Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0.0% 15.9% 14.8–17.0% 14.5–17.4% 14.3–17.6% 13.8–18.2%
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0.0% 15.2% 14.2–16.4% 13.9–16.7% 13.6–16.9% 13.2–17.5%
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0.0% 11.5% 10.6–12.5% 10.3–12.8% 10.1–13.1% 9.7–13.6%
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 11.1% 10.2–12.1% 10.0–12.4% 9.8–12.7% 9.3–13.2%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0.0% 9.1% 8.3–10.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.8–10.5% 7.5–11.0%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0.0% 9.1% 8.3–10.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.8–10.5% 7.5–11.0%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0.0% 7.6% 6.8–8.4% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–8.9% 6.1–9.3%
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0.0% 7.0% 6.2–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 5.9–8.2% 5.6–8.7%
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0.0% 2.6% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.4% 1.8–3.7%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0.0% 1.6% 1.3–2.1% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5%
Kustība Par! (RE) 0.0% 1.5% 1.2–1.9% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4%
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9%
Platforma 21 (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kustība Par! (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Platforma 21 (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 25% 100%  
2 75% 75% Median
3 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 77% 100% Median
2 23% 23%  
3 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Stabilitātei! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Suverēnā vara (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Latvijas attīstībai (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kustība Par! (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Platforma 21 (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma 21 (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 75% 100% Median
2 25% 25%  
3 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations