Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–30 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0.0% 16.5% 15.4–17.6% 15.1–18.0% 14.8–18.3% 14.3–18.8%
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0.0% 16.0% 14.9–17.1% 14.6–17.5% 14.4–17.7% 13.9–18.3%
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0.0% 12.8% 11.8–13.9% 11.6–14.2% 11.3–14.4% 10.9–15.0%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0.0% 9.7% 8.9–10.7% 8.6–10.9% 8.4–11.2% 8.0–11.6%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0.0% 9.5% 8.6–10.4% 8.4–10.7% 8.2–10.9% 7.8–11.4%
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.8% 8.0–9.7% 7.8–10.0% 7.6–10.2% 7.2–10.7%
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0.0% 7.3% 6.5–8.1% 6.3–8.4% 6.2–8.6% 5.8–9.0%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0.0% 5.1% 4.5–5.8% 4.3–6.0% 4.2–6.2% 3.9–6.6%
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0.0% 4.5% 3.9–5.2% 3.8–5.4% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.9%
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0.0% 2.5% 2.1–3.0% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.3% 1.7–3.6%
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0.0% 1.7% 1.4–2.2% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.7%
Kustība Par! (RE) 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–1.8% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.3%
Platforma 21 (*) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kustība Par! (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Platforma 21 (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 17% 100%  
2 83% 83% Median
3 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 30% 100%  
2 70% 70% Median
3 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 100% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Stabilitātei! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Last Result, Median
1 45% 45%  
2 0% 0%  

Suverēnā vara (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Latvijas attīstībai (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kustība Par! (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Platforma 21 (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma 21 (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 17% 100%  
2 83% 83% Median
3 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 29% 100%  
2 71% 71% Median
3 0.7% 0.7%  
4 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Last Result, Median
1 45% 45%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations