Opinion Poll by IMAS, 1–30 April 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul Social Democrat |
45.5% |
40.6% |
38.6–42.6% |
38.1–43.2% |
37.6–43.7% |
36.7–44.7% |
Partidul Național Liberal |
20.0% |
25.4% |
23.7–27.2% |
23.2–27.7% |
22.8–28.2% |
22.0–29.1% |
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților |
5.6% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.7% |
7.2–10.1% |
6.9–10.4% |
6.4–11.0% |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
8.9% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
6.9–9.8% |
6.6–10.1% |
6.2–10.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
136 |
0% |
100% |
|
137 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
138 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
139 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
140 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
141 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
142 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
143 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
144 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
145 |
2% |
96% |
|
146 |
2% |
94% |
|
147 |
3% |
92% |
|
148 |
3% |
89% |
|
149 |
4% |
85% |
|
150 |
4% |
82% |
|
151 |
4% |
77% |
|
152 |
5% |
73% |
|
153 |
4% |
68% |
|
154 |
5% |
64% |
Last Result |
155 |
4% |
60% |
|
156 |
4% |
56% |
|
157 |
3% |
52% |
Median |
158 |
3% |
49% |
|
159 |
2% |
46% |
|
160 |
2% |
44% |
|
161 |
2% |
42% |
|
162 |
2% |
40% |
|
163 |
2% |
38% |
|
164 |
2% |
36% |
|
165 |
2% |
34% |
Majority |
166 |
2% |
32% |
|
167 |
3% |
30% |
|
168 |
3% |
27% |
|
169 |
3% |
25% |
|
170 |
3% |
22% |
|
171 |
3% |
19% |
|
172 |
3% |
16% |
|
173 |
3% |
14% |
|
174 |
2% |
11% |
|
175 |
2% |
9% |
|
176 |
2% |
7% |
|
177 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
178 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
179 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
180 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
181 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
182 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
183 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
184 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
185 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
186 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
187 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
188 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
86 |
0.8% |
98.5% |
|
87 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
88 |
2% |
96% |
|
89 |
2% |
95% |
|
90 |
3% |
92% |
|
91 |
3% |
89% |
|
92 |
4% |
86% |
|
93 |
5% |
82% |
|
94 |
5% |
77% |
|
95 |
5% |
72% |
|
96 |
5% |
68% |
|
97 |
5% |
63% |
|
98 |
5% |
58% |
|
99 |
5% |
53% |
Median |
100 |
5% |
48% |
|
101 |
4% |
43% |
|
102 |
4% |
39% |
|
103 |
4% |
35% |
|
104 |
4% |
31% |
|
105 |
3% |
27% |
|
106 |
4% |
24% |
|
107 |
4% |
20% |
|
108 |
3% |
16% |
|
109 |
3% |
14% |
|
110 |
3% |
11% |
|
111 |
2% |
8% |
|
112 |
2% |
7% |
|
113 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
114 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
115 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
116 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
117 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
118 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
119 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
120 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
121 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
122 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
123 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
26 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
27 |
3% |
97% |
|
28 |
5% |
94% |
|
29 |
6% |
89% |
|
30 |
7% |
83% |
|
31 |
9% |
75% |
|
32 |
10% |
66% |
|
33 |
9% |
56% |
Median |
34 |
10% |
47% |
|
35 |
9% |
37% |
|
36 |
8% |
28% |
|
37 |
6% |
20% |
|
38 |
5% |
15% |
|
39 |
3% |
9% |
|
40 |
3% |
6% |
|
41 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
42 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
40% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
60% |
|
2 |
0% |
60% |
|
3 |
0% |
60% |
|
4 |
0% |
60% |
|
5 |
0% |
60% |
|
6 |
0% |
60% |
|
7 |
0% |
60% |
|
8 |
0% |
60% |
|
9 |
0% |
60% |
|
10 |
0% |
60% |
|
11 |
0% |
60% |
|
12 |
0% |
60% |
|
13 |
0% |
60% |
|
14 |
0% |
60% |
|
15 |
0% |
60% |
|
16 |
0% |
60% |
|
17 |
0% |
60% |
|
18 |
0% |
60% |
|
19 |
0% |
60% |
|
20 |
0% |
60% |
|
21 |
0% |
60% |
|
22 |
0% |
60% |
|
23 |
0% |
60% |
|
24 |
0% |
60% |
|
25 |
0% |
60% |
|
26 |
0% |
60% |
|
27 |
0% |
60% |
|
28 |
0% |
60% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
60% |
|
30 |
6% |
59% |
Last Result |
31 |
12% |
53% |
Median |
32 |
11% |
41% |
|
33 |
9% |
30% |
|
34 |
8% |
21% |
|
35 |
5% |
13% |
|
36 |
4% |
8% |
|
37 |
2% |
5% |
|
38 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților |
174 |
189 |
100% |
179–209 |
177–212 |
175–214 |
172–218 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
119 |
155 |
11% |
138–165 |
135–167 |
133–169 |
129–172 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
99 |
123 |
0% |
103–133 |
100–135 |
98–137 |
94–140 |
Partidul Național Liberal |
69 |
99 |
0% |
90–110 |
88–112 |
87–115 |
84–119 |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
168 |
0% |
100% |
|
169 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
170 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
171 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
172 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
173 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
174 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
175 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
176 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
177 |
2% |
95% |
|
178 |
2% |
94% |
|
179 |
3% |
91% |
|
180 |
4% |
88% |
|
181 |
4% |
85% |
|
182 |
4% |
81% |
|
183 |
5% |
76% |
|
184 |
5% |
72% |
|
185 |
4% |
67% |
|
186 |
4% |
63% |
|
187 |
4% |
58% |
|
188 |
3% |
55% |
|
189 |
3% |
51% |
|
190 |
2% |
48% |
Median |
191 |
2% |
46% |
|
192 |
1.4% |
44% |
|
193 |
1.2% |
43% |
|
194 |
1.0% |
41% |
|
195 |
0.9% |
41% |
|
196 |
0.9% |
40% |
|
197 |
0.9% |
39% |
|
198 |
1.1% |
38% |
|
199 |
1.5% |
37% |
|
200 |
2% |
35% |
|
201 |
2% |
34% |
|
202 |
2% |
32% |
|
203 |
3% |
29% |
|
204 |
3% |
27% |
|
205 |
3% |
24% |
|
206 |
3% |
21% |
|
207 |
3% |
18% |
|
208 |
3% |
15% |
|
209 |
3% |
12% |
|
210 |
2% |
9% |
|
211 |
2% |
7% |
|
212 |
2% |
6% |
|
213 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
214 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
215 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
216 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
217 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
218 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
219 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
220 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
221 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
222 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
223 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
119 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
120 |
0% |
100% |
|
121 |
0% |
100% |
|
122 |
0% |
100% |
|
123 |
0% |
100% |
|
124 |
0% |
100% |
|
125 |
0% |
100% |
|
126 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
127 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
128 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
129 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
130 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
131 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
132 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
133 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
134 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
135 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
136 |
2% |
95% |
|
137 |
2% |
93% |
|
138 |
2% |
91% |
|
139 |
3% |
89% |
|
140 |
3% |
86% |
|
141 |
3% |
84% |
|
142 |
3% |
81% |
|
143 |
3% |
78% |
|
144 |
3% |
75% |
|
145 |
3% |
73% |
|
146 |
2% |
70% |
|
147 |
2% |
68% |
|
148 |
2% |
66% |
|
149 |
2% |
64% |
|
150 |
2% |
62% |
|
151 |
2% |
60% |
|
152 |
2% |
58% |
|
153 |
2% |
56% |
|
154 |
3% |
54% |
|
155 |
3% |
51% |
|
156 |
4% |
48% |
|
157 |
4% |
44% |
|
158 |
5% |
40% |
|
159 |
4% |
36% |
|
160 |
5% |
32% |
|
161 |
4% |
27% |
|
162 |
4% |
23% |
|
163 |
4% |
18% |
Median |
164 |
3% |
15% |
|
165 |
3% |
11% |
Majority |
166 |
2% |
8% |
|
167 |
2% |
6% |
|
168 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
169 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
170 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
171 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
172 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
173 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
174 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
175 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
176 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
177 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
97 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
98 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
99 |
1.1% |
97% |
Last Result |
100 |
2% |
96% |
|
101 |
2% |
94% |
|
102 |
2% |
93% |
|
103 |
3% |
91% |
|
104 |
3% |
88% |
|
105 |
3% |
85% |
|
106 |
3% |
82% |
|
107 |
3% |
79% |
|
108 |
3% |
76% |
|
109 |
3% |
73% |
|
110 |
2% |
71% |
|
111 |
2% |
68% |
|
112 |
2% |
66% |
|
113 |
1.5% |
65% |
|
114 |
1.1% |
63% |
|
115 |
0.9% |
62% |
|
116 |
0.9% |
61% |
|
117 |
0.9% |
60% |
|
118 |
1.0% |
59% |
|
119 |
1.2% |
59% |
|
120 |
1.4% |
57% |
|
121 |
2% |
56% |
|
122 |
2% |
54% |
|
123 |
3% |
52% |
|
124 |
3% |
49% |
|
125 |
4% |
45% |
|
126 |
4% |
42% |
|
127 |
4% |
37% |
|
128 |
5% |
33% |
|
129 |
5% |
28% |
|
130 |
4% |
24% |
Median |
131 |
4% |
19% |
|
132 |
4% |
15% |
|
133 |
3% |
12% |
|
134 |
2% |
9% |
|
135 |
2% |
6% |
|
136 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
137 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
138 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
139 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
140 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
141 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
142 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
143 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
144 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
86 |
0.8% |
98.5% |
|
87 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
88 |
2% |
96% |
|
89 |
2% |
95% |
|
90 |
3% |
92% |
|
91 |
3% |
89% |
|
92 |
4% |
86% |
|
93 |
5% |
82% |
|
94 |
5% |
77% |
|
95 |
5% |
72% |
|
96 |
5% |
68% |
|
97 |
5% |
63% |
|
98 |
5% |
58% |
|
99 |
5% |
53% |
Median |
100 |
5% |
48% |
|
101 |
4% |
43% |
|
102 |
4% |
39% |
|
103 |
4% |
35% |
|
104 |
4% |
31% |
|
105 |
3% |
27% |
|
106 |
4% |
24% |
|
107 |
4% |
20% |
|
108 |
3% |
16% |
|
109 |
3% |
14% |
|
110 |
3% |
11% |
|
111 |
2% |
8% |
|
112 |
2% |
7% |
|
113 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
114 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
115 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
116 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
117 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
118 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
119 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
120 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
121 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
122 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
123 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IMAS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–30 April 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.47%