Opinion Poll by RASS, 15–17 May 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 36.0% 34.1–38.0% 33.5–38.5% 33.1–39.0% 32.2–40.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 26.3% 24.6–28.2% 24.1–28.7% 23.7–29.1% 22.9–30.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 9.9% 8.7–11.2% 8.4–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 7.6% 6.6–8.8% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.1% 5.4–9.6%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 3.7% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 151 144–157 143–158 141–160 139–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 73 68–79 67–80 66–82 63–84
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 27 25–31 24–32 23–33 21–35
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 22 18–24 17–25 17–26 16–28
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 20 17–24 17–25 16–25 15–27
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 8 0–10 0–11 0–12 0–13
Ελληνική Λύση 0 0 0–9 0–9 0–10 0–11
Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 10 0 0 0 0 0–8

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.8%  
139 0.5% 99.6%  
140 1.2% 99.2%  
141 1.3% 98%  
142 1.0% 97%  
143 2% 96%  
144 3% 93%  
145 5% 90%  
146 4% 85%  
147 3% 80%  
148 7% 77%  
149 9% 71%  
150 11% 62%  
151 9% 50% Median, Majority
152 7% 41%  
153 8% 34%  
154 7% 26%  
155 3% 20%  
156 3% 17%  
157 4% 14%  
158 6% 10%  
159 1.1% 4%  
160 0.5% 3%  
161 0.8% 2%  
162 0.6% 1.4%  
163 0.5% 0.8%  
164 0.2% 0.3%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.3% 99.9%  
63 0.4% 99.6%  
64 0.7% 99.2%  
65 0.6% 98.6%  
66 2% 98%  
67 3% 96%  
68 4% 93%  
69 5% 89%  
70 8% 84%  
71 8% 76%  
72 6% 68%  
73 12% 61% Median
74 12% 50%  
75 8% 37%  
76 5% 29%  
77 5% 24%  
78 6% 19%  
79 6% 13%  
80 2% 7%  
81 1.4% 4%  
82 0.8% 3%  
83 0.9% 2%  
84 0.7% 1.1%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.6% 99.8%  
22 1.3% 99.2%  
23 2% 98%  
24 5% 96%  
25 14% 91%  
26 10% 77%  
27 19% 67% Median
28 15% 48%  
29 13% 34%  
30 6% 21%  
31 6% 15%  
32 4% 8%  
33 2% 4%  
34 1.2% 2%  
35 0.6% 0.9%  
36 0.2% 0.3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
16 1.1% 99.6%  
17 4% 98.5%  
18 6% 94%  
19 9% 88%  
20 12% 79%  
21 14% 67%  
22 18% 53% Median
23 14% 35%  
24 11% 21%  
25 6% 9%  
26 2% 4%  
27 1.0% 2%  
28 0.5% 0.7%  
29 0.1% 0.3%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.8%  
16 3% 99.1%  
17 7% 96%  
18 10% 90% Last Result
19 15% 80%  
20 17% 65% Median
21 17% 48%  
22 12% 31%  
23 9% 20%  
24 5% 11%  
25 3% 5%  
26 1.1% 2%  
27 0.6% 0.9%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100%  
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0% 50%  
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 0% 50%  
7 0% 50%  
8 3% 50% Median
9 23% 47% Last Result
10 14% 24%  
11 6% 10%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.7% 0.9%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 14%  
2 0% 14%  
3 0% 14%  
4 0% 14%  
5 0% 14%  
6 0% 14%  
7 0% 14%  
8 3% 14%  
9 7% 11%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.6% 0.8%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0% 0.6%  
5 0% 0.6%  
6 0% 0.6%  
7 0% 0.6%  
8 0.2% 0.6%  
9 0.4% 0.4%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 178 100% 172–186 170–187 168–188 165–192
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 151 50% 144–157 143–158 141–160 139–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες 155 73 0% 68–79 67–80 66–82 63–84
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 73 0% 68–79 67–80 66–82 63–84

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.8%  
165 0.3% 99.8%  
166 0.6% 99.5%  
167 0.7% 98.9%  
168 0.8% 98%  
169 1.1% 97%  
170 2% 96%  
171 3% 94%  
172 4% 90%  
173 4% 87%  
174 4% 83%  
175 9% 80%  
176 10% 70%  
177 8% 60%  
178 7% 53% Median
179 2% 46%  
180 9% 44%  
181 10% 35%  
182 5% 24%  
183 3% 20%  
184 0.8% 17%  
185 4% 16%  
186 6% 12%  
187 3% 5%  
188 1.5% 3%  
189 0.3% 1.1%  
190 0.1% 0.8%  
191 0.1% 0.7%  
192 0.3% 0.6%  
193 0.2% 0.2%  
194 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.8%  
139 0.5% 99.6%  
140 1.2% 99.2%  
141 1.3% 98%  
142 1.0% 97%  
143 2% 96%  
144 3% 93%  
145 5% 90%  
146 4% 85%  
147 3% 80%  
148 7% 77%  
149 9% 71%  
150 11% 62%  
151 9% 50% Median, Majority
152 7% 41%  
153 8% 34%  
154 7% 26%  
155 3% 20%  
156 3% 17%  
157 4% 14%  
158 6% 10%  
159 1.1% 4%  
160 0.5% 3%  
161 0.8% 2%  
162 0.6% 1.4%  
163 0.5% 0.8%  
164 0.2% 0.3%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Ανεξάρτητοι Έλληνες

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.3% 99.9%  
63 0.4% 99.6%  
64 0.7% 99.3%  
65 0.6% 98.6%  
66 2% 98%  
67 3% 96%  
68 4% 93%  
69 5% 89%  
70 8% 84%  
71 8% 76%  
72 6% 68%  
73 12% 62% Median
74 12% 50%  
75 8% 38%  
76 5% 30%  
77 5% 25%  
78 6% 19%  
79 6% 13%  
80 3% 7%  
81 2% 5%  
82 0.9% 3%  
83 0.9% 2%  
84 0.7% 1.2%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.3% 99.9%  
63 0.4% 99.6%  
64 0.7% 99.2%  
65 0.6% 98.6%  
66 2% 98%  
67 3% 96%  
68 4% 93%  
69 5% 89%  
70 8% 84%  
71 8% 76%  
72 6% 68%  
73 12% 61% Median
74 12% 50%  
75 8% 37%  
76 5% 29%  
77 5% 24%  
78 6% 19%  
79 6% 13%  
80 2% 7%  
81 1.4% 4%  
82 0.8% 3%  
83 0.9% 2%  
84 0.7% 1.1%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations