Opinion Poll by Sociopol, 6–14 March 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 47.0% 45.0–49.0% 44.4–49.6% 43.9–50.1% 42.9–51.0%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 18.9–23.2% 18.5–23.6% 17.8–24.4%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.2–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.4–7.0%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 162 155–170 153–173 151–176 148–181
Partidul Național Liberal 69 72 67–78 65–80 64–82 61–85
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 41 37–46 35–48 34–49 33–52
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 20 17–24 0–25 0–26 0–28
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 17 13–20 13–21 12–22 12–24
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
144 0% 100%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.2% 99.8%  
148 0.3% 99.6%  
149 0.5% 99.3%  
150 0.7% 98.8%  
151 1.3% 98%  
152 1.5% 97%  
153 2% 95%  
154 3% 93% Last Result
155 3% 91%  
156 4% 87%  
157 5% 84%  
158 5% 79%  
159 6% 74%  
160 6% 68%  
161 7% 62%  
162 6% 55% Median
163 7% 49%  
164 6% 43%  
165 7% 37% Majority
166 5% 30%  
167 5% 25%  
168 4% 20%  
169 4% 16%  
170 3% 12%  
171 2% 10%  
172 2% 8%  
173 1.3% 6%  
174 0.9% 5%  
175 0.8% 4%  
176 0.8% 3%  
177 0.6% 2%  
178 0.4% 2%  
179 0.4% 1.4%  
180 0.3% 1.0%  
181 0.2% 0.7%  
182 0.2% 0.5%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.7%  
62 0.6% 99.4%  
63 1.0% 98.7%  
64 2% 98%  
65 2% 96%  
66 4% 94%  
67 5% 90%  
68 6% 85%  
69 7% 79% Last Result
70 8% 73%  
71 9% 64%  
72 8% 55% Median
73 8% 47%  
74 8% 39%  
75 7% 30%  
76 6% 24%  
77 5% 18%  
78 4% 13%  
79 3% 9%  
80 2% 6%  
81 2% 4%  
82 1.0% 3%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.2%  
85 0.3% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.3% 99.8%  
33 0.8% 99.5%  
34 1.4% 98.8%  
35 3% 97%  
36 4% 95%  
37 6% 90%  
38 8% 84%  
39 10% 76%  
40 10% 66%  
41 10% 56% Median
42 11% 46%  
43 9% 35%  
44 7% 26%  
45 6% 19%  
46 4% 13%  
47 3% 8%  
48 2% 5%  
49 1.3% 3%  
50 0.8% 2%  
51 0.5% 1.0%  
52 0.3% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 0% 92%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 0% 92%  
15 0% 92%  
16 0% 92%  
17 6% 92%  
18 11% 86%  
19 14% 75%  
20 15% 61% Last Result, Median
21 15% 46%  
22 11% 31%  
23 8% 19%  
24 5% 11%  
25 3% 6%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.7% 1.2%  
28 0.3% 0.5%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 8% 97%  
14 8% 90%  
15 9% 81%  
16 20% 72%  
17 16% 52% Median
18 8% 36%  
19 11% 28%  
20 10% 18%  
21 4% 8% Last Result
22 2% 4%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0.7% 0.9%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 182 99.4% 174–189 171–191 169–192 164–195
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 150 0.4% 142–157 139–159 136–161 131–164
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 150 0.4% 142–157 139–159 136–161 131–164
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 133 0% 125–140 121–142 118–144 113–147
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 133 0% 125–140 121–142 118–144 113–147
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 130 0% 123–138 121–141 120–143 117–148
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 130 0% 123–138 121–141 120–143 117–148
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 113 0% 107–121 105–123 103–125 100–129
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 113 0% 107–121 105–123 103–125 100–129
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 109 0% 100–116 96–117 92–119 87–122
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 109 0% 100–116 96–117 92–119 87–122
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 89 0% 83–96 81–98 80–100 77–104
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 89 0% 83–96 81–98 80–100 77–103
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 72 0% 67–78 65–80 64–82 61–85
Partidul Național Liberal 69 72 0% 67–78 65–80 64–82 61–85
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 41 0% 37–46 35–48 34–49 33–52

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.8%  
163 0.1% 99.7%  
164 0.2% 99.6%  
165 0.3% 99.4% Majority
166 0.3% 99.2%  
167 0.4% 98.8%  
168 0.5% 98%  
169 0.7% 98%  
170 1.1% 97%  
171 1.3% 96%  
172 2% 95%  
173 2% 93%  
174 3% 91% Last Result
175 3% 88%  
176 4% 85%  
177 4% 81%  
178 5% 76%  
179 6% 71%  
180 6% 65%  
181 7% 59%  
182 7% 52% Median
183 6% 45%  
184 6% 39%  
185 7% 33%  
186 6% 26%  
187 5% 20%  
188 4% 15%  
189 3% 11%  
190 3% 8%  
191 2% 5%  
192 1.4% 4%  
193 0.8% 2%  
194 0.6% 1.3%  
195 0.3% 0.7%  
196 0.2% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.2% 99.7%  
131 0.2% 99.5%  
132 0.3% 99.3%  
133 0.4% 99.0%  
134 0.4% 98.6%  
135 0.6% 98%  
136 0.8% 98%  
137 0.8% 97%  
138 0.9% 96%  
139 1.3% 95%  
140 2% 94%  
141 2% 92%  
142 3% 90%  
143 4% 88%  
144 4% 84%  
145 5% 80%  
146 5% 75%  
147 7% 70%  
148 6% 63%  
149 7% 57%  
150 6% 51% Median
151 7% 45%  
152 6% 38%  
153 6% 32%  
154 5% 26%  
155 5% 21%  
156 4% 16%  
157 3% 13%  
158 3% 9% Last Result
159 2% 7%  
160 1.5% 5%  
161 1.3% 3%  
162 0.7% 2%  
163 0.5% 1.2%  
164 0.3% 0.7%  
165 0.2% 0.4% Majority
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.2% 99.7%  
131 0.2% 99.5%  
132 0.3% 99.3%  
133 0.4% 99.0%  
134 0.4% 98.6%  
135 0.6% 98%  
136 0.8% 98%  
137 0.8% 97%  
138 0.9% 96%  
139 1.3% 95%  
140 2% 94% Last Result
141 2% 92%  
142 3% 90%  
143 4% 88%  
144 4% 84%  
145 5% 80%  
146 5% 75%  
147 7% 70%  
148 6% 63%  
149 7% 57%  
150 6% 51% Median
151 7% 45%  
152 6% 38%  
153 6% 32%  
154 5% 26%  
155 5% 21%  
156 4% 16%  
157 3% 13%  
158 3% 9%  
159 2% 7%  
160 1.5% 5%  
161 1.2% 3%  
162 0.7% 2%  
163 0.5% 1.2%  
164 0.3% 0.7%  
165 0.2% 0.4% Majority
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.1% 99.7%  
113 0.2% 99.6%  
114 0.3% 99.4%  
115 0.3% 99.1%  
116 0.5% 98.9%  
117 0.5% 98%  
118 0.6% 98%  
119 1.0% 97%  
120 0.8% 96%  
121 0.9% 96%  
122 1.2% 95%  
123 1.3% 93%  
124 2% 92%  
125 2% 91%  
126 3% 88%  
127 4% 86%  
128 5% 82%  
129 5% 77%  
130 6% 72%  
131 8% 66%  
132 6% 58%  
133 7% 52% Median
134 7% 45%  
135 6% 38%  
136 6% 32%  
137 6% 27% Last Result
138 5% 21%  
139 4% 16%  
140 4% 12%  
141 2% 9%  
142 2% 6%  
143 2% 4%  
144 1.0% 3%  
145 0.6% 2%  
146 0.5% 1.0%  
147 0.2% 0.5%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.1% 99.7%  
113 0.2% 99.6%  
114 0.3% 99.4%  
115 0.3% 99.1%  
116 0.5% 98.9%  
117 0.5% 98%  
118 0.6% 98%  
119 1.0% 97% Last Result
120 0.8% 96%  
121 0.9% 95%  
122 1.2% 95%  
123 1.3% 93%  
124 2% 92%  
125 2% 90%  
126 3% 88%  
127 4% 86%  
128 5% 82%  
129 5% 77%  
130 6% 72%  
131 8% 66%  
132 6% 58%  
133 7% 52% Median
134 7% 45%  
135 6% 38%  
136 6% 32%  
137 6% 26%  
138 5% 21%  
139 4% 16%  
140 4% 12%  
141 2% 9%  
142 2% 6%  
143 2% 4%  
144 1.0% 3%  
145 0.6% 2%  
146 0.5% 1.0%  
147 0.2% 0.5%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0.1% 100%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.2% 99.8%  
117 0.3% 99.6%  
118 0.6% 99.3%  
119 0.8% 98.7%  
120 1.4% 98%  
121 2% 96%  
122 3% 95%  
123 3% 92%  
124 4% 89%  
125 5% 85%  
126 6% 80%  
127 7% 74%  
128 6% 67%  
129 6% 61%  
130 7% 55% Median
131 7% 48%  
132 6% 41%  
133 6% 35%  
134 5% 29%  
135 4% 24%  
136 4% 19%  
137 3% 15%  
138 3% 12% Last Result
139 2% 9%  
140 2% 7%  
141 1.3% 5%  
142 1.1% 4%  
143 0.7% 3%  
144 0.5% 2%  
145 0.4% 2%  
146 0.3% 1.2%  
147 0.3% 0.8%  
148 0.2% 0.6%  
149 0.1% 0.4%  
150 0.1% 0.3%  
151 0.1% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0.1% 100%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.2% 99.8%  
117 0.3% 99.6%  
118 0.6% 99.3%  
119 0.8% 98.7%  
120 1.4% 98% Last Result
121 2% 96%  
122 3% 95%  
123 3% 92%  
124 4% 88%  
125 5% 84%  
126 6% 80%  
127 7% 74%  
128 6% 67%  
129 6% 61%  
130 7% 55% Median
131 7% 48%  
132 6% 41%  
133 6% 34%  
134 5% 29%  
135 4% 23%  
136 4% 19%  
137 3% 15%  
138 3% 12%  
139 2% 9%  
140 2% 7%  
141 1.3% 5%  
142 1.1% 4%  
143 0.7% 3%  
144 0.5% 2%  
145 0.4% 2%  
146 0.3% 1.1%  
147 0.2% 0.8%  
148 0.2% 0.6%  
149 0.1% 0.4%  
150 0.1% 0.3%  
151 0.1% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.2% 99.7%  
101 0.4% 99.5%  
102 0.6% 99.1%  
103 1.0% 98%  
104 1.4% 97%  
105 2% 96%  
106 3% 94%  
107 4% 91%  
108 5% 87%  
109 6% 82%  
110 7% 77%  
111 8% 70%  
112 7% 62%  
113 7% 55% Median
114 7% 48%  
115 6% 41%  
116 6% 35%  
117 6% 29% Last Result
118 5% 23%  
119 4% 18%  
120 3% 14%  
121 3% 11%  
122 2% 8%  
123 2% 6%  
124 1.1% 4%  
125 0.9% 3%  
126 0.6% 2%  
127 0.4% 2%  
128 0.4% 1.1%  
129 0.3% 0.8%  
130 0.1% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.4%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
100 0.2% 99.7%  
101 0.4% 99.5%  
102 0.6% 99.1%  
103 1.0% 98%  
104 1.4% 97%  
105 2% 96%  
106 3% 94%  
107 4% 91%  
108 5% 87%  
109 6% 82%  
110 7% 76%  
111 8% 70%  
112 7% 62%  
113 7% 55% Median
114 7% 48%  
115 6% 41%  
116 6% 35%  
117 6% 28%  
118 5% 23%  
119 4% 18%  
120 3% 14%  
121 3% 10%  
122 2% 8%  
123 2% 6%  
124 1.1% 4%  
125 0.9% 3%  
126 0.6% 2%  
127 0.4% 1.5%  
128 0.4% 1.1%  
129 0.3% 0.7%  
130 0.1% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.3%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.2% 99.6%  
88 0.3% 99.5%  
89 0.3% 99.2%  
90 0.4% 98.9%  
91 0.5% 98.5%  
92 0.6% 98%  
93 0.6% 97%  
94 0.7% 97%  
95 0.8% 96%  
96 0.9% 95%  
97 0.8% 94%  
98 1.0% 94%  
99 1.1% 93%  
100 2% 92%  
101 2% 90%  
102 3% 88%  
103 3% 85%  
104 4% 81%  
105 5% 77%  
106 6% 72%  
107 7% 66%  
108 6% 59%  
109 7% 52% Median
110 7% 45%  
111 7% 37%  
112 6% 30%  
113 5% 24%  
114 5% 19%  
115 4% 14%  
116 3% 10%  
117 2% 7%  
118 2% 5%  
119 1.1% 3%  
120 0.8% 2%  
121 0.5% 1.3%  
122 0.3% 0.8%  
123 0.2% 0.5%  
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.2% 99.6%  
88 0.3% 99.5%  
89 0.3% 99.2%  
90 0.4% 98.9%  
91 0.5% 98.5%  
92 0.6% 98%  
93 0.6% 97%  
94 0.7% 97%  
95 0.8% 96%  
96 0.9% 95%  
97 0.8% 94%  
98 1.0% 94%  
99 1.1% 93%  
100 2% 91%  
101 2% 90%  
102 3% 87%  
103 3% 85%  
104 4% 81%  
105 5% 77%  
106 6% 72%  
107 7% 66%  
108 6% 59%  
109 7% 52% Median
110 7% 45% Last Result
111 7% 37%  
112 6% 30%  
113 5% 24%  
114 5% 19%  
115 4% 14%  
116 3% 10%  
117 2% 7%  
118 2% 5%  
119 1.1% 3%  
120 0.8% 2%  
121 0.5% 1.3%  
122 0.3% 0.7%  
123 0.2% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.3% 99.6%  
78 0.6% 99.3%  
79 0.9% 98.7%  
80 1.3% 98%  
81 2% 97%  
82 3% 94%  
83 4% 91%  
84 5% 87%  
85 6% 83%  
86 7% 77%  
87 8% 70%  
88 8% 62%  
89 8% 55% Median
90 8% 47%  
91 7% 38%  
92 6% 31%  
93 5% 25%  
94 5% 19%  
95 4% 14%  
96 3% 11%  
97 2% 8%  
98 2% 6%  
99 1.1% 4%  
100 1.0% 3%  
101 0.6% 2%  
102 0.4% 1.2%  
103 0.3% 0.8%  
104 0.2% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1% Last Result
109 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.3% 99.6%  
78 0.6% 99.3%  
79 0.9% 98.7%  
80 1.3% 98%  
81 2% 96%  
82 3% 94%  
83 4% 91%  
84 5% 87%  
85 6% 83%  
86 7% 77%  
87 8% 70%  
88 8% 62%  
89 8% 55% Median
90 8% 47% Last Result
91 7% 38%  
92 6% 31%  
93 5% 25%  
94 5% 19%  
95 4% 14%  
96 3% 11%  
97 2% 8%  
98 2% 6%  
99 1.1% 4%  
100 1.0% 3%  
101 0.6% 2%  
102 0.4% 1.2%  
103 0.3% 0.8%  
104 0.2% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.7%  
62 0.6% 99.4%  
63 1.0% 98.8%  
64 2% 98%  
65 2% 96%  
66 4% 94%  
67 5% 90%  
68 6% 85%  
69 7% 79%  
70 8% 73%  
71 9% 64%  
72 8% 55% Median
73 8% 47%  
74 8% 39%  
75 7% 31%  
76 6% 24%  
77 5% 18%  
78 4% 13%  
79 3% 9%  
80 2% 7%  
81 2% 5%  
82 1.0% 3%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.2%  
85 0.3% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.7%  
62 0.6% 99.4%  
63 1.0% 98.7%  
64 2% 98%  
65 2% 96%  
66 4% 94%  
67 5% 90%  
68 6% 85%  
69 7% 79% Last Result
70 8% 73%  
71 9% 64%  
72 8% 55% Median
73 8% 47%  
74 8% 39%  
75 7% 30%  
76 6% 24%  
77 5% 18%  
78 4% 13%  
79 3% 9%  
80 2% 6%  
81 2% 4%  
82 1.0% 3%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.2%  
85 0.3% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.3% 99.8%  
33 0.8% 99.5%  
34 1.4% 98.8%  
35 3% 97%  
36 4% 95%  
37 6% 90%  
38 8% 84%  
39 10% 76%  
40 10% 66%  
41 10% 56% Median
42 11% 46%  
43 9% 35%  
44 7% 26%  
45 6% 19%  
46 4% 13%  
47 3% 8%  
48 2% 5% Last Result
49 1.3% 3%  
50 0.8% 2%  
51 0.5% 1.1%  
52 0.3% 0.6%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations