  
125 0% 75%  
126 0% 75%  
127 0% 75%  
128 0% 75%  
129 0% 75%  
130 0% 75%  
131 0% 75%  
132 0% 75%  
133 0% 75%  
134 0% 75%  
135 0% 75%  
136 0% 75%  
137 0% 75%  
138 0% 75%  
139 0% 75%  
140 0% 75%  
141 0% 75%  
142 0.3% 75%  
143 0.4% 75%  
144 0.9% 75%  
145 4% 74%  
146 4% 70%  
147 6% 66%  
148 9% 59%  
149 7% 50% Median
150 8% 43%  
151 8% 35% Majority
152 6% 27%  
153 4% 21%  
154 5% 17%  
155 4% 12%  
156 3% 8%  
157 2% 5%  
158 1.0% 3%  
159 0.8% 2%  
160 0.5% 1.2%  
161 0.2% 0.7%  
162 0.2% 0.5%  
163 0.2% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.4% 99.6%  
81 0.8% 99.3%  
82 1.3% 98%  
83 2% 97%  
84 3% 95%  
85 4% 92%  
86 3% 89%  
87 5% 85%  
88 5% 80%  
89 5% 75%  
90 6% 71%  
91 9% 64%  
92 6% 55% Median
93 8% 49%  
94 6% 41%  
95 4% 35%  
96 3% 31%  
97 3% 29%  
98 1.2% 26%  
99 0.2% 25%  
100 0.1% 25%  
101 0% 25%  
102 0% 25%  
103 0% 25%  
104 0% 25%  
105 0% 25%  
106 0% 25%  
107 0% 25%  
108 0% 25%  
109 0% 25%  
110 0% 25%  
111 0% 25%  
112 0% 25%  
113 0% 25%  
114 0% 25%  
115 0% 25%  
116 0% 25%  
117 0% 25%  
118 0% 25%  
119 0% 25%  
120 0% 25%  
121 0% 25%  
122 0% 25%  
123 0% 25%  
124 0% 25%  
125 0% 25%  
126 0% 25%  
127 0% 25%  
128 0% 25%  
129 0% 25%  
130 0% 25%  
131 0% 25%  
132 0% 25%  
133 0% 25%  
134 0% 25%  
135 0% 25%  
136 0% 25%  
137 0% 25%  
138 0% 25%  
139 0% 25%  
140 0% 25%  
141 0.1% 25%  
142 0.1% 24%  
143 0.4% 24%  
144 1.1% 24%  
145 3% 23%  
146 3% 20%  
147 4% 17%  
148 3% 13%  
149 3% 10%  
150 3% 7%  
151 2% 4% Majority
152 1.0% 2%  
153 0.6% 1.2%  
154 0.3% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.4% 99.6%  
81 0.8% 99.3%  
82 1.3% 98%  
83 2% 97%  
84 3% 95%  
85 4% 92%  
86 3% 89%  
87 5% 85%  
88 5% 80%  
89 5% 75%  
90 6% 71%  
91 9% 64%  
92 6% 55% Median
93 8% 49%  
94 6% 41%  
95 4% 35%  
96 3% 31%  
97 3% 29%  
98 1.2% 26%  
99 0.2% 25%  
100 0.1% 25%  
101 0% 25%  
102 0% 25%  
103 0% 25%  
104 0% 25%  
105 0% 25%  
106 0% 25%  
107 0% 25%  
108 0% 25%  
109 0% 25%  
110 0% 25%  
111 0% 25%  
112 0% 25%  
113 0% 25%  
114 0% 25%  
115 0% 25%  
116 0% 25%  
117 0% 25%  
118 0% 25%  
119 0% 25%  
120 0% 25%  
121 0% 25%  
122 0% 25%  
123 0% 25%  
124 0% 25%  
125 0% 25%  
126 0% 25%  
127 0% 25%  
128 0% 25%  
129 0% 25%  
130 0% 25%  
131 0% 25%  
132 0% 25%  
133 0% 25%  
134 0% 25%  
135 0% 25%  
136 0% 25%  
137 0% 25%  
138 0% 25%  
139 0% 25%  
140 0% 25%  
141 0.1% 25%  
142 0.1% 24%  
143 0.4% 24%  
144 1.1% 24%  
145 3% 23% Last Result
146 3% 20%  
147 4% 17%  
148 3% 13%  
149 3% 10%  
150 3% 7%  
151 2% 4% Majority
152 1.0% 2%  
153 0.6% 1.2%  
154 0.3% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations