Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–30 November 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0.0% 16.2% 15.1–17.3% 14.8–17.7% 14.6–18.0% 14.1–18.5%
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0.0% 14.2% 13.2–15.3% 12.9–15.6% 12.7–15.9% 12.2–16.4%
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0.0% 14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.7–15.4% 12.5–15.7% 12.0–16.2%
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 11.5% 10.6–12.5% 10.3–12.8% 10.1–13.1% 9.7–13.6%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0.0% 8.9% 8.1–9.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.7–10.3% 7.3–10.7%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0.0% 8.1% 7.3–9.0% 7.1–9.3% 7.0–9.5% 6.6–9.9%
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0.0% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.5–9.8%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0.0% 6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.1% 5.1–7.3% 4.8–7.7%
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0.0% 3.8% 3.3–4.4% 3.1–4.6% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.1%
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0.0% 3.5% 3.0–4.1% 2.9–4.3% 2.8–4.5% 2.5–4.8%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0.0% 1.6% 1.3–2.0% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5%
Kustība Par! (RE) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9%
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5%
Platforma 21 (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kustība Par! (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Platforma 21 (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98.9% 100% Median
2 1.1% 1.1%  
3 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Stabilitātei! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 99.4% Median
2 0% 0%  

Latvijas attīstībai (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Suverēnā vara (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kustība Par! (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Platforma 21 (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma 21 (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 2 1–2 1–2
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 99.4% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations