Opinion Poll by Interview for Βεργίνα TV, 1–3 July 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 35.7% 33.8–37.7% 33.3–38.3% 32.8–38.7% 31.9–39.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 25.1% 23.4–26.9% 22.9–27.4% 22.5–27.9% 21.7–28.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 7.2% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.4%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 159 153–165 151–167 149–168 147–171
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 77 70–82 69–83 68–85 66–88
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 22 19–25 18–26 17–27 16–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 13–19 13–20 12–21 11–23
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 13 11–16 10–17 10–17 0–19
Ελληνική Λύση 0 12 10–15 9–16 0–16 0–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 0 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–12
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0 0–9

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0.1% 100%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.2% 99.8%  
147 0.4% 99.6%  
148 0.6% 99.2%  
149 1.3% 98.6%  
150 2% 97%  
151 2% 95% Majority
152 3% 93%  
153 5% 90%  
154 4% 85%  
155 4% 81%  
156 9% 77%  
157 9% 68%  
158 8% 58%  
159 7% 51% Median
160 10% 44%  
161 7% 34%  
162 4% 27%  
163 4% 23%  
164 7% 18%  
165 3% 11%  
166 2% 8%  
167 2% 5%  
168 1.1% 3%  
169 0.9% 2%  
170 0.4% 1.1%  
171 0.3% 0.7%  
172 0.1% 0.4%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.4% 99.6%  
67 0.8% 99.2%  
68 2% 98%  
69 2% 97%  
70 5% 95%  
71 5% 90%  
72 5% 85%  
73 7% 80%  
74 5% 73%  
75 9% 68%  
76 8% 59%  
77 12% 51% Median
78 9% 39%  
79 7% 30%  
80 6% 23%  
81 5% 17%  
82 5% 12%  
83 2% 7%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.0% 3%  
86 0.7% 2%  
87 0.4% 1.0%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 0.5% 99.8%  
17 2% 99.3% Last Result
18 5% 97%  
19 7% 93%  
20 11% 85%  
21 17% 74%  
22 17% 58% Median
23 14% 41%  
24 10% 26%  
25 8% 16%  
26 4% 8%  
27 3% 4%  
28 1.0% 2%  
29 0.5% 0.8%  
30 0.2% 0.3%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.1%  
13 7% 97%  
14 15% 90%  
15 11% 75% Last Result
16 23% 64% Median
17 13% 41%  
18 14% 28%  
19 5% 14%  
20 6% 9%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.7% 1.2%  
23 0.5% 0.6%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 0% 99.1%  
5 0% 99.1%  
6 0% 99.1%  
7 0% 99.1%  
8 0% 99.1%  
9 1.0% 99.1%  
10 6% 98%  
11 12% 92%  
12 20% 80%  
13 17% 61% Median
14 20% 44%  
15 12% 24%  
16 7% 12%  
17 3% 6%  
18 2% 2% Last Result
19 0.4% 0.7%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 2% 96%  
10 11% 95%  
11 21% 84%  
12 17% 63% Median
13 19% 46%  
14 13% 27%  
15 8% 15%  
16 4% 6%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.6%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0% 15%  
4 0% 15%  
5 0% 15%  
6 0% 15%  
7 0% 15%  
8 0% 15%  
9 6% 15%  
10 6% 8%  
11 1.4% 2%  
12 0.5% 0.6%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0% 0.6%  
5 0% 0.6%  
6 0% 0.6%  
7 0% 0.6%  
8 0% 0.6%  
9 0.4% 0.6% Last Result
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 181 100% 175–187 173–189 172–190 168–194
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 159 95% 153–165 151–167 149–168 147–171
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 78 0% 71–84 70–86 69–88 67–91
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 77 0% 70–82 69–83 68–85 66–88

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0.1% 100%  
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0.2% 99.8%  
168 0.3% 99.6%  
169 0.3% 99.3%  
170 0.6% 98.9%  
171 0.8% 98%  
172 2% 98%  
173 3% 96%  
174 3% 93%  
175 4% 91%  
176 7% 86%  
177 7% 80%  
178 6% 73%  
179 8% 67%  
180 7% 59%  
181 9% 52% Median
182 7% 43%  
183 9% 36%  
184 3% 28%  
185 7% 24%  
186 4% 17%  
187 4% 13%  
188 3% 9%  
189 2% 6%  
190 1.1% 4%  
191 1.0% 2%  
192 0.5% 1.5%  
193 0.5% 1.0%  
194 0.1% 0.6%  
195 0.2% 0.4%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0.1% 100%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.2% 99.8%  
147 0.4% 99.6%  
148 0.6% 99.2%  
149 1.3% 98.6%  
150 2% 97%  
151 2% 95% Majority
152 3% 93%  
153 5% 90%  
154 4% 85%  
155 4% 81%  
156 9% 77%  
157 9% 68%  
158 8% 58%  
159 7% 51% Median
160 10% 44%  
161 7% 34%  
162 4% 27%  
163 4% 23%  
164 7% 18%  
165 3% 11%  
166 2% 8%  
167 2% 5%  
168 1.1% 3%  
169 0.9% 2%  
170 0.4% 1.1%  
171 0.3% 0.7%  
172 0.1% 0.4%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.4% 99.6%  
68 1.0% 99.2%  
69 1.4% 98%  
70 4% 97%  
71 3% 93%  
72 4% 90%  
73 6% 86%  
74 5% 81%  
75 7% 76%  
76 7% 69%  
77 11% 62% Median
78 9% 50%  
79 7% 42%  
80 7% 35%  
81 6% 27%  
82 6% 21%  
83 3% 14%  
84 3% 12%  
85 3% 8%  
86 1.2% 6%  
87 2% 5%  
88 1.1% 3%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.6% 1.3%  
91 0.2% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.4% 99.6%  
67 0.8% 99.2%  
68 2% 98%  
69 2% 97%  
70 5% 95%  
71 5% 90%  
72 5% 85%  
73 7% 80%  
74 5% 73%  
75 9% 68%  
76 8% 59%  
77 12% 51% Median
78 9% 39%  
79 7% 30%  
80 6% 23%  
81 5% 17%  
82 5% 12%  
83 2% 7%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.0% 3%  
86 0.7% 2%  
87 0.4% 1.0%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations