Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 July 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0.0% 15.4% 14.4–16.5% 14.1–16.9% 13.8–17.1% 13.3–17.7%
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0.0% 14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.7–15.4% 12.5–15.7% 12.0–16.2%
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 11.6% 10.7–12.6% 10.5–12.9% 10.2–13.2% 9.8–13.7%
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0.0% 11.5% 10.6–12.5% 10.3–12.8% 10.1–13.1% 9.7–13.6%
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0.0% 10.6% 9.7–11.6% 9.5–11.8% 9.3–12.1% 8.8–12.6%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0.0% 10.4% 9.5–11.4% 9.3–11.7% 9.1–11.9% 8.7–12.4%
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0.0% 7.3% 6.6–8.1% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.6% 5.9–9.0%
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0.0% 5.1% 4.5–5.8% 4.3–6.0% 4.2–6.2% 3.9–6.6%
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0.0% 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0.0% 2.5% 2.1–3.1% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.4% 1.7–3.6%
Kustība Par! (RE) 0.0% 1.8% 1.5–2.3% 1.4–2.4% 1.3–2.5% 1.1–2.8%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0.0% 1.7% 1.4–2.2% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.7%
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
Platforma 21 (*) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kustība Par! (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Platforma 21 (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 28% 100%  
2 72% 72% Median
3 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 100% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Suverēnā vara (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Stabilitātei! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Last Result, Median
1 29% 29%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Latvijas attīstībai (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kustība Par! (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Platforma 21 (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma 21 (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 3 0% 3 3 2–3 2–3
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 4% 100%  
3 96% 96% Median
4 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 28% 100%  
2 72% 72% Median
3 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations