Opinion Poll by Estymator for DoRzeczy.pl, 6–8 August 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 37.6% | 45.4% | 43.4–47.4% | 42.8–48.0% | 42.4–48.5% | 41.4–49.4% |
| Koalicja Obywatelska | 31.7% | 30.3% | 28.5–32.2% | 28.0–32.7% | 27.5–33.2% | 26.7–34.1% |
| Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.8–13.0% | 9.5–13.4% | 8.9–14.1% |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.1% |
| Kukiz’15 | 8.8% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.7–4.5% |
| KORWiN | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 249 | 239–260 | 235–264 | 231–268 | 224–273 |
| Koalicja Obywatelska | 166 | 156 | 147–167 | 145–170 | 142–173 | 138–178 |
| Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna | 0 | 45 | 39–54 | 37–57 | 35–60 | 32–64 |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 16 | 11 | 0–17 | 0–19 | 0–21 | 0–23 |
| Kukiz’15 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| KORWiN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prawo i Sprawiedliwość page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 220 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 221 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 224 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 225 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 226 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 227 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 228 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 229 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 230 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 231 | 0.5% | 98% | Majority |
| 232 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 233 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 234 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 235 | 0.7% | 95% | Last Result |
| 236 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 237 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 238 | 2% | 92% | |
| 239 | 2% | 90% | |
| 240 | 2% | 88% | |
| 241 | 2% | 86% | |
| 242 | 3% | 84% | |
| 243 | 4% | 80% | |
| 244 | 4% | 76% | |
| 245 | 6% | 72% | |
| 246 | 4% | 67% | |
| 247 | 5% | 62% | |
| 248 | 4% | 57% | |
| 249 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 250 | 5% | 50% | |
| 251 | 4% | 45% | |
| 252 | 4% | 41% | |
| 253 | 3% | 38% | |
| 254 | 3% | 35% | |
| 255 | 6% | 32% | |
| 256 | 3% | 26% | |
| 257 | 7% | 23% | |
| 258 | 2% | 15% | |
| 259 | 2% | 13% | |
| 260 | 2% | 11% | |
| 261 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 262 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 263 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 264 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 265 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 266 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 267 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 268 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 269 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 270 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 271 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 272 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 273 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 274 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 275 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 276 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 280 | 0% | 0% |
Koalicja Obywatelska
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Koalicja Obywatelska page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 142 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 145 | 2% | 95% | |
| 146 | 2% | 93% | |
| 147 | 3% | 91% | |
| 148 | 5% | 88% | |
| 149 | 3% | 83% | |
| 150 | 3% | 80% | |
| 151 | 5% | 76% | |
| 152 | 5% | 71% | |
| 153 | 3% | 66% | |
| 154 | 4% | 63% | |
| 155 | 4% | 59% | |
| 156 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 157 | 4% | 48% | |
| 158 | 5% | 44% | |
| 159 | 7% | 39% | |
| 160 | 2% | 31% | |
| 161 | 5% | 29% | |
| 162 | 3% | 24% | |
| 163 | 2% | 21% | |
| 164 | 4% | 19% | |
| 165 | 3% | 15% | |
| 166 | 2% | 13% | Last Result |
| 167 | 2% | 10% | |
| 168 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 169 | 2% | 7% | |
| 170 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 171 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 172 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 173 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 176 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% |
Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 36 | 2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 2% | 95% | |
| 38 | 2% | 94% | |
| 39 | 2% | 92% | |
| 40 | 2% | 90% | |
| 41 | 7% | 87% | |
| 42 | 6% | 81% | |
| 43 | 4% | 75% | |
| 44 | 21% | 71% | |
| 45 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 46 | 7% | 47% | |
| 47 | 7% | 39% | |
| 48 | 6% | 32% | |
| 49 | 4% | 26% | |
| 50 | 3% | 21% | |
| 51 | 3% | 18% | |
| 52 | 4% | 16% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 54 | 2% | 11% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 56% | |
| 2 | 0% | 56% | |
| 3 | 0% | 56% | |
| 4 | 0% | 56% | |
| 5 | 0% | 56% | |
| 6 | 0% | 56% | |
| 7 | 0% | 56% | |
| 8 | 0% | 56% | |
| 9 | 0% | 56% | |
| 10 | 0% | 56% | |
| 11 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 12 | 13% | 48% | |
| 13 | 6% | 35% | |
| 14 | 5% | 29% | |
| 15 | 4% | 24% | |
| 16 | 9% | 20% | Last Result |
| 17 | 3% | 11% | |
| 18 | 2% | 8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 6% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 21 | 2% | 4% | |
| 22 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Kukiz’15
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kukiz’15 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
KORWiN
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KORWiN page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 249 | 98% | 239–260 | 235–264 | 231–268 | 224–273 |
| Koalicja Obywatelska – Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 182 | 211 | 2% | 200–221 | 196–225 | 192–229 | 187–236 |
| Koalicja Obywatelska – Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna | 166 | 203 | 0.1% | 192–212 | 189–216 | 187–219 | 181–225 |
| Koalicja Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 182 | 164 | 0% | 151–177 | 148–181 | 147–184 | 143–190 |
| Koalicja Obywatelska | 166 | 156 | 0% | 147–167 | 145–170 | 142–173 | 138–178 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 220 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 221 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 224 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 225 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 226 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 227 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 228 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 229 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 230 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 231 | 0.5% | 98% | Majority |
| 232 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 233 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 234 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 235 | 0.7% | 95% | Last Result |
| 236 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 237 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 238 | 2% | 92% | |
| 239 | 2% | 90% | |
| 240 | 2% | 88% | |
| 241 | 2% | 86% | |
| 242 | 3% | 84% | |
| 243 | 4% | 80% | |
| 244 | 4% | 76% | |
| 245 | 6% | 72% | |
| 246 | 4% | 67% | |
| 247 | 5% | 62% | |
| 248 | 4% | 57% | |
| 249 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 250 | 5% | 50% | |
| 251 | 4% | 45% | |
| 252 | 4% | 41% | |
| 253 | 3% | 38% | |
| 254 | 3% | 35% | |
| 255 | 6% | 32% | |
| 256 | 3% | 26% | |
| 257 | 7% | 23% | |
| 258 | 2% | 15% | |
| 259 | 2% | 13% | |
| 260 | 2% | 11% | |
| 261 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 262 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 263 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 264 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 265 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 266 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 267 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 268 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 269 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 270 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 271 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 272 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 273 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 274 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 275 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 276 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 280 | 0% | 0% |
Koalicja Obywatelska – Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 183 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 190 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 191 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 192 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 194 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 195 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 196 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 197 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 198 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 199 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 200 | 2% | 91% | |
| 201 | 2% | 89% | |
| 202 | 2% | 87% | |
| 203 | 7% | 85% | |
| 204 | 3% | 77% | |
| 205 | 6% | 74% | |
| 206 | 3% | 68% | |
| 207 | 3% | 65% | |
| 208 | 4% | 62% | |
| 209 | 4% | 59% | |
| 210 | 5% | 55% | |
| 211 | 4% | 50% | |
| 212 | 4% | 46% | Median |
| 213 | 5% | 43% | |
| 214 | 4% | 38% | |
| 215 | 6% | 33% | |
| 216 | 4% | 28% | |
| 217 | 4% | 24% | |
| 218 | 3% | 20% | |
| 219 | 2% | 16% | |
| 220 | 2% | 14% | |
| 221 | 2% | 12% | |
| 222 | 2% | 10% | |
| 223 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 224 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 225 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 226 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 227 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 228 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 229 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 230 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 231 | 0.4% | 2% | Majority |
| 232 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 233 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 234 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 235 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 236 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 237 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 239 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% |
Koalicja Obywatelska – Lewica Razem–Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej–Wiosna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 176 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 177 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 187 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 188 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 189 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 190 | 2% | 95% | |
| 191 | 2% | 93% | |
| 192 | 2% | 91% | |
| 193 | 2% | 89% | |
| 194 | 3% | 86% | |
| 195 | 3% | 84% | |
| 196 | 3% | 81% | |
| 197 | 5% | 78% | |
| 198 | 3% | 73% | |
| 199 | 4% | 70% | |
| 200 | 5% | 66% | |
| 201 | 4% | 61% | Median |
| 202 | 5% | 57% | |
| 203 | 10% | 52% | |
| 204 | 5% | 42% | |
| 205 | 7% | 36% | |
| 206 | 4% | 29% | |
| 207 | 2% | 25% | |
| 208 | 4% | 23% | |
| 209 | 3% | 20% | |
| 210 | 3% | 17% | |
| 211 | 2% | 13% | |
| 212 | 2% | 12% | |
| 213 | 2% | 10% | |
| 214 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 215 | 2% | 7% | |
| 216 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 217 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 218 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 219 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 220 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 221 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 222 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 223 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 224 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 229 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 232 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0% |
Koalicja Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 147 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 148 | 2% | 97% | |
| 149 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 150 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 151 | 2% | 92% | |
| 152 | 3% | 90% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 154 | 2% | 86% | |
| 155 | 2% | 84% | |
| 156 | 3% | 83% | |
| 157 | 3% | 80% | |
| 158 | 3% | 77% | |
| 159 | 6% | 74% | |
| 160 | 3% | 69% | |
| 161 | 6% | 66% | |
| 162 | 3% | 60% | |
| 163 | 4% | 57% | |
| 164 | 4% | 54% | |
| 165 | 3% | 50% | |
| 166 | 4% | 46% | |
| 167 | 3% | 42% | Median |
| 168 | 4% | 39% | |
| 169 | 4% | 35% | |
| 170 | 4% | 31% | |
| 171 | 4% | 27% | |
| 172 | 3% | 23% | |
| 173 | 2% | 20% | |
| 174 | 3% | 18% | |
| 175 | 2% | 15% | |
| 176 | 2% | 13% | |
| 177 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 178 | 2% | 10% | |
| 179 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 180 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 181 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 182 | 1.0% | 4% | Last Result |
| 183 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Koalicja Obywatelska
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 142 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 145 | 2% | 95% | |
| 146 | 2% | 93% | |
| 147 | 3% | 91% | |
| 148 | 5% | 88% | |
| 149 | 3% | 83% | |
| 150 | 3% | 80% | |
| 151 | 5% | 76% | |
| 152 | 5% | 71% | |
| 153 | 3% | 66% | |
| 154 | 4% | 63% | |
| 155 | 4% | 59% | |
| 156 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 157 | 4% | 48% | |
| 158 | 5% | 44% | |
| 159 | 7% | 39% | |
| 160 | 2% | 31% | |
| 161 | 5% | 29% | |
| 162 | 3% | 24% | |
| 163 | 2% | 21% | |
| 164 | 4% | 19% | |
| 165 | 3% | 15% | |
| 166 | 2% | 13% | Last Result |
| 167 | 2% | 10% | |
| 168 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 169 | 2% | 7% | |
| 170 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 171 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 172 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 173 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 176 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Estymator
- Commissioner(s): DoRzeczy.pl
- Fieldwork period: 6–8 August 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1020
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.75%