Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll, 17–19 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 39.8% 37.8–41.8% 37.3–42.4% 36.8–42.9% 35.9–43.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 27.0% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.4% 24.3–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.6–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 162 156–170 154–172 153–172 150–177
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 76 72–82 70–83 69–85 66–87
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 18 15–22 15–22 15–23 13–25
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 13 11–16 10–16 10–18 9–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 11 10–14 9–15 8–15 0–17
Ελληνική Λύση 0 11 0–13 0–13 0–14 0–15
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 10 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–14
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0–9 0–9 0–11
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.3% 99.8%  
151 0.3% 99.5% Majority
152 0.9% 99.2%  
153 1.4% 98%  
154 5% 97%  
155 1.0% 92%  
156 1.2% 91%  
157 6% 90%  
158 7% 84%  
159 4% 77%  
160 4% 73%  
161 18% 70%  
162 8% 52% Median
163 5% 44%  
164 2% 39%  
165 2% 37%  
166 16% 35%  
167 4% 19%  
168 4% 15%  
169 0.4% 11%  
170 2% 10%  
171 2% 8%  
172 4% 6%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.2% 1.4%  
175 0.3% 1.2%  
176 0.3% 1.0%  
177 0.3% 0.7%  
178 0% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0.2% 0.2%  
182 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.7%  
67 0.7% 99.3%  
68 1.1% 98.7%  
69 2% 98%  
70 2% 95%  
71 3% 94%  
72 8% 90%  
73 6% 83%  
74 8% 77%  
75 11% 68%  
76 13% 58% Median
77 13% 45%  
78 10% 32%  
79 5% 22%  
80 4% 17%  
81 2% 13%  
82 4% 11%  
83 2% 7%  
84 2% 5%  
85 2% 3%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.5% 1.0%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 0.8% 99.7%  
14 1.3% 98.9%  
15 9% 98%  
16 10% 89%  
17 16% 79% Last Result
18 23% 62% Median
19 10% 39%  
20 11% 28%  
21 7% 18%  
22 8% 10%  
23 1.3% 3%  
24 0.8% 1.3%  
25 0.4% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0.1% 99.8%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 5% 98%  
11 11% 93%  
12 17% 82%  
13 25% 65% Median
14 18% 40%  
15 10% 23% Last Result
16 8% 13%  
17 1.4% 5%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.6% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0.9% 98%  
9 7% 97%  
10 15% 91%  
11 27% 76% Median
12 15% 48%  
13 19% 34%  
14 8% 15%  
15 5% 7%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.4% 0.6%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 0% 88%  
8 0.6% 88%  
9 17% 87%  
10 19% 71%  
11 26% 51% Median
12 13% 25%  
13 8% 12%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.9% 1.2%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 0% 78%  
5 0% 78%  
6 0% 78%  
7 0% 78%  
8 3% 78%  
9 25% 75%  
10 34% 50% Median
11 10% 17%  
12 4% 7%  
13 2% 3%  
14 1.1% 1.3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 0% 10%  
5 0% 10%  
6 0% 10%  
7 0% 10%  
8 2% 10%  
9 6% 8%  
10 1.5% 2%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 180 100% 175–188 171–189 171–191 168–195
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 162 99.5% 156–170 154–172 153–172 150–177
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 88 0% 83–93 81–95 79–96 75–100
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 76 0% 72–82 70–83 69–85 66–87

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.8%  
168 0.3% 99.8%  
169 0.8% 99.5%  
170 1.0% 98.7%  
171 4% 98%  
172 0.8% 93%  
173 0.8% 92%  
174 1.0% 92%  
175 2% 91%  
176 4% 89%  
177 11% 85%  
178 7% 74%  
179 16% 66%  
180 4% 50% Median
181 4% 47%  
182 6% 43%  
183 9% 37%  
184 5% 28%  
185 3% 23%  
186 3% 21%  
187 4% 18%  
188 5% 14%  
189 3% 8%  
190 2% 5%  
191 0.4% 3%  
192 0.6% 2%  
193 0.4% 2%  
194 0.4% 1.2%  
195 0.3% 0.7%  
196 0.1% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.3%  
198 0% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.3% 99.8%  
151 0.3% 99.5% Majority
152 0.9% 99.2%  
153 1.4% 98%  
154 5% 97%  
155 1.0% 92%  
156 1.2% 91%  
157 6% 90%  
158 7% 84%  
159 4% 77%  
160 4% 73%  
161 18% 70%  
162 8% 52% Median
163 5% 44%  
164 2% 39%  
165 2% 37%  
166 16% 35%  
167 4% 19%  
168 4% 15%  
169 0.4% 11%  
170 2% 10%  
171 2% 8%  
172 4% 6%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.2% 1.4%  
175 0.3% 1.2%  
176 0.3% 1.0%  
177 0.3% 0.7%  
178 0% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0.2% 0.2%  
182 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 0.4% 99.7%  
76 0.1% 99.2%  
77 0.4% 99.1%  
78 0.7% 98.7%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 1.5% 97%  
81 3% 96%  
82 2% 93%  
83 4% 91%  
84 3% 87%  
85 8% 84%  
86 11% 76%  
87 10% 65% Median
88 19% 55%  
89 12% 36%  
90 3% 24%  
91 4% 21%  
92 5% 17%  
93 4% 12%  
94 2% 8%  
95 2% 7%  
96 3% 5%  
97 0.6% 2%  
98 0.6% 1.5%  
99 0.3% 0.9%  
100 0.2% 0.5%  
101 0.1% 0.4%  
102 0.2% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.7%  
67 0.7% 99.3%  
68 1.1% 98.7%  
69 2% 98%  
70 2% 95%  
71 3% 94%  
72 8% 90%  
73 6% 83%  
74 8% 77%  
75 11% 68%  
76 13% 58% Median
77 13% 45%  
78 10% 32%  
79 5% 22%  
80 4% 17%  
81 2% 13%  
82 4% 11%  
83 2% 7%  
84 2% 5%  
85 2% 3%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.5% 1.0%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations