Opinion Poll by Marc, 10–13 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 40.1% 38.2–42.0% 37.7–42.5% 37.3–43.0% 36.4–43.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 28.7% 27.0–30.5% 26.5–31.0% 26.1–31.4% 25.3–32.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 8.3% 7.4–9.5% 7.1–9.8% 6.9–10.1% 6.4–10.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 5.7% 4.9–6.7% 4.7–7.0% 4.5–7.3% 4.2–7.8%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.3–5.2% 3.1–5.5% 2.8–5.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.6–4.8% 2.3–5.2%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 1.2% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 161 155–166 154–168 153–170 151–173
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 79 75–84 73–86 72–87 70–90
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 23 20–26 20–27 19–28 18–30
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–19 13–20 13–20 12–22
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 12 10–14 9–15 9–15 0–16
Ελληνική Λύση 0 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0.2% 99.9%  
150 0.2% 99.7%  
151 0.5% 99.5% Majority
152 1.3% 99.0%  
153 0.9% 98%  
154 3% 97%  
155 5% 94%  
156 3% 89%  
157 8% 86%  
158 8% 78%  
159 6% 70%  
160 13% 65%  
161 8% 52% Median
162 7% 44%  
163 12% 37%  
164 5% 25%  
165 5% 21%  
166 7% 16%  
167 3% 9%  
168 2% 7%  
169 2% 5%  
170 1.0% 3%  
171 0.7% 2%  
172 0.5% 1.1%  
173 0.2% 0.6%  
174 0.2% 0.4%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 0.8% 99.2%  
72 2% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 4% 95%  
75 5% 91%  
76 8% 85%  
77 8% 77%  
78 10% 69%  
79 10% 60% Median
80 10% 49%  
81 10% 39%  
82 9% 30%  
83 6% 21%  
84 5% 15%  
85 3% 10%  
86 3% 7%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.1% 2%  
89 0.5% 1.2%  
90 0.4% 0.8%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
18 1.2% 99.7%  
19 3% 98%  
20 7% 96%  
21 11% 89%  
22 16% 77%  
23 17% 62% Median
24 16% 45%  
25 11% 29%  
26 9% 18%  
27 4% 9%  
28 3% 4%  
29 1.0% 2%  
30 0.4% 0.6%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.5%  
13 7% 98%  
14 10% 91%  
15 20% 81% Last Result
16 22% 60% Median
17 14% 38%  
18 13% 24%  
19 6% 11%  
20 4% 5%  
21 1.0% 2%  
22 0.4% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 0% 98.6%  
2 0% 98.6%  
3 0% 98.6%  
4 0% 98.6%  
5 0% 98.6%  
6 0% 98.6%  
7 0% 98.6%  
8 0.6% 98.6%  
9 7% 98%  
10 17% 90%  
11 22% 74%  
12 23% 52% Median
13 15% 29%  
14 9% 14%  
15 4% 5%  
16 1.1% 1.5%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
19 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 4% 84%  
9 21% 80%  
10 25% 59% Median
11 20% 34%  
12 9% 14%  
13 4% 5%  
14 1.0% 1.3%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 184 100% 179–190 177–192 176–194 173–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 161 99.5% 155–166 154–168 153–170 151–173
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 79 0% 75–84 73–86 72–87 70–90

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0.1% 100%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.4% 99.8%  
174 0.5% 99.4%  
175 0.8% 98.9%  
176 1.5% 98%  
177 2% 97%  
178 4% 94%  
179 4% 90%  
180 6% 86%  
181 8% 80%  
182 7% 72%  
183 10% 64%  
184 8% 54% Median
185 7% 46%  
186 10% 39%  
187 6% 29%  
188 6% 23%  
189 4% 17%  
190 4% 13%  
191 2% 8%  
192 2% 6%  
193 1.3% 4%  
194 1.0% 3%  
195 0.8% 2%  
196 0.4% 1.0%  
197 0.2% 0.6%  
198 0.2% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0.2% 99.9%  
150 0.2% 99.7%  
151 0.5% 99.5% Majority
152 1.3% 99.0%  
153 0.9% 98%  
154 3% 97%  
155 5% 94%  
156 3% 89%  
157 8% 86%  
158 8% 78%  
159 6% 70%  
160 13% 65%  
161 8% 52% Median
162 7% 44%  
163 12% 37%  
164 5% 25%  
165 5% 21%  
166 7% 16%  
167 3% 9%  
168 2% 7%  
169 2% 5%  
170 1.0% 3%  
171 0.7% 2%  
172 0.5% 1.1%  
173 0.2% 0.6%  
174 0.2% 0.4%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 0.8% 99.2%  
72 2% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 4% 95%  
75 5% 91%  
76 8% 85%  
77 8% 77%  
78 10% 69%  
79 10% 60% Median
80 10% 49%  
81 10% 39%  
82 9% 30%  
83 6% 21%  
84 5% 15%  
85 3% 10%  
86 3% 7%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.1% 2%  
89 0.5% 1.2%  
90 0.4% 0.8%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations