Opinion Poll by Public Issue, 18 June–3 July 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 42.5% 40.5–44.5% 39.9–45.1% 39.4–45.6% 38.5–46.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 27.0% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.4% 24.4–29.9% 23.5–30.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.7%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 168 161–175 159–178 157–180 155–183
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 75 69–81 68–83 67–84 64–88
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 22 19–26 18–27 18–27 17–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–18 12–19 12–20 11–21
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–15
Ελληνική Λύση 0 8 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 0 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0–8 0–9

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.7%  
155 0.3% 99.5%  
156 0.8% 99.3%  
157 1.1% 98%  
158 2% 97%  
159 1.5% 96%  
160 3% 94%  
161 2% 91%  
162 5% 89%  
163 4% 84%  
164 5% 80%  
165 6% 75%  
166 7% 69%  
167 7% 62%  
168 6% 55% Median
169 11% 48%  
170 6% 38%  
171 6% 32%  
172 5% 26%  
173 4% 21%  
174 5% 17%  
175 3% 13%  
176 1.0% 9%  
177 3% 8%  
178 1.4% 5%  
179 0.9% 4%  
180 2% 3%  
181 0.5% 1.5%  
182 0.2% 1.0%  
183 0.4% 0.8%  
184 0% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.4%  
186 0.2% 0.3%  
187 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.5% 99.7%  
65 0.5% 99.2%  
66 1.1% 98.8%  
67 2% 98%  
68 3% 96%  
69 3% 93%  
70 3% 90%  
71 5% 87%  
72 9% 81%  
73 8% 72%  
74 6% 65%  
75 11% 58% Median
76 6% 48%  
77 9% 41%  
78 9% 32%  
79 6% 23%  
80 4% 18%  
81 3% 13%  
82 2% 10%  
83 3% 7%  
84 2% 5%  
85 0.9% 2%  
86 0.5% 1.5%  
87 0.4% 1.0%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.5% Last Result
18 3% 98%  
19 8% 95%  
20 11% 87%  
21 13% 76%  
22 14% 63% Median
23 17% 48%  
24 9% 31%  
25 9% 22%  
26 8% 13%  
27 3% 5%  
28 1.4% 2%  
29 0.7% 1.1%  
30 0.3% 0.5%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.3% 99.9%  
11 2% 99.6%  
12 5% 98%  
13 9% 93%  
14 19% 84%  
15 19% 65% Last Result, Median
16 17% 47%  
17 15% 30%  
18 7% 15%  
19 5% 8%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.9% 1.4%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 5% 84%  
9 20% 79%  
10 25% 59% Median
11 17% 34%  
12 10% 18%  
13 5% 8%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.5% 0.7%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Last Result
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0% 50%  
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 0% 50%  
7 0% 50%  
8 5% 50% Median
9 22% 45%  
10 13% 24%  
11 7% 10%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.7% 0.9%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 48%  
2 0% 48%  
3 0% 48%  
4 0% 48%  
5 0% 48%  
6 0% 48%  
7 0% 48%  
8 4% 48%  
9 22% 44%  
10 12% 22%  
11 7% 11%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.6% 0.8%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 0% 3%  
8 1.2% 3%  
9 1.4% 2% Last Result
10 0.3% 0.4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 190 100% 183–198 181–201 179–204 176–207
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 168 100% 161–175 159–178 157–180 155–183
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 80 0% 73–87 72–89 70–91 67–94
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 75 0% 69–81 68–83 67–84 64–88

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 100%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.2% 99.8%  
176 0.4% 99.6%  
177 0.4% 99.2%  
178 0.9% 98.8%  
179 1.2% 98%  
180 1.1% 97%  
181 2% 96%  
182 1.4% 93%  
183 4% 92%  
184 3% 88%  
185 7% 84%  
186 4% 78%  
187 4% 73%  
188 6% 69%  
189 6% 63%  
190 7% 57% Median
191 6% 50%  
192 8% 44%  
193 5% 36%  
194 5% 31%  
195 4% 26%  
196 4% 23%  
197 7% 19%  
198 4% 12%  
199 1.4% 9%  
200 2% 7%  
201 1.0% 5%  
202 1.0% 4%  
203 0.9% 3%  
204 1.2% 3%  
205 0.4% 1.4%  
206 0.4% 0.9%  
207 0.3% 0.5%  
208 0.1% 0.3%  
209 0.1% 0.2%  
210 0.1% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.7%  
155 0.3% 99.5%  
156 0.8% 99.3%  
157 1.1% 98%  
158 2% 97%  
159 1.5% 96%  
160 3% 94%  
161 2% 91%  
162 5% 89%  
163 4% 84%  
164 5% 80%  
165 6% 75%  
166 7% 69%  
167 7% 62%  
168 6% 55% Median
169 11% 48%  
170 6% 38%  
171 6% 32%  
172 5% 26%  
173 4% 21%  
174 5% 17%  
175 3% 13%  
176 1.0% 9%  
177 3% 8%  
178 1.4% 5%  
179 0.9% 4%  
180 2% 3%  
181 0.5% 1.5%  
182 0.2% 1.0%  
183 0.4% 0.8%  
184 0% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.4%  
186 0.2% 0.3%  
187 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.7%  
68 0.7% 99.4%  
69 0.6% 98.8%  
70 0.9% 98%  
71 2% 97%  
72 3% 95%  
73 3% 93%  
74 3% 89%  
75 7% 86% Median
76 5% 79%  
77 7% 73%  
78 7% 67%  
79 8% 60%  
80 5% 52%  
81 8% 47%  
82 5% 39%  
83 7% 34%  
84 7% 27%  
85 4% 20%  
86 4% 17%  
87 3% 13%  
88 3% 9%  
89 2% 6%  
90 1.2% 4%  
91 1.3% 3%  
92 0.6% 2%  
93 0.3% 1.0%  
94 0.3% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.5% 99.7%  
65 0.5% 99.2%  
66 1.1% 98.8%  
67 2% 98%  
68 3% 96%  
69 3% 93%  
70 3% 90%  
71 5% 87%  
72 9% 81%  
73 8% 72%  
74 6% 65%  
75 11% 58% Median
76 6% 48%  
77 9% 41%  
78 9% 32%  
79 6% 23%  
80 4% 18%  
81 3% 13%  
82 2% 10%  
83 3% 7%  
84 2% 5%  
85 0.9% 2%  
86 0.5% 1.5%  
87 0.4% 1.0%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations