Opinion Poll by Marc for ANT1, 2–4 July 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 38.9% 37.2–40.6% 36.8–41.0% 36.4–41.5% 35.6–42.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 27.5% 26.0–29.1% 25.6–29.5% 25.2–29.9% 24.5–30.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.4–8.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 5.5% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.1–7.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.9% 3.3–4.6% 3.1–4.9% 3.0–5.0% 2.7–5.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 3.7% 3.1–4.4% 2.9–4.6% 2.8–4.8% 2.6–5.2%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 3.6% 3.0–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.5–5.1%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.1–3.1%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–1.9% 0.6–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 159 153–163 151–165 150–166 148–169
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 77 72–82 70–83 70–84 68–86
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 19 17–22 17–23 16–24 15–25
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–18 13–19 12–19 11–20
Ελληνική Λύση 0 11 9–13 9–14 0–14 0–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 10 9–12 0–13 0–13 0–14
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 10 9–12 0–13 0–13 0–14
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0–8
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.5% 99.8%  
149 0.3% 99.3%  
150 2% 99.0%  
151 3% 97% Majority
152 2% 94%  
153 3% 93%  
154 5% 90%  
155 5% 84%  
156 6% 80%  
157 10% 73%  
158 5% 63%  
159 28% 58% Median
160 11% 30%  
161 4% 19%  
162 3% 15%  
163 3% 13%  
164 3% 10%  
165 3% 7%  
166 1.5% 4%  
167 0.9% 2%  
168 0.8% 2%  
169 0.3% 0.8%  
170 0.2% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.7%  
69 1.2% 99.1%  
70 3% 98%  
71 3% 95%  
72 3% 92%  
73 5% 89%  
74 6% 84%  
75 13% 77%  
76 10% 65%  
77 19% 55% Median
78 11% 36%  
79 7% 25%  
80 3% 18%  
81 5% 15%  
82 4% 10%  
83 2% 6%  
84 2% 4%  
85 0.6% 2%  
86 0.6% 1.0%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.5% 100%  
15 0.5% 99.5%  
16 4% 99.0%  
17 9% 95% Last Result
18 20% 87%  
19 17% 66% Median
20 19% 49%  
21 16% 31%  
22 7% 15%  
23 4% 7%  
24 2% 3%  
25 0.7% 1.0%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.6% 100%  
12 2% 99.4%  
13 18% 97%  
14 24% 79%  
15 19% 56% Last Result, Median
16 13% 37%  
17 9% 24%  
18 8% 14%  
19 4% 6%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0.6% 97%  
9 13% 96%  
10 32% 83%  
11 19% 51% Median
12 13% 33%  
13 14% 20%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.7% 0.9%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 2% 94%  
9 17% 92%  
10 26% 75% Median
11 23% 49%  
12 17% 26%  
13 7% 9%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0% 91%  
7 0% 91%  
8 1.3% 91%  
9 18% 90%  
10 43% 72% Median
11 16% 29%  
12 7% 13%  
13 5% 6%  
14 0.9% 1.3%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0% 0.6%  
5 0% 0.6%  
6 0% 0.6%  
7 0% 0.6%  
8 0.4% 0.6%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 178 100% 172–183 171–185 170–187 168–190
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 159 97% 153–163 151–165 150–166 148–169
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 87 0% 81–92 79–93 78–94 74–97
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 77 0% 72–82 70–83 70–84 68–86

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0.1% 100%  
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0.3% 99.7%  
169 0.8% 99.4%  
170 2% 98.7%  
171 3% 97%  
172 4% 94%  
173 3% 90%  
174 4% 87%  
175 4% 83%  
176 10% 78%  
177 17% 69%  
178 13% 52% Median
179 11% 39%  
180 10% 28%  
181 5% 19%  
182 2% 13%  
183 2% 11%  
184 2% 9%  
185 2% 7%  
186 2% 5%  
187 1.3% 3%  
188 0.7% 2%  
189 0.2% 1.1%  
190 0.5% 0.9%  
191 0.1% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.2%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.5% 99.8%  
149 0.3% 99.3%  
150 2% 99.0%  
151 3% 97% Majority
152 2% 94%  
153 3% 93%  
154 5% 90%  
155 5% 84%  
156 6% 80%  
157 10% 73%  
158 5% 63%  
159 28% 58% Median
160 11% 30%  
161 4% 19%  
162 3% 15%  
163 3% 13%  
164 3% 10%  
165 3% 7%  
166 1.5% 4%  
167 0.9% 2%  
168 0.8% 2%  
169 0.3% 0.8%  
170 0.2% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.8%  
75 0.3% 99.3%  
76 0.3% 99.0%  
77 0.9% 98.6%  
78 1.4% 98%  
79 2% 96%  
80 3% 95%  
81 3% 92%  
82 3% 89%  
83 4% 86%  
84 6% 82%  
85 7% 77%  
86 10% 70%  
87 12% 60% Median
88 12% 47%  
89 18% 35%  
90 3% 17%  
91 5% 15%  
92 3% 10%  
93 2% 7%  
94 3% 5%  
95 0.9% 2%  
96 0.4% 1.1%  
97 0.5% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.7%  
69 1.2% 99.1%  
70 3% 98%  
71 3% 95%  
72 3% 92%  
73 5% 89%  
74 6% 84%  
75 13% 77%  
76 10% 65%  
77 19% 55% Median
78 11% 36%  
79 7% 25%  
80 3% 18%  
81 5% 15%  
82 4% 10%  
83 2% 6%  
84 2% 4%  
85 0.6% 2%  
86 0.6% 1.0%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations