Opinion Poll by Alco, 13–19 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 32.4% 30.5–34.3% 30.0–34.9% 29.6–35.4% 28.7–36.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 23.2% 21.6–25.0% 21.1–25.5% 20.7–25.9% 19.9–26.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 157 149–165 148–167 147–169 144–173
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 78 71–82 69–85 68–86 65–90
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 21 18–25 18–26 17–27 15–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 14–19 13–20 12–21 11–23
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 13 10–15 0–16 0–17 0–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 12 0–14 0–15 0–16 0–17
Ελληνική Λύση 0 0 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0–11
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.2% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.6%  
145 0.5% 99.4%  
146 0.9% 98.8%  
147 2% 98%  
148 4% 96%  
149 2% 92%  
150 2% 90%  
151 4% 88% Majority
152 2% 84%  
153 6% 82%  
154 11% 76%  
155 7% 65%  
156 3% 58%  
157 5% 55% Median
158 5% 49%  
159 4% 45%  
160 14% 40%  
161 4% 26%  
162 7% 23%  
163 1.4% 16%  
164 2% 15%  
165 4% 12%  
166 2% 8%  
167 1.4% 6%  
168 2% 4%  
169 1.3% 3%  
170 0.6% 1.4%  
171 0.1% 0.8%  
172 0.1% 0.7%  
173 0.4% 0.6%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0.1% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.6% 99.5%  
67 0.9% 98.9%  
68 1.3% 98%  
69 2% 97%  
70 4% 94%  
71 4% 91%  
72 3% 86%  
73 6% 83%  
74 5% 77%  
75 8% 72%  
76 6% 63%  
77 6% 57%  
78 10% 51% Median
79 7% 41%  
80 13% 35%  
81 5% 22%  
82 7% 17%  
83 3% 10%  
84 0.5% 7%  
85 2% 6%  
86 2% 5%  
87 1.3% 2%  
88 0.3% 1.2%  
89 0.3% 1.0%  
90 0.4% 0.7%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.5% 99.9%  
16 1.3% 99.4%  
17 2% 98% Last Result
18 7% 96%  
19 11% 89%  
20 19% 78%  
21 15% 59% Median
22 9% 45%  
23 9% 36%  
24 14% 27%  
25 7% 13%  
26 2% 6%  
27 2% 4%  
28 0.8% 2%  
29 0.9% 1.3%  
30 0.2% 0.3%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0.2% 99.9%  
11 0.9% 99.7%  
12 3% 98.8%  
13 5% 96%  
14 14% 91%  
15 13% 77% Last Result
16 13% 64%  
17 20% 51% Median
18 15% 30%  
19 9% 16%  
20 4% 7%  
21 2% 3%  
22 1.1% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 0% 94%  
9 0% 94%  
10 5% 94%  
11 19% 89%  
12 13% 70%  
13 23% 57% Median
14 10% 34%  
15 16% 24%  
16 4% 8%  
17 3% 5%  
18 2% 2% Last Result
19 0.4% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100% Last Result
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 0% 83%  
4 0% 83%  
5 0% 83%  
6 0% 83%  
7 0% 83%  
8 0% 83%  
9 0% 83%  
10 10% 83%  
11 16% 73%  
12 23% 57% Median
13 16% 35%  
14 10% 18%  
15 5% 8%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.8% 1.1%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 43%  
2 0% 43%  
3 0% 43%  
4 0% 43%  
5 0% 43%  
6 0% 43%  
7 0% 43%  
8 0% 43%  
9 0.2% 43%  
10 7% 42%  
11 17% 35%  
12 10% 19%  
13 4% 9%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.9% 1.1%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.1%  
2 0% 1.1%  
3 0% 1.1%  
4 0% 1.1%  
5 0% 1.1%  
6 0% 1.1%  
7 0% 1.1%  
8 0% 1.1%  
9 0% 1.1%  
10 0.6% 1.1%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 179 100% 171–187 168–190 168–192 165–195
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 157 88% 149–165 148–167 147–169 144–173
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 88 0% 79–94 76–96 75–98 71–101
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 78 0% 71–82 69–85 68–86 65–90

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0.2% 99.8%  
165 0.3% 99.6%  
166 1.4% 99.4%  
167 0.5% 98%  
168 3% 98%  
169 2% 95%  
170 1.3% 93%  
171 3% 91%  
172 4% 89%  
173 3% 85%  
174 5% 82%  
175 7% 77%  
176 8% 70%  
177 3% 62%  
178 6% 58% Median
179 3% 52%  
180 15% 50%  
181 5% 35%  
182 6% 30%  
183 2% 24%  
184 4% 22%  
185 5% 18%  
186 2% 13%  
187 1.2% 11%  
188 0.8% 10%  
189 4% 9%  
190 0.9% 5%  
191 0.5% 4%  
192 3% 4%  
193 0.3% 1.0%  
194 0.1% 0.7%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0% 0.5%  
197 0.3% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.2% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.6%  
145 0.5% 99.4%  
146 0.9% 98.8%  
147 2% 98%  
148 4% 96%  
149 2% 92%  
150 2% 90%  
151 4% 88% Majority
152 2% 84%  
153 6% 82%  
154 11% 76%  
155 7% 65%  
156 3% 58%  
157 5% 55% Median
158 5% 49%  
159 4% 45%  
160 14% 40%  
161 4% 26%  
162 7% 23%  
163 1.4% 16%  
164 2% 15%  
165 4% 12%  
166 2% 8%  
167 1.4% 6%  
168 2% 4%  
169 1.3% 3%  
170 0.6% 1.4%  
171 0.1% 0.8%  
172 0.1% 0.7%  
173 0.4% 0.6%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0.1% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.2% 99.6%  
72 0.3% 99.4%  
73 0.4% 99.1%  
74 0.3% 98.7%  
75 2% 98%  
76 1.5% 96%  
77 1.0% 95%  
78 1.3% 94%  
79 3% 92%  
80 2% 90%  
81 4% 88%  
82 5% 84%  
83 5% 79%  
84 4% 74%  
85 2% 70%  
86 8% 67%  
87 7% 59%  
88 3% 52%  
89 9% 49%  
90 4% 40% Median
91 7% 36%  
92 15% 29%  
93 1.3% 14%  
94 3% 12%  
95 4% 10%  
96 1.2% 6%  
97 1.0% 5%  
98 2% 4%  
99 0.5% 2%  
100 0.6% 1.5%  
101 0.4% 0.8%  
102 0.2% 0.5%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.6% 99.5%  
67 0.9% 98.9%  
68 1.3% 98%  
69 2% 97%  
70 4% 94%  
71 4% 91%  
72 3% 86%  
73 6% 83%  
74 5% 77%  
75 8% 72%  
76 6% 63%  
77 6% 57%  
78 10% 51% Median
79 7% 41%  
80 13% 35%  
81 5% 22%  
82 7% 17%  
83 3% 10%  
84 0.5% 7%  
85 2% 6%  
86 2% 5%  
87 1.3% 2%  
88 0.3% 1.2%  
89 0.3% 1.0%  
90 0.4% 0.7%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations