Opinion Poll by RASS for Action24, 1–4 July 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 39.4% 37.4–41.4% 36.9–42.0% 36.4–42.4% 35.5–43.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 27.7% 26.0–29.6% 25.5–30.1% 25.0–30.6% 24.2–31.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.7%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 164 156–172 154–176 153–176 151–179
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 80 73–85 71–88 70–90 68–92
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 24 21–27 20–28 19–29 18–31
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 14–21 14–21 13–22 12–24
Ελληνική Λύση 0 9 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 0 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 0 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–12
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0–8 0–10
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0–9

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.2% 99.7%  
151 0.6% 99.5% Majority
152 0.8% 98.9%  
153 2% 98%  
154 2% 96%  
155 0.9% 94%  
156 3% 93%  
157 2% 90%  
158 7% 87%  
159 5% 80%  
160 4% 75%  
161 8% 71%  
162 7% 64%  
163 5% 56%  
164 10% 51% Median
165 7% 42%  
166 3% 35%  
167 10% 32%  
168 2% 22%  
169 4% 20%  
170 3% 16%  
171 2% 14%  
172 3% 11%  
173 0.8% 9%  
174 1.0% 8%  
175 0.8% 7%  
176 5% 6%  
177 0.1% 1.3%  
178 0.4% 1.2%  
179 0.5% 0.7%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0.1% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.7% 99.8%  
69 0.5% 99.1%  
70 1.3% 98.7%  
71 4% 97%  
72 2% 94%  
73 3% 92%  
74 1.2% 89%  
75 3% 88%  
76 5% 85%  
77 9% 80%  
78 10% 71%  
79 6% 61%  
80 10% 55% Median
81 11% 45%  
82 6% 34%  
83 12% 28%  
84 4% 16%  
85 3% 13%  
86 3% 10%  
87 2% 7%  
88 1.5% 5%  
89 0.9% 4%  
90 1.1% 3%  
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.3% 0.7%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
18 1.0% 99.6%  
19 2% 98.6%  
20 4% 96%  
21 8% 92%  
22 9% 84%  
23 17% 74%  
24 15% 57% Median
25 8% 42%  
26 17% 34%  
27 9% 17%  
28 4% 8%  
29 3% 4%  
30 0.5% 1.3%  
31 0.5% 0.9%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.7% 99.7%  
13 2% 99.0%  
14 8% 97%  
15 9% 89% Last Result
16 18% 80%  
17 18% 62% Median
18 16% 44%  
19 10% 28%  
20 8% 19%  
21 7% 11%  
22 3% 4%  
23 0.8% 1.3%  
24 0.4% 0.5%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100% Last Result
1 0% 66%  
2 0% 66%  
3 0% 66%  
4 0% 66%  
5 0% 66%  
6 0% 66%  
7 0% 66%  
8 0.3% 66%  
9 18% 66% Median
10 23% 48%  
11 15% 25%  
12 7% 10%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.8% 1.1%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 48%  
2 0% 48%  
3 0% 48%  
4 0% 48%  
5 0% 48%  
6 0% 48%  
7 0% 48%  
8 0.4% 48%  
9 24% 47%  
10 13% 24%  
11 7% 11%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.9% 1.3%  
14 0.4% 0.5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Median
1 0% 32%  
2 0% 32%  
3 0% 32%  
4 0% 32%  
5 0% 32%  
6 0% 32%  
7 0% 32%  
8 1.1% 32%  
9 19% 31%  
10 7% 12%  
11 4% 5%  
12 0.9% 1.3%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 0% 3%  
8 0.5% 3%  
9 1.2% 2% Last Result
10 0.7% 0.9%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.3%  
2 0% 1.3%  
3 0% 1.3%  
4 0% 1.3%  
5 0% 1.3%  
6 0% 1.3%  
7 0% 1.3%  
8 0.2% 1.3%  
9 0.8% 1.2%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 188 100% 180–196 177–199 176–200 172–204
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 164 99.5% 156–172 154–176 153–176 151–179
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 84 0% 78–91 76–94 73–95 71–99
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 80 0% 73–85 71–88 70–90 68–92

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0.3% 99.7%  
173 0.1% 99.4%  
174 0.9% 99.3%  
175 0.5% 98%  
176 2% 98%  
177 1.2% 96%  
178 3% 95%  
179 1.4% 92%  
180 2% 91%  
181 2% 89%  
182 2% 86%  
183 4% 84%  
184 9% 80%  
185 6% 70%  
186 4% 64%  
187 8% 60%  
188 12% 52% Median
189 5% 41%  
190 2% 35%  
191 7% 34%  
192 5% 27%  
193 5% 22%  
194 3% 17%  
195 4% 15%  
196 2% 11%  
197 0.5% 9%  
198 0.4% 8%  
199 5% 8%  
200 0.4% 3%  
201 0.2% 2%  
202 0.1% 2%  
203 1.0% 2%  
204 0.5% 0.8%  
205 0.2% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.2% 99.7%  
151 0.6% 99.5% Majority
152 0.8% 98.9%  
153 2% 98%  
154 2% 96%  
155 0.9% 94%  
156 3% 93%  
157 2% 90%  
158 7% 87%  
159 5% 80%  
160 4% 75%  
161 8% 71%  
162 7% 64%  
163 5% 56%  
164 10% 51% Median
165 7% 42%  
166 3% 35%  
167 10% 32%  
168 2% 22%  
169 4% 20%  
170 3% 16%  
171 2% 14%  
172 3% 11%  
173 0.8% 9%  
174 1.0% 8%  
175 0.8% 7%  
176 5% 6%  
177 0.1% 1.3%  
178 0.4% 1.2%  
179 0.5% 0.7%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0.1% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.8% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.0%  
73 1.4% 98.6%  
74 0.5% 97%  
75 0.7% 97%  
76 1.3% 96%  
77 4% 95%  
78 7% 91%  
79 3% 84%  
80 6% 81% Median
81 7% 75%  
82 6% 68%  
83 10% 61%  
84 3% 51%  
85 5% 48%  
86 7% 43%  
87 4% 36%  
88 7% 32%  
89 7% 26%  
90 4% 19%  
91 5% 15%  
92 2% 10%  
93 2% 7%  
94 2% 6%  
95 2% 4%  
96 0.8% 2%  
97 0.6% 2%  
98 0.3% 1.1%  
99 0.4% 0.8%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.7% 99.8%  
69 0.5% 99.1%  
70 1.3% 98.7%  
71 4% 97%  
72 2% 94%  
73 3% 92%  
74 1.2% 89%  
75 3% 88%  
76 5% 85%  
77 9% 80%  
78 10% 71%  
79 6% 61%  
80 10% 55% Median
81 11% 45%  
82 6% 34%  
83 12% 28%  
84 4% 16%  
85 3% 13%  
86 3% 10%  
87 2% 7%  
88 1.5% 5%  
89 0.9% 4%  
90 1.1% 3%  
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.3% 0.7%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations