Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 30 November–9 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0.0% 18.0% 16.9–19.2% 16.5–19.6% 16.3–19.9% 15.7–20.5%
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0.0% 14.6% 13.6–15.7% 13.3–16.1% 13.0–16.4% 12.5–16.9%
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0.0% 12.5% 11.5–13.5% 11.2–13.9% 11.0–14.1% 10.6–14.6%
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 11.2% 10.3–12.2% 10.0–12.5% 9.8–12.8% 9.4–13.3%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0.0% 8.4% 7.6–9.3% 7.4–9.6% 7.2–9.8% 6.8–10.3%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0.0% 7.6% 6.8–8.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–8.9% 6.1–9.4%
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0.0% 6.7% 6.0–7.6% 5.8–7.8% 5.6–8.0% 5.3–8.4%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0.0% 6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.1% 5.1–7.3% 4.8–7.7%
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0.0% 4.6% 4.0–5.3% 3.8–5.5% 3.7–5.7% 3.4–6.1%
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0.0% 3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.8–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.7%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0.0% 1.7% 1.4–2.2% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7%
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–1.8% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3%
Kustība Par! (RE) 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2%
Platforma 21 (*) 0.0% 0.5% 0.4–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kustība Par! (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Platforma 21 (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 95% 95% Median
3 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Stabilitātei! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 95% 95% Median
2 0% 0%  

Suverēnā vara (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (ECR) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Latvijas attīstībai (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kustība Par! (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Platforma 21 (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma 21 (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 2–3 2–3 1–3
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–1

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.0% 100%  
2 93% 99.0% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 95% 95% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations