Opinion Poll by Alco, 19–26 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 33.0% 31.1–34.9% 30.6–35.5% 30.1–36.0% 29.3–36.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 24.0% 22.3–25.8% 21.9–26.3% 21.4–26.7% 20.7–27.6%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 9.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Λαϊκή Ενότητα 2.9% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 148 142–155 140–157 138–158 136–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 71 67–78 65–80 63–81 60–83
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 27 23–31 22–32 22–33 20–35
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 21 18–24 17–26 17–26 15–28
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 21 18–25 17–25 17–26 15–28
Λαϊκή Ενότητα 0 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–14
Ελληνική Λύση 0 0 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–14
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0–9 0–10

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.2% 99.8%  
136 0.4% 99.6%  
137 0.8% 99.2%  
138 1.3% 98%  
139 1.0% 97%  
140 2% 96%  
141 2% 94%  
142 3% 92%  
143 4% 89%  
144 5% 85%  
145 11% 80%  
146 10% 69%  
147 7% 59%  
148 5% 51% Median
149 4% 46%  
150 7% 42%  
151 10% 34% Majority
152 8% 25%  
153 4% 17%  
154 2% 13%  
155 3% 11%  
156 2% 8%  
157 3% 6%  
158 1.1% 3%  
159 0.5% 2%  
160 0.1% 1.2%  
161 0.1% 1.0%  
162 0.2% 0.9%  
163 0.6% 0.8%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.4% 99.8%  
61 0.6% 99.4%  
62 1.0% 98.8%  
63 0.8% 98%  
64 1.0% 97%  
65 2% 96%  
66 3% 94%  
67 5% 91%  
68 5% 87%  
69 10% 82%  
70 10% 71%  
71 21% 61% Median
72 10% 40%  
73 8% 30%  
74 4% 23%  
75 4% 19%  
76 2% 16%  
77 2% 13%  
78 2% 11%  
79 3% 9%  
80 2% 6%  
81 3% 4%  
82 0.8% 2%  
83 0.6% 0.9%  
84 0.3% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0% 100% Last Result
19 0.2% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.8%  
21 1.1% 99.4%  
22 3% 98%  
23 5% 95%  
24 7% 90%  
25 16% 83%  
26 13% 67%  
27 13% 53% Median
28 9% 41%  
29 11% 32%  
30 9% 21%  
31 6% 12%  
32 2% 5%  
33 2% 4%  
34 1.4% 2%  
35 0.3% 0.5%  
36 0.2% 0.3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.9%  
16 2% 99.2%  
17 4% 98% Last Result
18 7% 94%  
19 13% 87%  
20 17% 74%  
21 11% 56% Median
22 18% 46%  
23 9% 28%  
24 10% 19%  
25 4% 9%  
26 3% 5%  
27 1.2% 2%  
28 0.6% 0.9%  
29 0.2% 0.3%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
16 1.4% 99.2%  
17 4% 98%  
18 12% 94%  
19 13% 82%  
20 9% 69%  
21 17% 60% Median
22 17% 43%  
23 8% 25%  
24 5% 17%  
25 8% 12%  
26 2% 4%  
27 0.6% 1.5%  
28 0.5% 0.9%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Λαϊκή Ενότητα

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Λαϊκή Ενότητα page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100% Last Result
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 0% 56%  
5 0% 56%  
6 0% 56%  
7 0% 56%  
8 0.1% 56%  
9 8% 56% Median
10 32% 47%  
11 9% 16%  
12 5% 7%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.4% 0.6%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0% 50%  
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 0% 50%  
7 0% 50%  
8 0.1% 50%  
9 16% 49%  
10 14% 33%  
11 12% 19%  
12 5% 7%  
13 1.4% 2%  
14 0.4% 0.6%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 0% 3%  
8 0% 3%  
9 1.3% 3% Last Result
10 1.0% 1.2%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 169 100% 163–177 161–179 158–180 156–184
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 148 34% 142–155 140–157 138–158 136–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Λαϊκή Ενότητα 145 79 0% 69–83 67–85 66–88 64–91
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 71 0% 67–78 65–80 63–81 60–83

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.2% 99.8%  
156 0.4% 99.6%  
157 0.5% 99.2%  
158 1.3% 98.6%  
159 1.2% 97%  
160 1.0% 96%  
161 2% 95%  
162 2% 93%  
163 4% 91%  
164 6% 87%  
165 5% 81%  
166 6% 76%  
167 6% 70%  
168 8% 64%  
169 9% 56% Median
170 5% 46%  
171 6% 41%  
172 8% 35%  
173 7% 27%  
174 4% 21%  
175 4% 17%  
176 2% 13%  
177 3% 11%  
178 3% 8%  
179 2% 5%  
180 0.7% 3%  
181 0.7% 2%  
182 0.3% 2%  
183 0.7% 1.3%  
184 0.2% 0.5%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.2% 99.8%  
136 0.4% 99.6%  
137 0.8% 99.2%  
138 1.3% 98%  
139 1.0% 97%  
140 2% 96%  
141 2% 94%  
142 3% 92%  
143 4% 89%  
144 5% 85%  
145 11% 80%  
146 10% 69%  
147 7% 59%  
148 5% 51% Median
149 4% 46%  
150 7% 42%  
151 10% 34% Majority
152 8% 25%  
153 4% 17%  
154 2% 13%  
155 3% 11%  
156 2% 8%  
157 3% 6%  
158 1.1% 3%  
159 0.5% 2%  
160 0.1% 1.2%  
161 0.1% 1.0%  
162 0.2% 0.9%  
163 0.6% 0.8%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Λαϊκή Ενότητα

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.7%  
65 0.7% 99.4%  
66 1.4% 98.7%  
67 3% 97%  
68 3% 95%  
69 4% 92%  
70 3% 88%  
71 9% 85%  
72 5% 76%  
73 3% 72%  
74 2% 69%  
75 3% 67%  
76 2% 63%  
77 3% 61%  
78 6% 58%  
79 8% 52%  
80 8% 45% Median
81 13% 37%  
82 8% 23%  
83 6% 15%  
84 2% 9%  
85 2% 7%  
86 1.3% 5%  
87 0.9% 4%  
88 1.1% 3%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.3% 1.0%  
91 0.3% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.4% 99.8%  
61 0.6% 99.4%  
62 1.0% 98.8%  
63 0.8% 98%  
64 1.0% 97%  
65 2% 96%  
66 3% 94%  
67 5% 91%  
68 5% 87%  
69 10% 82%  
70 10% 71%  
71 21% 61% Median
72 10% 40%  
73 8% 30%  
74 4% 23%  
75 4% 19%  
76 2% 16%  
77 2% 13%  
78 2% 11%  
79 3% 9%  
80 2% 6%  
81 3% 4%  
82 0.8% 2%  
83 0.6% 0.9%  
84 0.3% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations