Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 6–16 June 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0.0% 17.1% 16.0–18.3% 15.7–18.6% 15.4–18.9% 14.9–19.4%
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0.0% 15.0% 14.0–16.1% 13.7–16.4% 13.4–16.7% 13.0–17.3%
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0.0% 13.8% 12.8–14.9% 12.5–15.2% 12.3–15.5% 11.8–16.0%
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 12.1% 11.2–13.2% 10.9–13.4% 10.7–13.7% 10.3–14.2%
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0.0% 9.5% 8.7–10.4% 8.4–10.7% 8.2–10.9% 7.8–11.4%
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0.0% 7.3% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.6% 5.9–9.0%
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0.0% 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–7.9% 5.8–8.1% 5.5–8.6%
Mēs mainām noteikumus (*) 0.0% 4.5% 3.9–5.2% 3.7–5.3% 3.6–5.5% 3.4–5.9%
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.5% 2.3–3.6% 2.2–3.8% 2.0–4.1%
Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.5% 2.1–3.6% 1.9–3.9%
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0.0% 2.2% 1.8–2.7% 1.7–2.8% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.2%
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.8% 1.3–3.0%
Austošā Saule Latvijai (*) 0.0% 1.7% 1.4–2.1% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6%
Kustība Par! (RE) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.1%
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Suverēnā vara (ECR) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Mēs mainām noteikumus (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Stabilitātei! (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latvijas attīstībai (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Austošā Saule Latvijai (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kustība Par! (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 99.7% 99.7% Median
3 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 9% 100%  
2 91% 91% Median
3 0% 0%  

Suverēnā vara (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 93% 100% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Mēs mainām noteikumus (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mēs mainām noteikumus (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Stabilitātei! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Saskaņas Centrs (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Latvijas attīstībai (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Austošā Saule Latvijai (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Austošā Saule Latvijai (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kustība Par! (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Suverēnā vara (ECR) – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) 0 2 0% 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Suverēnā vara (ECR) – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 93% 100% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 9% 100%  
2 91% 91% Median
3 0% 0%  

PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations