Opinion Poll by Vilmorus for Lietuvos Rytas, 17–28 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) 0.0% 24.7% 23.0–26.5% 22.5–27.0% 22.1–27.5% 21.3–28.3%
Nemuno aušra (S&D) 0.0% 18.7% 17.2–20.4% 16.8–20.8% 16.4–21.2% 15.7–22.1%
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0.0% 17.7% 16.2–19.3% 15.8–19.8% 15.5–20.2% 14.8–21.0%
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 16.1% 14.7–17.7% 14.3–18.1% 13.9–18.5% 13.3–19.3%
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) 0.0% 10.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.4–12.1% 7.9–12.8%
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) 0.0% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Nemuno aušra (S&D) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1

Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 8% 100%  
3 92% 92% Median
4 0% 0%  

Nemuno aušra (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nemuno aušra (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 99.8% 100% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 99.8% 99.8% Median
3 0% 0%  

Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 97% 97% Median
3 0% 0%  

Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2

Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 99.8% 99.8% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations