Opinion Poll by Prorata, 28 June–1 July 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 39.5% 37.5–41.5% 37.0–42.1% 36.5–42.6% 35.6–43.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 26.5% 24.8–28.3% 24.3–28.9% 23.9–29.3% 23.0–30.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 164 157–172 156–174 154–176 151–180
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 77 71–83 70–84 68–86 66–90
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 20 17–24 17–25 16–26 15–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–19 13–20 12–21 11–22
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 11 0–13 0–14 0–14 0–16
Ελληνική Λύση 0 0 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–14
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0.1% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.2% 99.8%  
151 0.2% 99.7% Majority
152 0.6% 99.4%  
153 0.6% 98.9%  
154 1.5% 98%  
155 2% 97%  
156 3% 95%  
157 3% 93%  
158 4% 90%  
159 5% 86%  
160 5% 81%  
161 6% 76%  
162 6% 71%  
163 7% 64%  
164 8% 57% Median
165 7% 50%  
166 6% 42%  
167 7% 36%  
168 6% 29%  
169 6% 23%  
170 4% 17%  
171 3% 14%  
172 3% 11%  
173 2% 9%  
174 2% 6%  
175 2% 4%  
176 0.8% 3%  
177 0.5% 2%  
178 0.4% 1.4%  
179 0.3% 1.0%  
180 0.3% 0.7%  
181 0.2% 0.4%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.3% 99.6%  
67 0.8% 99.3%  
68 1.4% 98.5%  
69 2% 97%  
70 3% 95%  
71 3% 92%  
72 4% 89%  
73 5% 85%  
74 7% 80%  
75 9% 73%  
76 8% 63%  
77 9% 55% Median
78 11% 46%  
79 7% 35%  
80 7% 28%  
81 6% 22%  
82 4% 16%  
83 4% 11%  
84 3% 8%  
85 2% 5%  
86 1.0% 3%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.5% 1.3%  
89 0.3% 0.9%  
90 0.3% 0.6%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100%  
14 0.3% 99.9%  
15 1.1% 99.7%  
16 3% 98.5%  
17 6% 96% Last Result
18 11% 90%  
19 18% 79%  
20 17% 62% Median
21 14% 45%  
22 11% 31%  
23 8% 20%  
24 5% 11%  
25 3% 6%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.7% 1.1%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.2%  
13 6% 97%  
14 12% 91%  
15 15% 78% Last Result
16 17% 63% Median
17 19% 46%  
18 13% 27%  
19 7% 14%  
20 4% 7%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.8% 1.2%  
23 0.3% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100%  
1 0% 87%  
2 0% 87%  
3 0% 87%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0% 87%  
7 0% 87%  
8 0.2% 87%  
9 12% 87%  
10 22% 75%  
11 23% 54% Median
12 15% 31%  
13 9% 15%  
14 4% 6%  
15 1.4% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 45%  
2 0% 45%  
3 0% 45%  
4 0% 45%  
5 0% 45%  
6 0% 45%  
7 0% 45%  
8 0.3% 45%  
9 0.8% 44%  
10 0.8% 43%  
11 39% 43%  
12 2% 4%  
13 0% 2%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 32% 100% Last Result
1 0% 68%  
2 0% 68%  
3 0% 68%  
4 0% 68%  
5 0% 68%  
6 0% 68%  
7 0% 68%  
8 0.4% 68%  
9 17% 68%  
10 27% 50% Median
11 12% 24%  
12 7% 12%  
13 4% 5%  
14 0.6% 0.9%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 185 100% 177–193 175–196 174–198 171–202
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 164 99.7% 157–172 156–174 154–176 151–180
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 84 0% 76–92 74–94 73–95 70–98
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 77 0% 71–83 70–84 68–86 66–90

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.2% 99.8%  
171 0.4% 99.7%  
172 0.5% 99.2%  
173 0.9% 98.7%  
174 1.3% 98%  
175 2% 96%  
176 2% 94%  
177 3% 92%  
178 3% 89%  
179 4% 86%  
180 4% 82%  
181 6% 78%  
182 6% 72%  
183 7% 66%  
184 6% 60% Median
185 10% 54%  
186 6% 44%  
187 6% 38%  
188 5% 32%  
189 6% 27%  
190 4% 21%  
191 4% 17%  
192 2% 13%  
193 3% 11%  
194 1.1% 8%  
195 2% 7%  
196 1.0% 5%  
197 1.2% 4%  
198 0.9% 3%  
199 0.4% 2%  
200 0.7% 2%  
201 0.2% 0.8%  
202 0.2% 0.6%  
203 0.3% 0.4%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0.1% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.2% 99.8%  
151 0.2% 99.7% Majority
152 0.6% 99.4%  
153 0.6% 98.9%  
154 1.5% 98%  
155 2% 97%  
156 3% 95%  
157 3% 93%  
158 4% 90%  
159 5% 86%  
160 5% 81%  
161 6% 76%  
162 6% 71%  
163 7% 64%  
164 8% 57% Median
165 7% 50%  
166 6% 42%  
167 7% 36%  
168 6% 29%  
169 6% 23%  
170 4% 17%  
171 3% 14%  
172 3% 11%  
173 2% 9%  
174 2% 6%  
175 2% 4%  
176 0.8% 3%  
177 0.5% 2%  
178 0.4% 1.4%  
179 0.3% 1.0%  
180 0.3% 0.7%  
181 0.2% 0.4%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0.5% 99.5%  
71 0.5% 99.0%  
72 1.0% 98.5%  
73 2% 98%  
74 2% 96%  
75 3% 94%  
76 3% 91%  
77 5% 88%  
78 4% 83%  
79 4% 79%  
80 4% 76%  
81 5% 71%  
82 5% 66%  
83 5% 62%  
84 8% 57%  
85 5% 49%  
86 6% 44%  
87 8% 38% Median
88 5% 30%  
89 7% 25%  
90 5% 19%  
91 3% 14%  
92 3% 11%  
93 2% 7%  
94 2% 5%  
95 1.1% 3%  
96 0.8% 2%  
97 0.5% 1.1%  
98 0.3% 0.6%  
99 0.2% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.3% 99.6%  
67 0.8% 99.3%  
68 1.4% 98.5%  
69 2% 97%  
70 3% 95%  
71 3% 92%  
72 4% 89%  
73 5% 85%  
74 7% 80%  
75 9% 73%  
76 8% 63%  
77 9% 55% Median
78 11% 46%  
79 7% 35%  
80 7% 28%  
81 6% 22%  
82 4% 16%  
83 4% 11%  
84 3% 8%  
85 2% 5%  
86 1.0% 3%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.5% 1.3%  
89 0.3% 0.9%  
90 0.3% 0.6%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations