Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Alpha TV, 27 June–1 July 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 38.6% 36.8–40.4% 36.3–41.0% 35.9–41.4% 35.1–42.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 29.2% 27.5–30.9% 27.1–31.4% 26.7–31.8% 25.9–32.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 7.5% 6.6–8.6% 6.4–8.9% 6.2–9.2% 5.8–9.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.6% 3.8–7.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.8% 3.1–6.2%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.7–5.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.2% 2.7–4.4% 2.5–4.6% 2.3–5.0%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.3%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 155 150–160 148–162 147–162 145–166
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 79 75–84 73–86 72–87 70–90
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 20 18–23 17–24 17–25 16–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 14 12–17 12–18 11–18 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 12 10–14 10–15 9–16 9–17
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 11 9–13 9–14 0–14 0–15
Ελληνική Λύση 0 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–13
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0 0–9
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0.1% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0.6% 99.7%  
146 1.2% 99.1%  
147 1.1% 98%  
148 2% 97%  
149 2% 95%  
150 12% 93%  
151 3% 80% Majority
152 5% 77%  
153 7% 72%  
154 14% 65%  
155 7% 51% Median
156 5% 45%  
157 9% 40%  
158 15% 31%  
159 4% 16%  
160 2% 12%  
161 3% 10%  
162 4% 7%  
163 0.8% 2%  
164 0.4% 2%  
165 0.5% 1.1%  
166 0.3% 0.7%  
167 0.2% 0.4%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0.1% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.6% 99.7%  
71 1.0% 99.1%  
72 1.2% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 4% 94%  
75 7% 90%  
76 5% 84%  
77 7% 78%  
78 13% 71%  
79 12% 58% Median
80 9% 45%  
81 7% 37%  
82 9% 30%  
83 6% 21%  
84 6% 15%  
85 4% 9%  
86 1.3% 5%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0.3% 0.8%  
90 0.3% 0.5%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100%  
15 0.3% 99.9%  
16 0.9% 99.6%  
17 4% 98.7% Last Result
18 13% 95%  
19 19% 82%  
20 19% 62% Median
21 14% 44%  
22 11% 30%  
23 11% 19%  
24 4% 8%  
25 2% 4%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.1% 99.9%  
11 3% 98.8%  
12 10% 96%  
13 20% 86%  
14 22% 66% Median
15 20% 43% Last Result
16 13% 24%  
17 5% 11%  
18 5% 6%  
19 0.8% 1.2%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0.2% 99.8%  
9 3% 99.6%  
10 7% 97%  
11 22% 89%  
12 20% 67% Median
13 26% 47%  
14 13% 21%  
15 5% 8%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.5% 0.8%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 2% 97%  
9 10% 95%  
10 24% 85%  
11 19% 61% Median
12 26% 43%  
13 9% 17%  
14 7% 8%  
15 1.0% 2%  
16 0.4% 0.5%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 0% 77%  
4 0% 77%  
5 0% 77%  
6 0% 77%  
7 0% 77%  
8 11% 77%  
9 21% 66% Median
10 26% 45%  
11 12% 19%  
12 5% 7%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 1.0% 2%  
9 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.4%  
2 0% 0.4%  
3 0% 0.4%  
4 0% 0.4%  
5 0% 0.4%  
6 0% 0.4%  
7 0% 0.4%  
8 0.2% 0.4%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 175 100% 169–181 169–183 167–184 165–188
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 155 80% 150–160 148–162 147–162 145–166
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 91 0% 86–97 85–98 84–99 82–103
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 79 0% 75–84 73–86 72–87 70–90

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0.2% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.7%  
165 0.3% 99.6%  
166 0.9% 99.3%  
167 1.1% 98%  
168 1.4% 97%  
169 6% 96%  
170 8% 90%  
171 3% 82%  
172 8% 80%  
173 5% 72%  
174 11% 66%  
175 6% 56% Median
176 15% 50%  
177 4% 35%  
178 6% 31%  
179 6% 25%  
180 2% 20%  
181 10% 18%  
182 2% 8%  
183 2% 6%  
184 3% 4%  
185 0.5% 2%  
186 0.2% 1.0%  
187 0.1% 0.8%  
188 0.2% 0.6%  
189 0.2% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0.1% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0.6% 99.7%  
146 1.2% 99.1%  
147 1.1% 98%  
148 2% 97%  
149 2% 95%  
150 12% 93%  
151 3% 80% Majority
152 5% 77%  
153 7% 72%  
154 14% 65%  
155 7% 51% Median
156 5% 45%  
157 9% 40%  
158 15% 31%  
159 4% 16%  
160 2% 12%  
161 3% 10%  
162 4% 7%  
163 0.8% 2%  
164 0.4% 2%  
165 0.5% 1.1%  
166 0.3% 0.7%  
167 0.2% 0.4%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0.1% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 0.4% 99.6%  
83 0.7% 99.2%  
84 2% 98.5%  
85 2% 96%  
86 6% 94%  
87 3% 88%  
88 6% 85%  
89 11% 79%  
90 6% 68%  
91 13% 62% Median
92 8% 49%  
93 6% 41%  
94 10% 36%  
95 8% 26%  
96 5% 18%  
97 7% 13%  
98 4% 7%  
99 0.6% 3%  
100 0.9% 2%  
101 0.2% 1.2%  
102 0.4% 1.0%  
103 0.2% 0.6%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.6% 99.7%  
71 1.0% 99.1%  
72 1.2% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 4% 94%  
75 7% 90%  
76 5% 84%  
77 7% 78%  
78 13% 71%  
79 12% 58% Median
80 9% 45%  
81 7% 37%  
82 9% 30%  
83 6% 21%  
84 6% 15%  
85 4% 9%  
86 1.3% 5%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0.3% 0.8%  
90 0.3% 0.5%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations