Opinion Poll by Minerva Intézet, 10–17 November 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 0.0% | 47.9% | 45.9–49.9% | 45.3–50.5% | 44.8–51.0% | 43.9–52.0% |
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0.0% | 43.4% | 41.4–45.4% | 40.8–46.0% | 40.4–46.5% | 39.4–47.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 0 | 11 | 11–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 7% | 100% | |
| 11 | 83% | 93% | Median, Majority |
| 12 | 10% | 10% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 10% | 100% | |
| 10 | 83% | 90% | Median |
| 11 | 7% | 7% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0 | 10 | 7% | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 10% | 100% | |
| 10 | 83% | 90% | Median |
| 11 | 7% | 7% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Minerva Intézet
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 10–17 November 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.31%