Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0.0% 18.1% 17.0–19.3% 16.6–19.6% 16.4–20.0% 15.9–20.5%
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0.0% 14.2% 13.2–15.3% 12.9–15.6% 12.6–15.9% 12.2–16.4%
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0.0% 11.4% 10.5–12.4% 10.2–12.7% 10.0–13.0% 9.6–13.5%
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 10.6% 9.7–11.6% 9.5–11.9% 9.3–12.1% 8.9–12.6%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0.0% 9.5% 8.7–10.4% 8.4–10.7% 8.2–10.9% 7.8–11.4%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0.0% 9.1% 8.3–10.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.8–10.5% 7.5–11.0%
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0.0% 7.7% 7.0–8.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.6–9.0% 6.2–9.5%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0.0% 5.4% 4.8–6.2% 4.6–6.4% 4.5–6.6% 4.2–7.0%
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0.0% 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.4%
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0.0% 2.4% 2.0–2.9% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.4% 1.4–2.5% 1.4–2.7% 1.2–2.9%
Kustība Par! (RE) 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.1% 1.2–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.0–2.6%
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–1.8% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3%
Platforma 21 (*) 0.0% 0.1% 0.1–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kustība Par! (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Platforma 21 (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 99.9% 100% Median

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 30% 100%  
2 70% 70% Median
3 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Stabilitātei! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 30% 30%  
2 0% 0%  

Suverēnā vara (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Latvijas attīstībai (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kustība Par! (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Platforma 21 (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma 21 (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 99.8% 100% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 30% 100%  
2 70% 70% Median
3 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 30% 30%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations