Opinion Poll by Spinter tyrimai for Delfi, 17–27 October 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0.0% 22.0% 20.4–23.7% 19.9–24.2% 19.5–24.6% 18.8–25.5%
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) 0.0% 19.1% 17.6–20.8% 17.2–21.2% 16.8–21.7% 16.1–22.5%
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4% 11.5–15.7% 10.9–16.5%
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) 0.0% 9.7% 8.6–10.9% 8.2–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.5–12.3%
Nemuno aušra (S&D) 0.0% 8.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–11.0%
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) 0.0% 8.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–11.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Nemuno aušra (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1

Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 66% 100% Median
3 34% 34%  
4 0% 0%  

Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 98.8% 100% Median
3 1.2% 1.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 36% 100%  
2 64% 64% Median
3 0% 0%  

Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Nemuno aušra (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nemuno aušra (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 66% 100% Median
3 34% 34%  
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations