Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Το Βήμα, 14–19 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 38.0% 36.0–40.0% 35.5–40.5% 35.0–41.0% 34.1–42.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 29.5% 27.7–31.4% 27.2–31.9% 26.7–32.4% 25.9–33.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.6–7.3%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 161 153–168 151–169 150–171 147–174
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 86 80–93 78–95 77–97 74–100
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 24 20–27 19–28 19–29 17–31
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–18 12–19 12–20 11–22
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 9 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Ελληνική Λύση 0 0 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–12
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 0 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–11

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.7%  
147 0.4% 99.6%  
148 0.4% 99.2%  
149 1.2% 98.8%  
150 2% 98%  
151 1.3% 96% Majority
152 3% 95%  
153 4% 92%  
154 3% 88%  
155 4% 85%  
156 5% 81%  
157 4% 75%  
158 6% 71%  
159 9% 65%  
160 5% 56%  
161 6% 51% Median
162 8% 45%  
163 5% 37%  
164 6% 32%  
165 6% 26%  
166 4% 20%  
167 4% 16%  
168 3% 12%  
169 5% 9%  
170 2% 5%  
171 0.9% 3%  
172 0.8% 2%  
173 0.3% 0.9%  
174 0.3% 0.6%  
175 0.2% 0.3%  
176 0% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.7%  
74 0.4% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.2%  
76 0.8% 98%  
77 2% 98%  
78 3% 96%  
79 3% 93%  
80 6% 91%  
81 5% 85%  
82 5% 80%  
83 6% 74%  
84 7% 68%  
85 7% 61%  
86 10% 54% Median
87 9% 44%  
88 4% 35%  
89 6% 31%  
90 4% 25%  
91 6% 22%  
92 5% 16%  
93 3% 11%  
94 2% 8%  
95 3% 6%  
96 0.9% 4%  
97 1.2% 3%  
98 0.5% 2%  
99 0.4% 1.1%  
100 0.4% 0.7%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1% Last Result
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
18 1.4% 99.4%  
19 4% 98%  
20 8% 94%  
21 11% 86%  
22 11% 75%  
23 13% 65%  
24 15% 51% Median
25 16% 36%  
26 8% 19%  
27 4% 11%  
28 4% 7%  
29 2% 3%  
30 1.2% 2%  
31 0.3% 0.5%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.4% 99.9%  
11 2% 99.5%  
12 5% 98%  
13 13% 92%  
14 13% 80%  
15 19% 67% Last Result, Median
16 19% 48%  
17 11% 29%  
18 11% 19%  
19 5% 8%  
20 2% 3%  
21 1.1% 2%  
22 0.5% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 32% 100%  
1 0% 68%  
2 0% 68%  
3 0% 68%  
4 0% 68%  
5 0% 68%  
6 0% 68%  
7 0% 68%  
8 0.5% 68%  
9 18% 68% Median
10 22% 50%  
11 12% 27%  
12 7% 15%  
13 5% 8%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.5% 0.6%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 41%  
2 0% 41%  
3 0% 41%  
4 0% 41%  
5 0% 41%  
6 0% 41%  
7 0% 41%  
8 0.5% 41%  
9 14% 41%  
10 15% 27%  
11 9% 12%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.7% 0.8%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Median
1 0% 20%  
2 0% 20%  
3 0% 20%  
4 0% 20%  
5 0% 20%  
6 0% 20%  
7 0% 20%  
8 0.6% 20%  
9 11% 19% Last Result
10 6% 8%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.4% 0.6%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 14%  
2 0% 14%  
3 0% 14%  
4 0% 14%  
5 0% 14%  
6 0% 14%  
7 0% 14%  
8 0.6% 14%  
9 8% 13%  
10 4% 5%  
11 0.9% 1.3%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 184 99.9% 176–193 174–194 172–195 169–198
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 161 96% 153–168 151–169 150–171 147–174
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 87 0% 80–95 79–97 77–99 75–103
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 86 0% 80–93 78–95 77–97 74–100

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9% Majority
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.8%  
168 0.1% 99.7%  
169 0.5% 99.6%  
170 0.5% 99.1%  
171 0.7% 98.6%  
172 0.9% 98%  
173 1.2% 97%  
174 1.5% 96%  
175 2% 94%  
176 5% 92%  
177 3% 87%  
178 4% 85%  
179 4% 80%  
180 5% 76%  
181 4% 71%  
182 7% 67%  
183 8% 60%  
184 6% 53%  
185 4% 46% Median
186 7% 42%  
187 6% 35%  
188 4% 29%  
189 5% 25%  
190 3% 21%  
191 4% 17%  
192 2% 13%  
193 5% 11%  
194 2% 5%  
195 1.5% 4%  
196 0.6% 2%  
197 0.7% 1.4%  
198 0.2% 0.7%  
199 0.2% 0.5%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.7%  
147 0.4% 99.6%  
148 0.4% 99.2%  
149 1.2% 98.8%  
150 2% 98%  
151 1.3% 96% Majority
152 3% 95%  
153 4% 92%  
154 3% 88%  
155 4% 85%  
156 5% 81%  
157 4% 75%  
158 6% 71%  
159 9% 65%  
160 5% 56%  
161 6% 51% Median
162 8% 45%  
163 5% 37%  
164 6% 32%  
165 6% 26%  
166 4% 20%  
167 4% 16%  
168 3% 12%  
169 5% 9%  
170 2% 5%  
171 0.9% 3%  
172 0.8% 2%  
173 0.3% 0.9%  
174 0.3% 0.6%  
175 0.2% 0.3%  
176 0% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.5% 99.5%  
76 0.6% 99.0%  
77 1.0% 98%  
78 2% 97%  
79 2% 96%  
80 5% 94%  
81 4% 89%  
82 5% 85%  
83 6% 81%  
84 6% 75%  
85 6% 69%  
86 9% 63% Median
87 9% 53%  
88 5% 44%  
89 6% 39%  
90 4% 33%  
91 7% 29%  
92 6% 22%  
93 4% 16%  
94 2% 13%  
95 4% 11%  
96 1.4% 7%  
97 2% 6%  
98 1.0% 4%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.2% 1.2%  
102 0.2% 1.0%  
103 0.5% 0.8%  
104 0.1% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1% Last Result
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.7%  
74 0.4% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.2%  
76 0.8% 98%  
77 2% 98%  
78 3% 96%  
79 3% 93%  
80 6% 91%  
81 5% 85%  
82 5% 80%  
83 6% 74%  
84 7% 68%  
85 7% 61%  
86 10% 54% Median
87 9% 44%  
88 4% 35%  
89 6% 31%  
90 4% 25%  
91 6% 22%  
92 5% 16%  
93 3% 11%  
94 2% 8%  
95 3% 6%  
96 0.9% 4%  
97 1.2% 3%  
98 0.5% 2%  
99 0.4% 1.1%  
100 0.4% 0.7%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1% Last Result
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations