Suverēnā vara (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.5% | 1.8–4.9% | 1.6–5.2% | 1.5–5.4% | 1.3–5.8% |
| 1–30 April 2025 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
4.5% | 3.9–5.2% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.4–5.9% |
| 14–24 March 2025 | Latvijas Fakti | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| 1–31 January 2025 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.4% |
| 30 November–9 December 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
4.6% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.4–6.1% |
| 1–30 November 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% |
| 1–31 October 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% |
| 1–31 August 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
3.6% | 3.1–4.2% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.9% |
| 1–30 June 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
2.9% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.0–4.1% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Suverēnā vara (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 4% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 36% | 96% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 26% | 49% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 22% | 24% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 1–30 April 2025 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 14–24 March 2025 | Latvijas Fakti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–31 January 2025 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 November–9 December 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–30 November 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–31 October 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 1–31 August 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–30 June 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Suverēnā vara (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |