Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 21.5% | 16.1–23.9% | 15.5–24.5% | 15.1–25.0% | 14.3–26.0% |
| 11–29 November 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
16.7% | 15.3–18.3% | 14.9–18.7% | 14.5–19.1% | 13.9–19.9% |
| 6–16 November 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
22.9% | 21.3–24.7% | 20.8–25.2% | 20.4–25.6% | 19.6–26.5% |
| 16–28 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
15.2% | 13.8–16.7% | 13.5–17.2% | 13.1–17.6% | 12.5–18.3% |
| 17–27 October 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.6% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 24 September–9 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
18.6% | 17.1–20.3% | 16.7–20.7% | 16.3–21.2% | 15.6–22.0% |
| 17–27 September 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
21.7% | 20.1–23.5% | 19.7–23.9% | 19.3–24.4% | 18.6–25.2% |
| 4–13 September 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
20.7% | 18.7–22.9% | 18.2–23.5% | 17.7–24.1% | 16.8–25.1% |
| 21 August–2 September 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
15.3% | 13.9–16.9% | 13.5–17.3% | 13.2–17.7% | 12.6–18.4% |
| 18–25 July 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.8–21.9% | 17.4–22.3% | 16.7–23.1% |
| 19–29 June 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.7% | 15.4–20.1% | 14.8–20.9% |
| 11–22 June 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
17.0% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.1–20.3% |
| 26 April–18 May 2025 | Spinter tyrimai | 17.9% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.0–20.0% | 15.7–20.4% | 15.0–21.2% |
| 2–12 May 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
16.4% | 15.0–18.0% | 14.6–18.4% | 14.2–18.8% | 13.6–19.6% |
| 19–29 April 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
18.1% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.2–20.1% | 15.8–20.5% | 15.1–21.3% |
| 17–28 April 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.8–21.0% |
| 5–19 April 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
| 18–28 March 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
18.4% | 16.6–20.4% | 16.1–21.0% | 15.7–21.5% | 14.9–22.5% |
| 8–24 March 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
15.3% | 13.9–16.8% | 13.5–17.3% | 13.2–17.6% | 12.6–18.4% |
| 14–23 February 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
14.4% | 13.1–15.9% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.4–16.7% | 11.7–17.5% |
| 25 January–8 February 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
11.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–29 January 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
15.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–20 December 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
17.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12 November–1 December 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 13.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–16 November 2024 | Vilmorus | 11.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 October–12 November 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 13.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–25 September 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–21 September 2024 | Vilmorus | 13.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–20 September 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 16.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 August 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai Delfi |
12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–29 July 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
16.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–21 July 2024 | Vilmorus | 15.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 June–7 July 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai LRT |
12.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–28 June 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
15.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 10% | 95% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 10% | 85% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 6% | 75% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 3% | 69% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 5% | 66% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 12% | 61% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 18% | 50% | Median |
| 22.5–23.5% | 17% | 32% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 10% | 15% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 11–29 November 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 6–16 November 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 16–28 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 17–27 October 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 24 September–9 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 17–27 September 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 4–13 September 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 21 August–2 September 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 18–25 July 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 19–29 June 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11–22 June 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 26 April–18 May 2025 | Spinter tyrimai | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 2–12 May 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 19–29 April 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 17–28 April 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 5–19 April 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 18–28 March 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 8–24 March 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 14–23 February 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 25 January–8 February 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
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| 18–29 January 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 13–20 December 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 12 November–1 December 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 7–16 November 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 30 October–12 November 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 16–25 September 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 13–21 September 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 6–20 September 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 7–9 August 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai Delfi |
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| 19–29 July 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 11–21 July 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 21 June–7 July 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai LRT |
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| 18–28 June 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 62% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 38% | 38% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |