Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 August 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 0.0% | 16.1% | 15.0–17.3% | 14.7–17.6% | 14.5–17.9% | 14.0–18.4% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) | 0.0% | 15.5% | 14.4–16.6% | 14.1–16.9% | 13.9–17.2% | 13.4–17.8% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0.0% | 11.8% | 10.9–12.8% | 10.6–13.1% | 10.4–13.4% | 10.0–13.9% |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 11.2% | 10.3–12.2% | 10.0–12.5% | 9.8–12.7% | 9.4–13.2% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) | 0.0% | 7.9% | 7.1–8.8% | 6.9–9.0% | 6.7–9.2% | 6.4–9.7% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) | 0.0% | 7.6% | 6.8–8.5% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.5–8.9% | 6.1–9.4% |
| Stabilitātei! (NI) | 0.0% | 7.5% | 6.7–8.4% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.4–8.8% | 6.0–9.2% |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) | 0.0% | 7.3% | 6.5–8.1% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.1–8.6% | 5.8–9.0% |
| Latvijas attīstībai (RE) | 0.0% | 3.7% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.7–5.0% |
| Suverēnā vara (ECR) | 0.0% | 3.6% | 3.1–4.2% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.9% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% |
| Kustība Par! (RE) | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.3–2.1% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.6% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.4% |
| Platforma 21 (*) | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Stabilitātei! (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Latvijas attīstībai (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Suverēnā vara (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kustība Par! (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Platforma 21 (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 46% | 100% | |
| 2 | 54% | 54% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 46% | 46% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Stabilitātei! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Suverēnā vara (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kustība Par! (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Platforma 21 (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma 21 (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 46% | 100% | |
| 2 | 54% | 54% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 August 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1789
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.41%