Opinion Poll by Marc, 10–13 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία |
28.1% |
40.1% |
38.2–42.0% |
37.7–42.5% |
37.3–43.0% |
36.4–43.9% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς |
35.5% |
28.7% |
27.0–30.5% |
26.5–31.0% |
26.1–31.4% |
25.3–32.3% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής |
6.3% |
8.3% |
7.4–9.5% |
7.1–9.8% |
6.9–10.1% |
6.4–10.7% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας |
5.6% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.7% |
4.7–7.0% |
4.5–7.3% |
4.2–7.8% |
Χρυσή Αυγή |
7.0% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.3–5.2% |
3.1–5.5% |
2.8–5.9% |
Ελληνική Λύση |
0.0% |
3.5% |
2.9–4.3% |
2.7–4.5% |
2.6–4.8% |
2.3–5.2% |
Ένωση Κεντρώων |
3.4% |
1.2% |
0.8–1.7% |
0.7–1.9% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.5–2.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
|
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0% |
100% |
|
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
100% |
|
102 |
0% |
100% |
|
103 |
0% |
100% |
|
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
100% |
|
106 |
0% |
100% |
|
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
100% |
|
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0% |
100% |
|
114 |
0% |
100% |
|
115 |
0% |
100% |
|
116 |
0% |
100% |
|
117 |
0% |
100% |
|
118 |
0% |
100% |
|
119 |
0% |
100% |
|
120 |
0% |
100% |
|
121 |
0% |
100% |
|
122 |
0% |
100% |
|
123 |
0% |
100% |
|
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0% |
100% |
|
126 |
0% |
100% |
|
127 |
0% |
100% |
|
128 |
0% |
100% |
|
129 |
0% |
100% |
|
130 |
0% |
100% |
|
131 |
0% |
100% |
|
132 |
0% |
100% |
|
133 |
0% |
100% |
|
134 |
0% |
100% |
|
135 |
0% |
100% |
|
136 |
0% |
100% |
|
137 |
0% |
100% |
|
138 |
0% |
100% |
|
139 |
0% |
100% |
|
140 |
0% |
100% |
|
141 |
0% |
100% |
|
142 |
0% |
100% |
|
143 |
0% |
100% |
|
144 |
0% |
100% |
|
145 |
0% |
100% |
|
146 |
0% |
100% |
|
147 |
0% |
100% |
|
148 |
0% |
100% |
|
149 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
150 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
151 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
Majority |
152 |
1.3% |
99.0% |
|
153 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
154 |
3% |
97% |
|
155 |
5% |
94% |
|
156 |
3% |
89% |
|
157 |
8% |
86% |
|
158 |
8% |
78% |
|
159 |
6% |
70% |
|
160 |
13% |
65% |
|
161 |
8% |
52% |
Median |
162 |
7% |
44% |
|
163 |
12% |
37% |
|
164 |
5% |
25% |
|
165 |
5% |
21% |
|
166 |
7% |
16% |
|
167 |
3% |
9% |
|
168 |
2% |
7% |
|
169 |
2% |
5% |
|
170 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
171 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
172 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
173 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
174 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
175 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
176 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
177 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
178 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
72 |
2% |
98% |
|
73 |
2% |
97% |
|
74 |
4% |
95% |
|
75 |
5% |
91% |
|
76 |
8% |
85% |
|
77 |
8% |
77% |
|
78 |
10% |
69% |
|
79 |
10% |
60% |
Median |
80 |
10% |
49% |
|
81 |
10% |
39% |
|
82 |
9% |
30% |
|
83 |
6% |
21% |
|
84 |
5% |
15% |
|
85 |
3% |
10% |
|
86 |
3% |
7% |
|
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
18 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
19 |
3% |
98% |
|
20 |
7% |
96% |
|
21 |
11% |
89% |
|
22 |
16% |
77% |
|
23 |
17% |
62% |
Median |
24 |
16% |
45% |
|
25 |
11% |
29% |
|
26 |
9% |
18% |
|
27 |
4% |
9% |
|
28 |
3% |
4% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
7% |
98% |
|
14 |
10% |
91% |
|
15 |
20% |
81% |
Last Result |
16 |
22% |
60% |
Median |
17 |
14% |
38% |
|
18 |
13% |
24% |
|
19 |
6% |
11% |
|
20 |
4% |
5% |
|
21 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
22 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Χρυσή Αυγή
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
2 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
4 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
6 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
7 |
0% |
98.6% |
|
8 |
0.6% |
98.6% |
|
9 |
7% |
98% |
|
10 |
17% |
90% |
|
11 |
22% |
74% |
|
12 |
23% |
52% |
Median |
13 |
15% |
29% |
|
14 |
9% |
14% |
|
15 |
4% |
5% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
1.5% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
84% |
|
2 |
0% |
84% |
|
3 |
0% |
84% |
|
4 |
0% |
84% |
|
5 |
0% |
84% |
|
6 |
0% |
84% |
|
7 |
0% |
84% |
|
8 |
4% |
84% |
|
9 |
21% |
80% |
|
10 |
25% |
59% |
Median |
11 |
20% |
34% |
|
12 |
9% |
14% |
|
13 |
4% |
5% |
|
14 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ένωση Κεντρώων
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής |
92 |
184 |
100% |
179–190 |
177–192 |
176–194 |
173–197 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία |
75 |
161 |
99.5% |
155–166 |
154–168 |
153–170 |
151–173 |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς |
145 |
79 |
0% |
75–84 |
73–86 |
72–87 |
70–90 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
92 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0% |
100% |
|
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
100% |
|
102 |
0% |
100% |
|
103 |
0% |
100% |
|
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
100% |
|
106 |
0% |
100% |
|
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
100% |
|
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0% |
100% |
|
114 |
0% |
100% |
|
115 |
0% |
100% |
|
116 |
0% |
100% |
|
117 |
0% |
100% |
|
118 |
0% |
100% |
|
119 |
0% |
100% |
|
120 |
0% |
100% |
|
121 |
0% |
100% |
|
122 |
0% |
100% |
|
123 |
0% |
100% |
|
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0% |
100% |
|
126 |
0% |
100% |
|
127 |
0% |
100% |
|
128 |
0% |
100% |
|
129 |
0% |
100% |
|
130 |
0% |
100% |
|
131 |
0% |
100% |
|
132 |
0% |
100% |
|
133 |
0% |
100% |
|
134 |
0% |
100% |
|
135 |
0% |
100% |
|
136 |
0% |
100% |
|
137 |
0% |
100% |
|
138 |
0% |
100% |
|
139 |
0% |
100% |
|
140 |
0% |
100% |
|
141 |
0% |
100% |
|
142 |
0% |
100% |
|
143 |
0% |
100% |
|
144 |
0% |
100% |
|
145 |
0% |
100% |
|
146 |
0% |
100% |
|
147 |
0% |
100% |
|
148 |
0% |
100% |
|
149 |
0% |
100% |
|
150 |
0% |
100% |
|
151 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
152 |
0% |
100% |
|
153 |
0% |
100% |
|
154 |
0% |
100% |
|
155 |
0% |
100% |
|
156 |
0% |
100% |
|
157 |
0% |
100% |
|
158 |
0% |
100% |
|
159 |
0% |
100% |
|
160 |
0% |
100% |
|
161 |
0% |
100% |
|
162 |
0% |
100% |
|
163 |
0% |
100% |
|
164 |
0% |
100% |
|
165 |
0% |
100% |
|
166 |
0% |
100% |
|
167 |
0% |
100% |
|
168 |
0% |
100% |
|
169 |
0% |
100% |
|
170 |
0% |
100% |
|
171 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
172 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
173 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
174 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
175 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
176 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
177 |
2% |
97% |
|
178 |
4% |
94% |
|
179 |
4% |
90% |
|
180 |
6% |
86% |
|
181 |
8% |
80% |
|
182 |
7% |
72% |
|
183 |
10% |
64% |
|
184 |
8% |
54% |
Median |
185 |
7% |
46% |
|
186 |
10% |
39% |
|
187 |
6% |
29% |
|
188 |
6% |
23% |
|
189 |
4% |
17% |
|
190 |
4% |
13% |
|
191 |
2% |
8% |
|
192 |
2% |
6% |
|
193 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
194 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
195 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
196 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
197 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
198 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
199 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
200 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
201 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
202 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Δημοκρατία
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
|
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0% |
100% |
|
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
100% |
|
102 |
0% |
100% |
|
103 |
0% |
100% |
|
104 |
0% |
100% |
|
105 |
0% |
100% |
|
106 |
0% |
100% |
|
107 |
0% |
100% |
|
108 |
0% |
100% |
|
109 |
0% |
100% |
|
110 |
0% |
100% |
|
111 |
0% |
100% |
|
112 |
0% |
100% |
|
113 |
0% |
100% |
|
114 |
0% |
100% |
|
115 |
0% |
100% |
|
116 |
0% |
100% |
|
117 |
0% |
100% |
|
118 |
0% |
100% |
|
119 |
0% |
100% |
|
120 |
0% |
100% |
|
121 |
0% |
100% |
|
122 |
0% |
100% |
|
123 |
0% |
100% |
|
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0% |
100% |
|
126 |
0% |
100% |
|
127 |
0% |
100% |
|
128 |
0% |
100% |
|
129 |
0% |
100% |
|
130 |
0% |
100% |
|
131 |
0% |
100% |
|
132 |
0% |
100% |
|
133 |
0% |
100% |
|
134 |
0% |
100% |
|
135 |
0% |
100% |
|
136 |
0% |
100% |
|
137 |
0% |
100% |
|
138 |
0% |
100% |
|
139 |
0% |
100% |
|
140 |
0% |
100% |
|
141 |
0% |
100% |
|
142 |
0% |
100% |
|
143 |
0% |
100% |
|
144 |
0% |
100% |
|
145 |
0% |
100% |
|
146 |
0% |
100% |
|
147 |
0% |
100% |
|
148 |
0% |
100% |
|
149 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
150 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
151 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
Majority |
152 |
1.3% |
99.0% |
|
153 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
154 |
3% |
97% |
|
155 |
5% |
94% |
|
156 |
3% |
89% |
|
157 |
8% |
86% |
|
158 |
8% |
78% |
|
159 |
6% |
70% |
|
160 |
13% |
65% |
|
161 |
8% |
52% |
Median |
162 |
7% |
44% |
|
163 |
12% |
37% |
|
164 |
5% |
25% |
|
165 |
5% |
21% |
|
166 |
7% |
16% |
|
167 |
3% |
9% |
|
168 |
2% |
7% |
|
169 |
2% |
5% |
|
170 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
171 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
172 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
173 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
174 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
175 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
176 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
177 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
178 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
72 |
2% |
98% |
|
73 |
2% |
97% |
|
74 |
4% |
95% |
|
75 |
5% |
91% |
|
76 |
8% |
85% |
|
77 |
8% |
77% |
|
78 |
10% |
69% |
|
79 |
10% |
60% |
Median |
80 |
10% |
49% |
|
81 |
10% |
39% |
|
82 |
9% |
30% |
|
83 |
6% |
21% |
|
84 |
5% |
15% |
|
85 |
3% |
10% |
|
86 |
3% |
7% |
|
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Marc
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 10–13 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1115
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.13%