Opinion Poll by MRB for Star, 10–12 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 37.0% 35.1–39.0% 34.5–39.5% 34.0–40.0% 33.1–41.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 28.0% 26.2–29.9% 25.7–30.4% 25.3–30.9% 24.5–31.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.1% 5.4–9.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.1–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.7%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 153 147–159 145–161 144–162 141–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 78 73–83 71–85 70–86 68–89
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 21 18–23 17–25 16–25 15–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–20 13–21 13–21 12–23
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 15 13–18 12–19 12–19 11–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 11 9–14 9–14 0–15 0–16
Ελληνική Λύση 0 8 0–10 0–11 0–12 0–13
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0–9 0–10

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.3% 99.7%  
142 0.5% 99.4%  
143 0.6% 98.9%  
144 2% 98%  
145 2% 96%  
146 4% 95%  
147 4% 91%  
148 5% 86%  
149 7% 82%  
150 5% 75%  
151 9% 70% Majority
152 9% 60%  
153 5% 51% Median
154 9% 46%  
155 8% 38%  
156 7% 30%  
157 6% 22%  
158 5% 17%  
159 3% 12%  
160 2% 9%  
161 3% 7%  
162 1.3% 4%  
163 0.8% 2%  
164 0.6% 2%  
165 0.5% 0.9%  
166 0.2% 0.5%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.5%  
69 0.9% 99.1%  
70 1.4% 98%  
71 2% 97%  
72 3% 95%  
73 6% 91%  
74 6% 86%  
75 6% 80%  
76 11% 74%  
77 10% 63%  
78 6% 52% Median
79 11% 46%  
80 8% 35%  
81 8% 27%  
82 5% 19%  
83 6% 15%  
84 2% 9%  
85 3% 6%  
86 1.3% 4%  
87 0.9% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.3%  
89 0.3% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.9% 99.7%  
16 2% 98.8%  
17 4% 96% Last Result
18 12% 92%  
19 13% 80%  
20 14% 67%  
21 26% 53% Median
22 9% 27%  
23 9% 18%  
24 4% 9%  
25 3% 5%  
26 1.3% 2%  
27 0.5% 0.8%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.8%  
13 4% 98.9%  
14 9% 95%  
15 21% 86% Last Result
16 17% 66% Median
17 16% 49%  
18 10% 34%  
19 11% 24%  
20 7% 13%  
21 3% 5%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.6%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 2% 99.6%  
12 5% 98%  
13 14% 93%  
14 16% 78%  
15 19% 62% Median
16 15% 44%  
17 15% 29%  
18 8% 13% Last Result
19 4% 6%  
20 1.2% 2%  
21 0.5% 0.8%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0.3% 97%  
9 14% 97%  
10 18% 83%  
11 24% 64% Median
12 18% 40%  
13 12% 23%  
14 6% 10%  
15 3% 4%  
16 1.2% 2%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100% Last Result
1 0% 55%  
2 0% 55%  
3 0% 55%  
4 0% 55%  
5 0% 55%  
6 0% 55%  
7 0% 55%  
8 7% 55% Median
9 28% 48%  
10 10% 20%  
11 7% 10%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.4% 0.6%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 0% 4%  
5 0% 4%  
6 0% 4%  
7 0% 4%  
8 1.2% 4%  
9 3% 3% Last Result
10 0.6% 0.7%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 174 100% 167–180 165–182 164–183 161–187
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 153 70% 147–159 145–161 144–162 141–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 89 0% 83–95 82–97 80–98 76–101
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 78 0% 73–83 71–85 70–86 68–89

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.8%  
161 0.4% 99.6%  
162 0.5% 99.3%  
163 0.7% 98.8%  
164 1.1% 98%  
165 3% 97%  
166 2% 94%  
167 5% 92%  
168 5% 87%  
169 4% 82%  
170 7% 78%  
171 7% 71%  
172 8% 64%  
173 6% 56%  
174 10% 50% Median
175 4% 40%  
176 9% 35%  
177 6% 27%  
178 4% 20%  
179 5% 16%  
180 4% 12%  
181 2% 8%  
182 3% 7%  
183 1.3% 3%  
184 0.7% 2%  
185 0.7% 1.4%  
186 0.2% 0.7%  
187 0.3% 0.6%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.3% 99.7%  
142 0.5% 99.4%  
143 0.6% 98.9%  
144 2% 98%  
145 2% 96%  
146 4% 95%  
147 4% 91%  
148 5% 86%  
149 7% 82%  
150 5% 75%  
151 9% 70% Majority
152 9% 60%  
153 5% 51% Median
154 9% 46%  
155 8% 38%  
156 7% 30%  
157 6% 22%  
158 5% 17%  
159 3% 12%  
160 2% 9%  
161 3% 7%  
162 1.3% 4%  
163 0.8% 2%  
164 0.6% 2%  
165 0.5% 0.9%  
166 0.2% 0.5%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.2% 99.6%  
77 0.2% 99.4%  
78 0.4% 99.2%  
79 0.7% 98.8%  
80 1.0% 98%  
81 1.4% 97%  
82 2% 96%  
83 5% 94%  
84 4% 89%  
85 5% 84%  
86 8% 79%  
87 11% 71%  
88 7% 60%  
89 7% 53% Median
90 9% 46%  
91 8% 37%  
92 7% 29%  
93 7% 23%  
94 4% 16%  
95 4% 12%  
96 2% 7%  
97 2% 5%  
98 1.1% 3%  
99 0.7% 2%  
100 0.4% 0.9%  
101 0.3% 0.5%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.5%  
69 0.9% 99.1%  
70 1.4% 98%  
71 2% 97%  
72 3% 95%  
73 6% 91%  
74 6% 86%  
75 6% 80%  
76 11% 74%  
77 10% 63%  
78 6% 52% Median
79 11% 46%  
80 8% 35%  
81 8% 27%  
82 5% 19%  
83 6% 15%  
84 2% 9%  
85 3% 6%  
86 1.3% 4%  
87 0.9% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.3%  
89 0.3% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations