Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Alpha TV, 3–5 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 39.8% 38.0–41.6% 37.5–42.2% 37.1–42.6% 36.2–43.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 29.6% 27.9–31.3% 27.4–31.8% 27.0–32.2% 26.3–33.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 7.8% 6.9–8.9% 6.6–9.2% 6.4–9.5% 6.0–10.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 4.8% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–6.0% 3.7–6.2% 3.4–6.7%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 4.7% 4.0–5.5% 3.8–5.8% 3.6–6.0% 3.3–6.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.6–4.7% 2.3–5.1%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.4% 1.8–3.6% 1.5–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 160 154–165 153–167 151–169 149–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 81 77–87 75–88 74–89 72–92
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 22 19–25 18–25 18–26 17–28
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 13 11–16 11–16 10–17 9–18
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 13 11–15 10–16 10–16 9–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14
Ελληνική Λύση 0 0 0–9 0–9 0–10 0–11

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.2% 99.8%  
149 0.3% 99.7%  
150 0.6% 99.3%  
151 1.3% 98.7% Majority
152 2% 97%  
153 2% 96%  
154 4% 93%  
155 4% 89%  
156 7% 85%  
157 7% 78%  
158 8% 71%  
159 11% 64%  
160 9% 52% Median
161 9% 43%  
162 10% 34%  
163 6% 25%  
164 5% 19%  
165 4% 14%  
166 3% 9%  
167 2% 6%  
168 2% 5%  
169 1.0% 3%  
170 0.7% 2%  
171 0.6% 1.2%  
172 0.2% 0.6%  
173 0.2% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.6%  
73 0.9% 99.1%  
74 1.4% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 4% 95%  
77 5% 91%  
78 8% 86%  
79 9% 78%  
80 8% 69%  
81 12% 60% Median
82 10% 49%  
83 8% 39%  
84 8% 30%  
85 7% 22%  
86 5% 15%  
87 4% 11%  
88 3% 7%  
89 2% 4%  
90 1.0% 2%  
91 0.5% 1.3%  
92 0.4% 0.8%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.9%  
17 1.4% 99.5% Last Result
18 4% 98%  
19 9% 95%  
20 14% 86%  
21 16% 72%  
22 20% 56% Median
23 15% 36%  
24 10% 21%  
25 7% 11%  
26 3% 5%  
27 1.1% 2%  
28 0.5% 0.7%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.5% 100%  
10 3% 99.5%  
11 9% 97%  
12 17% 88%  
13 23% 70% Median
14 20% 47%  
15 15% 27% Last Result
16 7% 12%  
17 3% 5%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 1.2% 99.9%  
10 4% 98.7%  
11 13% 95%  
12 21% 82%  
13 21% 61% Median
14 22% 40%  
15 8% 18%  
16 7% 9%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.7% 0.9% Last Result
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 0% 86%  
2 0% 86%  
3 0% 86%  
4 0% 86%  
5 0% 86%  
6 0% 86%  
7 0% 86%  
8 4% 86%  
9 25% 82%  
10 30% 57% Median
11 15% 27%  
12 7% 12%  
13 4% 5%  
14 0.9% 1.1%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 0% 17%  
5 0% 17%  
6 0% 17%  
7 0% 17%  
8 6% 17%  
9 8% 11%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 182 100% 176–187 175–189 173–191 170–194
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 160 98.7% 154–165 153–167 151–169 149–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 91 0% 85–96 82–97 81–98 78–101
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 81 0% 77–87 75–88 74–89 72–92

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.2% 99.8%  
170 0.2% 99.6%  
171 0.4% 99.4%  
172 1.1% 99.0%  
173 1.2% 98%  
174 1.5% 97%  
175 4% 95%  
176 4% 91%  
177 4% 87%  
178 5% 83%  
179 9% 77%  
180 8% 69%  
181 9% 61%  
182 11% 51% Median
183 7% 40%  
184 7% 33%  
185 7% 26%  
186 7% 19%  
187 3% 13%  
188 2% 9%  
189 2% 7%  
190 2% 5%  
191 0.6% 3%  
192 1.2% 2%  
193 0.4% 1.3%  
194 0.4% 0.9%  
195 0.2% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0.1% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.2% 99.8%  
149 0.3% 99.7%  
150 0.6% 99.3%  
151 1.3% 98.7% Majority
152 2% 97%  
153 2% 96%  
154 4% 93%  
155 4% 89%  
156 7% 85%  
157 7% 78%  
158 8% 71%  
159 11% 64%  
160 9% 52% Median
161 9% 43%  
162 10% 34%  
163 6% 25%  
164 5% 19%  
165 4% 14%  
166 3% 9%  
167 2% 6%  
168 2% 5%  
169 1.0% 3%  
170 0.7% 2%  
171 0.6% 1.2%  
172 0.2% 0.6%  
173 0.2% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.7%  
78 0.4% 99.5%  
79 0.6% 99.1%  
80 0.9% 98.5%  
81 1.0% 98%  
82 2% 97%  
83 2% 95%  
84 3% 93%  
85 4% 90%  
86 5% 86%  
87 6% 82%  
88 8% 75%  
89 9% 67%  
90 7% 58%  
91 10% 51% Median
92 9% 40%  
93 7% 31%  
94 8% 25%  
95 5% 17%  
96 4% 12%  
97 3% 8%  
98 2% 5%  
99 1.2% 2%  
100 0.6% 1.3%  
101 0.4% 0.7%  
102 0.2% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.6%  
73 0.9% 99.1%  
74 1.4% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 4% 95%  
77 5% 91%  
78 8% 86%  
79 9% 78%  
80 8% 69%  
81 12% 60% Median
82 10% 49%  
83 8% 39%  
84 8% 30%  
85 7% 22%  
86 5% 15%  
87 4% 11%  
88 3% 7%  
89 2% 4%  
90 1.0% 2%  
91 0.5% 1.3%  
92 0.4% 0.8%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations