Opinion Poll by MRB, 24–26 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 37.9% 35.9–39.9% 35.4–40.4% 34.9–40.9% 34.0–41.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 29.0% 27.2–30.9% 26.7–31.4% 26.3–31.9% 25.4–32.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 3.4% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.7% 2.1–5.1%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 154 149–160 147–163 146–165 143–170
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 80 75–85 74–86 72–88 70–92
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 23 20–26 19–27 18–28 16–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 14 12–16 11–17 11–18 10–20
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 11 9–13 0–13 0–14 0–16
Ελληνική Λύση 0 10 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 9 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0–9 0–9 0–10
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.4% 99.7%  
144 0.4% 99.3%  
145 0.9% 98.9%  
146 0.9% 98%  
147 4% 97%  
148 2% 93%  
149 10% 91%  
150 3% 81%  
151 10% 78% Majority
152 9% 68%  
153 6% 60%  
154 8% 54% Median
155 6% 46%  
156 6% 41%  
157 7% 34%  
158 8% 27%  
159 7% 19%  
160 2% 12%  
161 2% 10%  
162 1.1% 8%  
163 3% 7%  
164 0.9% 3%  
165 0.7% 3%  
166 0.8% 2%  
167 0.1% 1.1%  
168 0.2% 1.0%  
169 0.1% 0.8%  
170 0.5% 0.7%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.8% 99.6%  
71 0.8% 98.9%  
72 1.5% 98%  
73 0.9% 97%  
74 2% 96%  
75 9% 93%  
76 9% 84%  
77 3% 75%  
78 4% 71%  
79 15% 67%  
80 6% 53% Median
81 9% 47%  
82 13% 37%  
83 10% 24%  
84 4% 14%  
85 4% 11%  
86 3% 7%  
87 0.7% 4%  
88 1.1% 3%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.4% 1.2%  
91 0.2% 0.8%  
92 0.3% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0% 100%  
16 0.5% 99.9%  
17 0.7% 99.4% Last Result
18 2% 98.7%  
19 4% 97%  
20 9% 93%  
21 14% 83%  
22 18% 69%  
23 16% 52% Median
24 12% 36%  
25 13% 24%  
26 6% 11%  
27 3% 5%  
28 1.4% 3%  
29 0.8% 1.2%  
30 0.2% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 2% 99.6%  
11 5% 98%  
12 10% 93%  
13 23% 83%  
14 17% 60% Median
15 15% 43% Last Result
16 20% 28%  
17 3% 7%  
18 2% 4%  
19 1.3% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0.8% 95%  
9 14% 94%  
10 26% 79%  
11 23% 54% Median
12 14% 31%  
13 12% 17%  
14 3% 5%  
15 1.3% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 0% 87%  
2 0% 87%  
3 0% 87%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0% 87%  
7 0% 87%  
8 2% 87%  
9 20% 85%  
10 15% 65% Median
11 22% 50%  
12 19% 27%  
13 5% 8%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.8% 1.1%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 0% 85%  
2 0% 85%  
3 0% 85%  
4 0% 85%  
5 0% 85%  
6 0% 85%  
7 0% 85%  
8 2% 85%  
9 40% 83% Median
10 22% 43%  
11 8% 21%  
12 10% 13%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.3% 0.6%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 0% 8%  
4 0% 8%  
5 0% 8%  
6 0% 8%  
7 0% 8%  
8 2% 8%  
9 5% 6% Last Result
10 0.9% 1.2%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 177 100% 171–185 170–186 168–188 165–193
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 154 78% 149–160 147–163 146–165 143–170
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 89 0% 81–94 79–95 77–97 74–100
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 80 0% 75–85 74–86 72–88 70–92

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.8%  
165 0.2% 99.6%  
166 1.2% 99.4%  
167 0.8% 98%  
168 0.7% 98%  
169 2% 97%  
170 2% 95%  
171 4% 93%  
172 10% 90%  
173 10% 79%  
174 8% 69%  
175 4% 61%  
176 4% 57%  
177 6% 52% Median
178 6% 46%  
179 14% 41%  
180 3% 27%  
181 4% 24%  
182 2% 20%  
183 7% 18%  
184 1.1% 11%  
185 3% 10%  
186 3% 7%  
187 1.2% 4%  
188 0.4% 3%  
189 0.4% 2%  
190 0.5% 2%  
191 0.2% 1.1%  
192 0.1% 0.9%  
193 0.3% 0.8%  
194 0.2% 0.5%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.4% 99.7%  
144 0.4% 99.3%  
145 0.9% 98.9%  
146 0.9% 98%  
147 4% 97%  
148 2% 93%  
149 10% 91%  
150 3% 81%  
151 10% 78% Majority
152 9% 68%  
153 6% 60%  
154 8% 54% Median
155 6% 46%  
156 6% 41%  
157 7% 34%  
158 8% 27%  
159 7% 19%  
160 2% 12%  
161 2% 10%  
162 1.1% 8%  
163 3% 7%  
164 0.9% 3%  
165 0.7% 3%  
166 0.8% 2%  
167 0.1% 1.1%  
168 0.2% 1.0%  
169 0.1% 0.8%  
170 0.5% 0.7%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0.4% 99.7%  
75 0.4% 99.3%  
76 0.5% 98.8%  
77 2% 98%  
78 0.7% 96%  
79 1.3% 96%  
80 2% 94%  
81 2% 92%  
82 2% 90%  
83 2% 88%  
84 5% 86%  
85 10% 80%  
86 4% 71%  
87 4% 66%  
88 8% 63%  
89 10% 54% Median
90 6% 45%  
91 9% 39%  
92 10% 30%  
93 9% 20%  
94 5% 11%  
95 2% 6%  
96 1.0% 4%  
97 1.3% 3%  
98 0.6% 1.4%  
99 0.3% 0.8%  
100 0.2% 0.5%  
101 0.1% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.8% 99.6%  
71 0.8% 98.9%  
72 1.5% 98%  
73 0.9% 97%  
74 2% 96%  
75 9% 93%  
76 9% 84%  
77 3% 75%  
78 4% 71%  
79 15% 67%  
80 6% 53% Median
81 9% 47%  
82 13% 37%  
83 10% 24%  
84 4% 14%  
85 4% 11%  
86 3% 7%  
87 0.7% 4%  
88 1.1% 3%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.4% 1.2%  
91 0.2% 0.8%  
92 0.3% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations