Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 18.9% | 16.3–21.1% | 15.7–21.6% | 15.3–22.1% | 14.5–23.0% |
| 11–29 November 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
16.9% | 15.5–18.5% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.7–19.3% | 14.0–20.1% |
| 6–16 November 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.1–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 17.0–23.5% |
| 16–28 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
16.2% | 14.8–17.8% | 14.4–18.2% | 14.1–18.6% | 13.4–19.4% |
| 17–27 October 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
19.1% | 17.6–20.8% | 17.2–21.2% | 16.8–21.7% | 16.1–22.5% |
| 24 September–9 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
20.0% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 17–27 September 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
15.7% | 14.3–17.3% | 14.0–17.7% | 13.6–18.1% | 13.0–18.9% |
| 4–13 September 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
24.4% | 22.3–26.7% | 21.7–27.4% | 21.2–27.9% | 20.2–29.1% |
| 21 August–2 September 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
21.9% | 20.3–23.6% | 19.8–24.1% | 19.4–24.5% | 18.7–25.4% |
| 18–25 July 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
15.5% | 14.1–17.0% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.8% | 12.7–18.6% |
| 19–29 June 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
17.0% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.1–19.0% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.1–20.2% |
| 11–22 June 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
23.8% | 22.1–25.6% | 21.7–26.1% | 21.3–26.6% | 20.5–27.4% |
| 26 April–18 May 2025 | Spinter tyrimai | 19.3% | 17.8–21.0% | 17.4–21.4% | 17.0–21.9% | 16.3–22.7% |
| 2–12 May 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
25.3% | 23.6–27.1% | 23.1–27.6% | 22.7–28.1% | 21.9–29.0% |
| 19–29 April 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
20.7% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.7–22.9% | 18.3–23.3% | 17.6–24.1% |
| 17–28 April 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
24.7% | 23.0–26.5% | 22.5–27.0% | 22.1–27.5% | 21.3–28.3% |
| 5–19 April 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
20.0% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 18–28 March 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
18.7% | 16.9–20.7% | 16.4–21.3% | 16.0–21.8% | 15.2–22.8% |
| 8–24 March 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.6% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 14–23 February 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
22.1% | 20.5–23.9% | 20.0–24.4% | 19.6–24.8% | 18.9–25.6% |
| 25 January–8 February 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–29 January 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
16.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–20 December 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
18.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12 November–1 December 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–16 November 2024 | Vilmorus | 24.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 October–12 November 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 18.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–25 September 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
24.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–21 September 2024 | Vilmorus | 26.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–20 September 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 August 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai Delfi |
21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–29 July 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
21.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–21 July 2024 | Vilmorus | 26.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 June–7 July 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai LRT |
23.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–28 June 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
21.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 9% | 96% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 14% | 87% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 17% | 73% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 20% | 56% | Median |
| 19.5–20.5% | 19% | 36% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 11% | 17% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 4% | 6% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 11–29 November 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 6–16 November 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 16–28 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 17–27 October 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 24 September–9 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 17–27 September 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 4–13 September 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 21 August–2 September 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 18–25 July 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19–29 June 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 11–22 June 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 26 April–18 May 2025 | Spinter tyrimai | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 2–12 May 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| 19–29 April 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 17–28 April 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 5–19 April 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 18–28 March 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 8–24 March 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 14–23 February 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 25 January–8 February 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
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| 18–29 January 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 13–20 December 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 12 November–1 December 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 7–16 November 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 30 October–12 November 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 16–25 September 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 13–21 September 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 6–20 September 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 7–9 August 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai Delfi |
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| 19–29 July 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 11–21 July 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 21 June–7 July 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai LRT |
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| 18–28 June 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 3% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |