Opinion Poll by IBRiS for RMF, 26–27 July 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 37.6% | 44.5% | 42.6–46.5% | 42.1–47.0% | 41.6–47.5% | 40.7–48.4% |
| Koalicja Obywatelska | 31.7% | 21.7% | 20.2–23.4% | 19.8–23.9% | 19.4–24.3% | 18.7–25.1% |
| Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.0–12.5% | 9.7–12.9% | 9.4–13.2% | 8.9–13.8% |
| Kukiz’15 | 8.8% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.1–5.4% | 2.8–5.9% |
| KORWiN | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 279 | 267–291 | 262–293 | 259–297 | 253–302 |
| Koalicja Obywatelska | 166 | 126 | 113–138 | 110–142 | 107–143 | 102–147 |
| Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna | 0 | 54 | 45–65 | 43–66 | 43–67 | 40–73 |
| Kukiz’15 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–11 | 0–15 |
| KORWiN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prawo i Sprawiedliwość page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 236 | 0% | 100% | |
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0% | 100% | |
| 241 | 0% | 100% | |
| 242 | 0% | 100% | |
| 243 | 0% | 100% | |
| 244 | 0% | 100% | |
| 245 | 0% | 100% | |
| 246 | 0% | 100% | |
| 247 | 0% | 100% | |
| 248 | 0% | 100% | |
| 249 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 250 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 251 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 253 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 254 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 255 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 256 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 257 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 258 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 259 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 260 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 261 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 262 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 263 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 264 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 265 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 266 | 2% | 92% | |
| 267 | 1.5% | 90% | |
| 268 | 2% | 89% | |
| 269 | 2% | 87% | |
| 270 | 2% | 85% | |
| 271 | 3% | 83% | |
| 272 | 2% | 80% | |
| 273 | 4% | 79% | |
| 274 | 5% | 75% | |
| 275 | 5% | 70% | |
| 276 | 4% | 65% | |
| 277 | 6% | 61% | |
| 278 | 3% | 55% | |
| 279 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 280 | 4% | 48% | |
| 281 | 6% | 44% | |
| 282 | 4% | 38% | |
| 283 | 4% | 34% | |
| 284 | 3% | 29% | |
| 285 | 3% | 27% | |
| 286 | 3% | 24% | |
| 287 | 3% | 21% | |
| 288 | 2% | 17% | |
| 289 | 2% | 15% | |
| 290 | 2% | 13% | |
| 291 | 2% | 11% | |
| 292 | 2% | 8% | |
| 293 | 2% | 7% | |
| 294 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 295 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 296 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 297 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 298 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 299 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 300 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 301 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 302 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 303 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 304 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 306 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 307 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 308 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 311 | 0% | 0% |
Koalicja Obywatelska
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Koalicja Obywatelska page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 111 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 112 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 113 | 3% | 93% | |
| 114 | 2% | 90% | |
| 115 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 116 | 3% | 87% | |
| 117 | 3% | 84% | |
| 118 | 2% | 81% | |
| 119 | 3% | 78% | |
| 120 | 6% | 75% | |
| 121 | 4% | 69% | |
| 122 | 2% | 65% | |
| 123 | 3% | 63% | |
| 124 | 6% | 60% | |
| 125 | 3% | 54% | |
| 126 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 127 | 5% | 46% | |
| 128 | 4% | 42% | |
| 129 | 3% | 38% | |
| 130 | 6% | 35% | |
| 131 | 4% | 29% | |
| 132 | 3% | 25% | |
| 133 | 2% | 22% | |
| 134 | 3% | 19% | |
| 135 | 3% | 17% | |
| 136 | 2% | 14% | |
| 137 | 2% | 12% | |
| 138 | 2% | 10% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 141 | 2% | 7% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 143 | 2% | 4% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 43 | 3% | 98% | |
| 44 | 3% | 95% | |
| 45 | 2% | 91% | |
| 46 | 3% | 89% | |
| 47 | 3% | 86% | |
| 48 | 5% | 83% | |
| 49 | 5% | 78% | |
| 50 | 6% | 73% | |
| 51 | 7% | 67% | |
| 52 | 3% | 60% | |
| 53 | 7% | 58% | |
| 54 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 55 | 4% | 48% | |
| 56 | 6% | 44% | |
| 57 | 2% | 38% | |
| 58 | 4% | 37% | |
| 59 | 2% | 33% | |
| 60 | 4% | 31% | |
| 61 | 4% | 27% | |
| 62 | 4% | 23% | |
| 63 | 3% | 19% | |
| 64 | 4% | 17% | |
| 65 | 4% | 13% | |
| 66 | 6% | 9% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Kukiz’15
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kukiz’15 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 10 | 2% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
KORWiN
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KORWiN page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 279 | 100% | 267–291 | 262–293 | 259–297 | 253–302 |
| Koalicja Obywatelska – Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna | 166 | 180 | 0% | 169–192 | 166–196 | 162–200 | 156–206 |
| Koalicja Obywatelska – Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 182 | 180 | 0% | 169–192 | 166–196 | 162–200 | 156–206 |
| Koalicja Obywatelska | 166 | 126 | 0% | 113–138 | 110–142 | 107–143 | 102–147 |
| Koalicja Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 182 | 126 | 0% | 113–138 | 110–142 | 107–143 | 102–147 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 236 | 0% | 100% | |
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0% | 100% | |
| 241 | 0% | 100% | |
| 242 | 0% | 100% | |
| 243 | 0% | 100% | |
| 244 | 0% | 100% | |
| 245 | 0% | 100% | |
| 246 | 0% | 100% | |
| 247 | 0% | 100% | |
| 248 | 0% | 100% | |
| 249 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 250 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 251 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 252 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 253 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 254 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 255 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 256 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 257 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 258 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 259 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 260 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 261 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 262 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 263 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 264 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 265 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 266 | 2% | 92% | |
| 267 | 1.5% | 90% | |
| 268 | 2% | 89% | |
| 269 | 2% | 87% | |
| 270 | 2% | 85% | |
| 271 | 3% | 83% | |
| 272 | 2% | 80% | |
| 273 | 4% | 79% | |
| 274 | 5% | 75% | |
| 275 | 5% | 70% | |
| 276 | 4% | 65% | |
| 277 | 6% | 61% | |
| 278 | 3% | 55% | |
| 279 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 280 | 4% | 48% | |
| 281 | 6% | 44% | |
| 282 | 4% | 38% | |
| 283 | 4% | 34% | |
| 284 | 3% | 29% | |
| 285 | 3% | 27% | |
| 286 | 3% | 24% | |
| 287 | 3% | 21% | |
| 288 | 2% | 17% | |
| 289 | 2% | 15% | |
| 290 | 2% | 13% | |
| 291 | 2% | 11% | |
| 292 | 2% | 8% | |
| 293 | 2% | 7% | |
| 294 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 295 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 296 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 297 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 298 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 299 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 300 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 301 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 302 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 303 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 304 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 306 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 307 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 308 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 311 | 0% | 0% |
Koalicja Obywatelska – Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 162 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 164 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 95% | Last Result |
| 167 | 2% | 94% | |
| 168 | 2% | 93% | |
| 169 | 3% | 90% | |
| 170 | 2% | 88% | |
| 171 | 3% | 85% | |
| 172 | 2% | 83% | |
| 173 | 4% | 80% | |
| 174 | 3% | 77% | |
| 175 | 3% | 73% | |
| 176 | 3% | 70% | |
| 177 | 5% | 67% | |
| 178 | 5% | 63% | |
| 179 | 6% | 58% | |
| 180 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 181 | 3% | 48% | |
| 182 | 3% | 44% | |
| 183 | 6% | 42% | |
| 184 | 3% | 35% | |
| 185 | 5% | 32% | |
| 186 | 5% | 27% | |
| 187 | 4% | 22% | |
| 188 | 1.5% | 19% | |
| 189 | 3% | 17% | |
| 190 | 2% | 15% | |
| 191 | 2% | 13% | |
| 192 | 2% | 11% | |
| 193 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 194 | 2% | 8% | |
| 195 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 196 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 198 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 199 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 200 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 201 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 203 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 205 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% |
Koalicja Obywatelska – Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 162 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 164 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 167 | 2% | 94% | |
| 168 | 2% | 93% | |
| 169 | 3% | 90% | |
| 170 | 2% | 88% | |
| 171 | 3% | 85% | |
| 172 | 2% | 83% | |
| 173 | 4% | 80% | |
| 174 | 3% | 77% | |
| 175 | 3% | 73% | |
| 176 | 3% | 70% | |
| 177 | 5% | 67% | |
| 178 | 5% | 63% | |
| 179 | 6% | 58% | |
| 180 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 181 | 3% | 48% | |
| 182 | 3% | 44% | Last Result |
| 183 | 6% | 42% | |
| 184 | 3% | 35% | |
| 185 | 5% | 32% | |
| 186 | 5% | 27% | |
| 187 | 4% | 22% | |
| 188 | 1.5% | 19% | |
| 189 | 3% | 17% | |
| 190 | 2% | 15% | |
| 191 | 2% | 13% | |
| 192 | 2% | 11% | |
| 193 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 194 | 2% | 8% | |
| 195 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 196 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 198 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 199 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 200 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 201 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 203 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 205 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% |
Koalicja Obywatelska
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 111 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 112 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 113 | 3% | 93% | |
| 114 | 2% | 90% | |
| 115 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 116 | 3% | 87% | |
| 117 | 3% | 84% | |
| 118 | 2% | 81% | |
| 119 | 3% | 78% | |
| 120 | 6% | 75% | |
| 121 | 4% | 69% | |
| 122 | 2% | 65% | |
| 123 | 3% | 63% | |
| 124 | 6% | 60% | |
| 125 | 3% | 54% | |
| 126 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 127 | 5% | 46% | |
| 128 | 4% | 42% | |
| 129 | 3% | 38% | |
| 130 | 6% | 35% | |
| 131 | 4% | 29% | |
| 132 | 3% | 25% | |
| 133 | 2% | 22% | |
| 134 | 3% | 19% | |
| 135 | 3% | 17% | |
| 136 | 2% | 14% | |
| 137 | 2% | 12% | |
| 138 | 2% | 10% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 141 | 2% | 7% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 143 | 2% | 4% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Koalicja Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 111 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 112 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 113 | 3% | 93% | |
| 114 | 2% | 90% | |
| 115 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 116 | 3% | 87% | |
| 117 | 3% | 84% | |
| 118 | 2% | 81% | |
| 119 | 3% | 78% | |
| 120 | 6% | 75% | |
| 121 | 4% | 69% | |
| 122 | 2% | 65% | |
| 123 | 3% | 63% | |
| 124 | 6% | 60% | |
| 125 | 3% | 54% | |
| 126 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 127 | 5% | 46% | |
| 128 | 4% | 42% | |
| 129 | 3% | 38% | |
| 130 | 6% | 35% | |
| 131 | 4% | 29% | |
| 132 | 3% | 25% | |
| 133 | 2% | 22% | |
| 134 | 3% | 19% | |
| 135 | 3% | 17% | |
| 136 | 2% | 14% | |
| 137 | 2% | 12% | |
| 138 | 2% | 10% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 141 | 2% | 7% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 143 | 2% | 4% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IBRiS
- Commissioner(s): RMF
- Fieldwork period: 26–27 July 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1100
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.81%