Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 40.9% | 34.6–48.8% | 33.7–49.7% | 33.1–50.5% | 32.0–51.8% |
| 13–16 October 2025 | Alapjogokért Központ | 46.9% | 44.9–48.9% | 44.3–49.5% | 43.8–50.0% | 42.9–51.0% |
| 13–14 October 2025 | Real-PR 93 | 49.0% | 47.0–51.0% | 46.4–51.6% | 45.9–52.1% | 44.9–53.1% |
| 6–13 October 2025 | Publicus Research Népszava |
37.6% | 35.7–39.6% | 35.1–40.2% | 34.6–40.6% | 33.7–41.6% |
| 3–10 October 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 35.0% | 33.1–37.0% | 32.6–37.5% | 32.1–38.0% | 31.2–39.0% |
| 6–7 October 2025 | XXI. Század Intézet | 43.9% | 41.9–45.9% | 41.3–46.5% | 40.8–47.0% | 39.9–48.0% |
| 30 September–7 October 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 37.9% | 36.3–39.6% | 35.9–40.0% | 35.5–40.4% | 34.8–41.2% |
| 25 September–1 October 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 35.0% | 33.1–37.0% | 32.6–37.5% | 32.1–38.0% | 31.2–39.0% |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 47.0% | 45.0–49.0% | 44.4–49.6% | 43.9–50.1% | 43.0–51.1% |
| 10–14 September 2025 | McLaughlin & Associates Index |
43.0% | 41.0–45.0% | 40.4–45.6% | 40.0–46.1% | 39.0–47.1% |
| 8–12 September 2025 | Publicus Research Népszava |
37.0% | 35.1–39.0% | 34.5–39.6% | 34.0–40.0% | 33.2–41.0% |
| 8–10 September 2025 | Real-PR 93 | 47.0% | 45.0–49.0% | 44.4–49.6% | 43.9–50.1% | 43.0–51.1% |
| 31 August–6 September 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 39.0% | 37.4–40.6% | 36.9–41.1% | 36.5–41.5% | 35.8–42.3% |
| 28 August–4 September 2025 | Medián HVG |
38.0% | 36.1–40.0% | 35.5–40.6% | 35.0–41.1% | 34.1–42.0% |
| 29 August–3 September 2025 | Závecz Research | 36.0% | 34.1–38.0% | 33.5–38.5% | 33.1–39.0% | 32.2–40.0% |
| 27–31 August 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 36.0% | 34.1–38.0% | 33.5–38.5% | 33.1–39.0% | 32.2–40.0% |
| 21–27 August 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 34.7% | 32.8–36.7% | 32.3–37.2% | 31.8–37.7% | 30.9–38.7% |
| 18–19 August 2025 | Nézőpont Intézet | 46.0% | 44.0–48.0% | 43.4–48.6% | 42.9–49.1% | 42.0–50.1% |
| 31 July–7 August 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 38.6% | 37.0–40.2% | 36.5–40.7% | 36.2–41.1% | 35.4–41.9% |
| 1–6 August 2025 | Publicus Research Népszava |
35.2% | 33.3–37.2% | 32.8–37.7% | 32.3–38.2% | 31.4–39.2% |
| 23–29 July 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–38.0% |
| 1–8 July 2025 | Republikon Intézet 24.hu |
32.9% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–36.0% | 29.3–36.9% |
| 30 June–2 July 2025 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 49.0% | 47.0–51.0% | 46.4–51.6% | 45.9–52.1% | 44.9–53.1% |
| 30 June–1 July 2025 | Real-PR 93 | 47.0% | 45.0–49.0% | 44.4–49.6% | 43.9–50.1% | 43.0–51.1% |
| 19–27 June 2025 | Závecz Research | 35.0% | 33.4–36.6% | 33.0–37.1% | 32.6–37.5% | 31.9–38.2% |
| 24–27 June 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont 24.hu |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–38.0% |
| 23–25 June 2025 | Publicus Research | 37.0% | 35.0–39.0% | 34.5–39.5% | 34.0–40.0% | 33.1–41.0% |
| 16–17 June 2025 | Nézőpont Intézet | 44.0% | 42.0–46.0% | 41.4–46.6% | 40.9–47.1% | 40.0–48.1% |
| 3–7 June 2025 | Medián HVG |
36.0% | 34.1–38.0% | 33.5–38.5% | 33.1–39.0% | 32.2–40.0% |
| 28 May–3 June 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 33.7% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–38.0% |
| 15–23 May 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 37.0% | 35.4–38.6% | 35.0–39.1% | 34.6–39.5% | 33.8–40.3% |
| 12–16 May 2025 | Publicus Research | 35.6% | 33.7–37.6% | 33.2–38.1% | 32.7–38.6% | 31.8–39.6% |
| 9–18 April 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 34.9% | 33.4–36.5% | 32.9–37.0% | 32.6–37.4% | 31.8–38.2% |
| 3–9 April 2025 | Publicus Research | 36.7% | 34.8–38.7% | 34.2–39.2% | 33.8–39.7% | 32.8–40.7% |
| 1–7 April 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 37.0% | 35.1–39.0% | 34.5–39.6% | 34.0–40.0% | 33.2–41.0% |
| 26 March–1 April 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–25 March 2025 | Závecz Research | 34.4% | 32.5–36.4% | 32.0–36.9% | 31.5–37.4% | 30.6–38.4% |
| 10–12 March 2025 | Nézőpont Intézet | 45.0% | 43.0–47.0% | 42.4–47.6% | 41.9–48.1% | 41.0–49.1% |
| 5–11 March 2025 | Publicus Research | 39.0% | 37.1–41.0% | 36.5–41.6% | 36.0–42.1% | 35.1–43.0% |
| 27 February–8 March 2025 | Medián HVG |
36.6% | 34.7–38.6% | 34.1–39.2% | 33.7–39.6% | 32.8–40.6% |
| 1 December 2024–28 February 2025 | Iránytű Intézet | 38.6% | 37.8–39.4% | 37.6–39.6% | 37.4–39.8% | 37.1–40.2% |
| 22–26 February 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 35.6% | 33.7–37.6% | 33.2–38.1% | 32.7–38.6% | 31.8–39.6% |
| 20–29 January 2025 | Publicus Research | 37.0% | 35.9–38.1% | 35.6–38.5% | 35.3–38.7% | 34.8–39.3% |
| 14–22 January 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 31.7% | 29.9–33.6% | 29.3–34.2% | 28.9–34.7% | 28.0–35.6% |
| 31 December 2024–10 January 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 35.5% | 34.0–37.1% | 33.5–37.6% | 33.2–38.0% | 32.4–38.8% |
| 1–31 December 2024 | Századvég | 42.0% | 40.0–44.0% | 39.5–44.6% | 39.0–45.1% | 38.0–46.1% |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 49.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 December 2024 | Publicus Research | 36.0% | 34.1–38.0% | 33.5–38.5% | 33.1–39.0% | 32.2–40.0% |
| 9–11 December 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 47.0% | 45.0–49.0% | 44.4–49.6% | 43.9–50.1% | 43.0–51.1% |
| 29 November–6 December 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 36.7% | 35.1–38.3% | 34.6–38.7% | 34.3–39.1% | 33.5–39.9% |
| 28 November–5 December 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 31.0% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.5% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.3–34.9% |
| 20–30 November 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 34.7% | 32.8–36.7% | 32.3–37.2% | 31.8–37.7% | 30.9–38.7% |
| 25–27 November 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 44.0% | 42.0–46.0% | 41.4–46.6% | 40.9–47.1% | 40.0–48.1% |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Medián | 35.9% | 34.2–37.7% | 33.7–38.2% | 33.2–38.7% | 32.4–39.6% |
| 19–22 November 2024 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 45.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 November 2024 | Századvég | 40.0% | 38.0–42.0% | 37.5–42.6% | 37.0–43.1% | 36.1–44.0% |
| 14–19 November 2024 | Publicus Research | 37.7% | 35.8–39.7% | 35.2–40.3% | 34.7–40.8% | 33.8–41.7% |
| 11–13 November 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 46.0% | 44.0–48.0% | 43.4–48.6% | 42.9–49.1% | 42.0–50.1% |
| 31 October–8 November 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 37.5% | 35.9–39.2% | 35.5–39.6% | 35.1–40.0% | 34.4–40.8% |
| 28 October–4 November 2024 | Medián | 39.0% | 37.1–41.0% | 36.5–41.6% | 36.0–42.1% | 35.1–43.0% |
| 1–31 October 2024 | Századvég | 43.0% | 41.0–45.0% | 40.4–45.6% | 40.0–46.1% | 39.0–47.1% |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 44.0% | 42.0–46.0% | 41.4–46.6% | 40.9–47.1% | 40.0–48.1% |
| 24–29 October 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 36.5% | 34.6–38.5% | 34.0–39.0% | 33.6–39.5% | 32.7–40.5% |
| 11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 36.9% | 35.0–38.9% | 34.4–39.5% | 34.0–39.9% | 33.0–40.9% |
| 14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 46.0% | 44.0–48.0% | 43.4–48.6% | 42.9–49.1% | 42.0–50.1% |
| 9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 40.0% | 38.0–42.0% | 37.5–42.6% | 37.0–43.1% | 36.1–44.0% |
| 28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 39.0% | 37.1–41.0% | 36.5–41.6% | 36.0–42.1% | 35.1–43.0% |
| 27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 38.6% | 37.0–40.2% | 36.5–40.7% | 36.2–41.1% | 35.4–41.9% |
| 16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 47.0% | 45.0–49.0% | 44.4–49.6% | 43.9–50.1% | 43.0–51.1% |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 45.0% | 44.3–48.5% | 43.8–49.0% | 43.3–49.6% | 42.3–50.5% |
| 3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 42.9% | 40.9–44.9% | 40.3–45.5% | 39.9–46.0% | 38.9–47.0% |
| 28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 38.8% | 37.2–40.4% | 36.7–40.9% | 36.4–41.3% | 35.6–42.1% |
| 21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 41.9% | 39.9–43.9% | 39.4–44.5% | 38.9–45.0% | 37.9–46.0% |
| 24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 40.8% | 39.2–42.4% | 38.7–42.9% | 38.3–43.3% | 37.6–44.1% |
| 15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 47.0% | 45.0–49.0% | 44.4–49.6% | 43.9–50.1% | 43.0–51.1% |
| 4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 42.8% | 40.8–44.8% | 40.2–45.4% | 39.8–45.9% | 38.8–46.9% |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 40.6% | 38.6–42.6% | 38.1–43.2% | 37.6–43.7% | 36.7–44.7% |
| 19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 40.8% | 39.2–42.4% | 38.7–42.9% | 38.3–43.3% | 37.6–44.1% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 6% | 96% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 8% | 90% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 8% | 83% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 9% | 74% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 8% | 65% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 5% | 58% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 2% | 53% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 1.1% | 50% | Median |
| 41.5–42.5% | 2% | 49% | |
| 42.5–43.5% | 3% | 48% | |
| 43.5–44.5% | 4% | 45% | |
| 44.5–45.5% | 6% | 40% | |
| 45.5–46.5% | 7% | 34% | |
| 46.5–47.5% | 8% | 27% | |
| 47.5–48.5% | 8% | 19% | |
| 48.5–49.5% | 6% | 12% | |
| 49.5–50.5% | 3% | 6% | |
| 50.5–51.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 51.5–52.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 52.5–53.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53.5–54.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 |
| 13–16 October 2025 | Alapjogokért Központ | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 |
| 13–14 October 2025 | Real-PR 93 | 11 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
| 6–13 October 2025 | Publicus Research Népszava |
9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 3–10 October 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 6–7 October 2025 | XXI. Század Intézet | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| 30 September–7 October 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 25 September–1 October 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 11 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
| 10–14 September 2025 | McLaughlin & Associates Index |
10 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
| 8–12 September 2025 | Publicus Research Népszava |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 |
| 8–10 September 2025 | Real-PR 93 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
| 31 August–6 September 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 9 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 28 August–4 September 2025 | Medián HVG |
9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 29 August–3 September 2025 | Závecz Research | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
| 27–31 August 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 21–27 August 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 18–19 August 2025 | Nézőpont Intézet | 11 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 |
| 31 July–7 August 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 |
| 1–6 August 2025 | Publicus Research Népszava |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 23–29 July 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 1–8 July 2025 | Republikon Intézet 24.hu |
8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 30 June–2 July 2025 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 11 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–12 |
| 30 June–1 July 2025 | Real-PR 93 | 11 | 11–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
| 19–27 June 2025 | Závecz Research | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 |
| 24–27 June 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont 24.hu |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 23–25 June 2025 | Publicus Research | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
| 16–17 June 2025 | Nézőpont Intézet | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–12 |
| 3–7 June 2025 | Medián HVG |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 |
| 28 May–3 June 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 15–23 May 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 12–16 May 2025 | Publicus Research | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
| 9–18 April 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 |
| 3–9 April 2025 | Publicus Research | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 |
| 1–7 April 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 |
| 26 March–1 April 2025 | Republikon Intézet | |||||
| 16–25 March 2025 | Závecz Research | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 |
| 10–12 March 2025 | Nézőpont Intézet | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
| 5–11 March 2025 | Publicus Research | 9 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 27 February–8 March 2025 | Medián HVG |
9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 1 December 2024–28 February 2025 | Iránytű Intézet | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 |
| 22–26 February 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
| 20–29 January 2025 | Publicus Research | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 14–22 January 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 31 December 2024–10 January 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 1–31 December 2024 | Századvég | 10 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | |||||
| 11–17 December 2024 | Publicus Research | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 |
| 9–11 December 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 11 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 10–13 |
| 29 November–6 December 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 28 November–5 December 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 20–30 November 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 8 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
| 25–27 November 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 9–12 |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Medián | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 |
| 19–22 November 2024 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | |||||
| 14–19 November 2024 | Századvég | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–11 |
| 14–19 November 2024 | Publicus Research | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 11–13 November 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
| 31 October–8 November 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 28 October–4 November 2024 | Medián | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 1–31 October 2024 | Századvég | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–12 |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–12 |
| 24–29 October 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 11 | 11–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
| 9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| 28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| 27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 |
| 16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 11 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 10–13 |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 11 | 11–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 |
| 3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
| 28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 8–11 |
| 21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 10 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
| 24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 10 | 10 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| 15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 |
| 4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 9 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| 19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 23% | 97% | |
| 9 | 24% | 74% | |
| 10 | 17% | 50% | Median |
| 11 | 27% | 33% | Majority |
| 12 | 6% | 6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |