Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–30 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0.0% 18.4% 17.2–19.6% 16.9–19.9% 16.7–20.2% 16.1–20.8%
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0.0% 16.1% 15.0–17.2% 14.7–17.5% 14.4–17.8% 13.9–18.4%
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0.0% 10.7% 9.8–11.7% 9.5–11.9% 9.3–12.2% 8.9–12.7%
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 10.6% 9.7–11.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.2–12.1% 8.8–12.5%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0.0% 8.5% 7.7–9.4% 7.5–9.6% 7.3–9.8% 6.9–10.3%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0.0% 7.9% 7.1–8.7% 6.9–9.0% 6.7–9.2% 6.4–9.6%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0.0% 7.2% 6.5–8.0% 6.3–8.3% 6.1–8.5% 5.8–8.9%
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0.0% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.6%
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0.0% 3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.7% 3.1–4.9% 2.9–5.2%
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0.0% 2.9% 2.5–3.5% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.8% 2.0–4.1%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0.0% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5%
Kustība Par! (RE) 0.0% 1.6% 1.3–2.0% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5%
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–1.8% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.3%
Platforma 21 (*) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kustība Par! (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Platforma 21 (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 19% 100%  
2 81% 81% Median
3 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 51% 100% Median
2 49% 49%  
3 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0% 0%  

Stabilitātei! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 74% 74% Median
2 0% 0%  

Latvijas attīstībai (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Suverēnā vara (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kustība Par! (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Platforma 21 (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma 21 (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 51% 100% Median
2 49% 49%  
3 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations