Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 28 June–2 July 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 38.9% 36.9–40.9% 36.4–41.5% 35.9–42.0% 35.0–42.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 27.8% 26.0–29.7% 25.5–30.2% 25.1–30.7% 24.3–31.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 158 153–165 152–167 150–169 147–173
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 79 73–84 72–85 70–86 67–89
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 22 20–26 19–27 18–27 17–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 14 12–16 11–17 10–18 10–19
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 12 10–14 9–15 0–15 0–17
Ελληνική Λύση 0 10 8–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 9 0–10 0–11 0–12 0–13
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0 0
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.3% 99.9%  
147 0.3% 99.6%  
148 0.5% 99.3%  
149 1.2% 98.7%  
150 2% 98%  
151 0.8% 96% Majority
152 3% 95%  
153 6% 93%  
154 4% 86%  
155 8% 82%  
156 4% 74%  
157 11% 70%  
158 9% 59% Median
159 5% 49%  
160 8% 44%  
161 11% 36%  
162 6% 25%  
163 2% 19%  
164 4% 17%  
165 3% 13%  
166 2% 10%  
167 3% 8%  
168 2% 4%  
169 1.0% 3%  
170 0.9% 2%  
171 0.1% 0.9%  
172 0.3% 0.8%  
173 0.1% 0.5%  
174 0.2% 0.4%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.2%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0.1% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.7%  
68 0.6% 99.4%  
69 1.0% 98.8%  
70 0.9% 98%  
71 2% 97%  
72 2% 95%  
73 9% 93%  
74 6% 84%  
75 6% 78%  
76 4% 72%  
77 5% 68%  
78 13% 63%  
79 6% 50% Median
80 9% 44%  
81 11% 35%  
82 10% 23%  
83 3% 13%  
84 4% 10%  
85 2% 6%  
86 2% 4%  
87 0.9% 2%  
88 0.4% 1.3%  
89 0.5% 0.9%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.4% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.6% Last Result
18 4% 99.3%  
19 4% 95%  
20 15% 92%  
21 6% 76%  
22 24% 71% Median
23 14% 46%  
24 6% 32%  
25 14% 26%  
26 4% 12%  
27 7% 9%  
28 0.6% 2%  
29 0.9% 1.4%  
30 0.3% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0.4% 99.9%  
10 3% 99.5%  
11 6% 97%  
12 13% 91%  
13 25% 77%  
14 16% 52% Median
15 17% 37% Last Result
16 11% 20%  
17 5% 9%  
18 3% 4%  
19 1.0% 1.4%  
20 0.2% 0.4%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0.6% 97%  
9 6% 97%  
10 18% 91%  
11 17% 73%  
12 23% 56% Median
13 16% 33%  
14 12% 17%  
15 3% 5%  
16 1.3% 2%  
17 0.6% 0.8%  
18 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 0% 90%  
5 0% 90%  
6 0% 90%  
7 0% 90%  
8 1.2% 90%  
9 27% 89%  
10 25% 62% Median
11 12% 37%  
12 16% 25%  
13 6% 9%  
14 2% 3%  
15 1.0% 1.3%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 0% 54%  
2 0% 54%  
3 0% 54%  
4 0% 54%  
5 0% 54%  
6 0% 54%  
7 0% 54%  
8 3% 54%  
9 20% 50% Median
10 21% 30%  
11 6% 9%  
12 2% 3%  
13 1.0% 1.2%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0% 0.3%  
5 0% 0.3%  
6 0% 0.3%  
7 0% 0.3%  
8 0% 0.3%  
9 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0% 0.2%  
5 0% 0.2%  
6 0% 0.2%  
7 0% 0.2%  
8 0.1% 0.2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 181 100% 175–188 174–190 172–192 169–196
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 158 96% 153–165 152–167 150–169 147–173
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 83 0% 77–89 75–91 74–93 70–96
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 79 0% 73–84 72–85 70–86 67–89

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0.3% 99.8%  
169 0.2% 99.5%  
170 0.9% 99.3%  
171 0.7% 98%  
172 1.3% 98%  
173 1.0% 96%  
174 2% 95%  
175 6% 93%  
176 3% 87%  
177 6% 84%  
178 4% 78%  
179 4% 74%  
180 16% 70% Median
181 9% 54%  
182 5% 45%  
183 6% 40%  
184 7% 33%  
185 7% 26%  
186 6% 19%  
187 2% 14%  
188 3% 12%  
189 2% 9%  
190 2% 7%  
191 2% 5%  
192 0.8% 3%  
193 0.7% 2%  
194 0.4% 2%  
195 0.5% 1.1%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0.1% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.3% 99.9%  
147 0.3% 99.6%  
148 0.5% 99.3%  
149 1.2% 98.7%  
150 2% 98%  
151 0.8% 96% Majority
152 3% 95%  
153 6% 93%  
154 4% 86%  
155 8% 82%  
156 4% 74%  
157 11% 70%  
158 9% 59% Median
159 5% 49%  
160 8% 44%  
161 11% 36%  
162 6% 25%  
163 2% 19%  
164 4% 17%  
165 3% 13%  
166 2% 10%  
167 3% 8%  
168 2% 4%  
169 1.0% 3%  
170 0.9% 2%  
171 0.1% 0.9%  
172 0.3% 0.8%  
173 0.1% 0.5%  
174 0.2% 0.4%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.2%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0.1% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.7%  
71 0.3% 99.3%  
72 0.5% 99.0%  
73 0.4% 98%  
74 2% 98%  
75 2% 96%  
76 2% 94%  
77 3% 92%  
78 2% 88%  
79 3% 87%  
80 6% 84%  
81 10% 78%  
82 17% 68%  
83 5% 51%  
84 5% 46%  
85 7% 41%  
86 3% 34%  
87 4% 31%  
88 11% 27% Median
89 6% 16%  
90 1.4% 10%  
91 4% 8%  
92 0.9% 5%  
93 2% 4%  
94 0.5% 2%  
95 0.9% 2%  
96 0.4% 0.8%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.7%  
68 0.6% 99.4%  
69 1.0% 98.8%  
70 0.9% 98%  
71 2% 97%  
72 2% 95%  
73 9% 93%  
74 6% 84%  
75 6% 78%  
76 4% 72%  
77 5% 68%  
78 13% 63%  
79 6% 50% Median
80 9% 44%  
81 11% 35%  
82 10% 23%  
83 3% 13%  
84 4% 10%  
85 2% 6%  
86 2% 4%  
87 0.9% 2%  
88 0.4% 1.3%  
89 0.5% 0.9%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations