Opinion Poll by Κάπα Research for ΕΘΝΟΣ, 1–5 July 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 28.1% 40.0% 38.2–41.8% 37.7–42.3% 37.3–42.7% 36.4–43.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 35.5% 28.0% 26.4–29.6% 25.9–30.1% 25.5–30.5% 24.8–31.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 6.3% 7.3% 6.5–8.4% 6.2–8.7% 6.0–8.9% 5.6–9.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.6% 5.4% 4.6–6.3% 4.5–6.6% 4.3–6.8% 3.9–7.3%
Χρυσή Αυγή 7.0% 3.9% 3.2–4.7% 3.1–4.9% 2.9–5.1% 2.7–5.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.1% 2.6–4.4% 2.5–4.6% 2.3–4.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.8% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.2% 2.0–4.6%
Ένωση Κεντρώων 3.4% 1.5% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.4% 0.8–2.7%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0.0% 1.5% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.4% 0.8–2.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 161 156–169 154–169 153–171 150–175
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 78 73–83 72–85 71–86 68–89
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 17 21 18–24 17–24 17–25 16–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 13–18 13–18 12–19 11–20
Χρυσή Αυγή 18 11 9–13 9–14 0–14 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 0 9 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–14
Ελληνική Λύση 0 9 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–13
Ένωση Κεντρώων 9 0 0 0 0 0
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0.1% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.3% 99.7%  
151 0.8% 99.5% Majority
152 1.0% 98.7%  
153 1.3% 98%  
154 4% 96%  
155 3% 93%  
156 5% 90%  
157 9% 85%  
158 8% 76%  
159 6% 68%  
160 9% 62%  
161 8% 53% Median
162 6% 45%  
163 13% 39%  
164 4% 26%  
165 6% 23%  
166 1.2% 17%  
167 3% 15%  
168 2% 12%  
169 6% 10%  
170 2% 4%  
171 0.7% 3%  
172 0.3% 2%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.2% 1.5%  
175 1.0% 1.3%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.7%  
69 0.5% 99.4%  
70 1.0% 98.9%  
71 2% 98%  
72 5% 96%  
73 3% 91%  
74 5% 88%  
75 10% 83%  
76 9% 73%  
77 12% 64%  
78 7% 52% Median
79 9% 45%  
80 9% 37%  
81 9% 27%  
82 6% 19%  
83 4% 13%  
84 3% 9%  
85 2% 6%  
86 2% 3%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.4% 0.9%  
89 0.2% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100%  
15 0.4% 99.9%  
16 1.2% 99.5%  
17 4% 98% Last Result
18 11% 95%  
19 11% 84%  
20 20% 73%  
21 15% 53% Median
22 21% 38%  
23 8% 18%  
24 7% 10%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.9% 1.3%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.9%  
12 3% 98.9%  
13 7% 96%  
14 15% 89%  
15 23% 74% Last Result
16 24% 51% Median
17 13% 26%  
18 8% 13%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.7% 1.0%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0.3% 97%  
9 11% 97%  
10 15% 86%  
11 28% 71% Median
12 20% 43%  
13 13% 23%  
14 7% 10%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 0% 75%  
2 0% 75%  
3 0% 75%  
4 0% 75%  
5 0% 75%  
6 0% 75%  
7 0% 75%  
8 4% 75%  
9 26% 72% Median
10 24% 46%  
11 12% 21%  
12 6% 9%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.5% 0.7%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 0% 61%  
2 0% 61%  
3 0% 61%  
4 0% 61%  
5 0% 61%  
6 0% 61%  
7 0% 61%  
8 5% 61%  
9 26% 55% Median
10 20% 29%  
11 7% 9%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.7% 0.8%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Ένωση Κεντρώων

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ένωση Κεντρώων page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 92 181 100% 176–189 174–191 172–193 171–198
Νέα Δημοκρατία 75 161 99.5% 156–169 154–169 153–171 150–175
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 145 86 0% 79–91 76–93 76–95 73–97
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 145 78 0% 73–83 72–85 71–86 68–89

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100% Last Result
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.2% 99.8%  
171 1.2% 99.6%  
172 1.3% 98%  
173 1.1% 97%  
174 2% 96%  
175 4% 94%  
176 9% 90%  
177 4% 82%  
178 4% 78%  
179 8% 74%  
180 8% 66%  
181 8% 58%  
182 5% 50% Median
183 8% 45%  
184 3% 37%  
185 11% 33%  
186 3% 23%  
187 5% 19%  
188 2% 14%  
189 5% 12%  
190 1.5% 8%  
191 2% 6%  
192 0.9% 4%  
193 1.3% 3%  
194 0.4% 2%  
195 0.6% 2%  
196 0.2% 1.2%  
197 0.1% 1.0%  
198 0.8% 0.9%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0.1% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.3% 99.7%  
151 0.8% 99.5% Majority
152 1.0% 98.7%  
153 1.3% 98%  
154 4% 96%  
155 3% 93%  
156 5% 90%  
157 9% 85%  
158 8% 76%  
159 6% 68%  
160 9% 62%  
161 8% 53% Median
162 6% 45%  
163 13% 39%  
164 4% 26%  
165 6% 23%  
166 1.2% 17%  
167 3% 15%  
168 2% 12%  
169 6% 10%  
170 2% 4%  
171 0.7% 3%  
172 0.3% 2%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.2% 1.5%  
175 1.0% 1.3%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.6%  
73 0.2% 99.5%  
74 0.2% 99.4%  
75 0.5% 99.1%  
76 4% 98.7%  
77 1.0% 95%  
78 2% 94%  
79 5% 92%  
80 2% 88%  
81 7% 85%  
82 5% 78%  
83 4% 73%  
84 6% 70%  
85 11% 63%  
86 12% 53%  
87 5% 41% Median
88 5% 36%  
89 7% 30%  
90 9% 24%  
91 6% 15%  
92 3% 9%  
93 2% 6%  
94 2% 5%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.4% 1.2%  
97 0.4% 0.7%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.7%  
69 0.5% 99.4%  
70 1.0% 98.9%  
71 2% 98%  
72 5% 96%  
73 3% 91%  
74 5% 88%  
75 10% 83%  
76 9% 73%  
77 12% 64%  
78 7% 52% Median
79 9% 45%  
80 9% 37%  
81 9% 27%  
82 6% 19%  
83 4% 13%  
84 3% 9%  
85 2% 6%  
86 2% 3%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.4% 0.9%  
89 0.2% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations