Opinion Poll by Avangarde, 15–22 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 46.0% 43.7–48.3% 43.0–48.9% 42.5–49.5% 41.4–50.6%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 30.0% 27.9–32.1% 27.3–32.7% 26.8–33.3% 25.9–34.3%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.4–10.8% 7.1–11.2% 6.6–11.9%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 6.0% 5.0–7.3% 4.8–7.6% 4.6–7.9% 4.1–8.6%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 5.0% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.5% 3.7–6.8% 3.3–7.3%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 2.9% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1% 2.0–4.4% 1.7–4.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 150 140–164 137–169 135–173 132–180
Partidul Național Liberal 69 98 90–108 88–111 86–114 82–120
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 29 0–34 0–35 0–36 0–39
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 19 16–24 0–25 0–26 0–28
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 16 0–19 0–21 0–21 0–24
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 9 7–12 7–13 6–14 5–16

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.8%  
131 0.2% 99.7%  
132 0.3% 99.5%  
133 0.5% 99.3%  
134 0.6% 98.7%  
135 0.8% 98%  
136 1.1% 97%  
137 2% 96%  
138 2% 95%  
139 2% 93%  
140 2% 91%  
141 3% 89%  
142 4% 86%  
143 3% 82%  
144 4% 79%  
145 5% 75%  
146 4% 70%  
147 5% 66%  
148 4% 61%  
149 4% 56%  
150 4% 52% Median
151 5% 48%  
152 4% 43%  
153 4% 39%  
154 3% 35% Last Result
155 4% 32%  
156 4% 29%  
157 2% 25%  
158 3% 23%  
159 2% 19%  
160 2% 18%  
161 2% 15%  
162 2% 13%  
163 1.4% 12%  
164 0.9% 10%  
165 1.0% 9% Majority
166 1.2% 8%  
167 0.9% 7%  
168 0.9% 6%  
169 0.7% 5%  
170 0.6% 5%  
171 0.7% 4%  
172 0.6% 3%  
173 0.6% 3%  
174 0.4% 2%  
175 0.4% 2%  
176 0.2% 1.4%  
177 0.3% 1.2%  
178 0.2% 0.9%  
179 0.1% 0.8%  
180 0.3% 0.7%  
181 0.1% 0.4%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.8%  
82 0.2% 99.7%  
83 0.3% 99.5%  
84 0.6% 99.2%  
85 0.8% 98.6%  
86 1.1% 98%  
87 2% 97%  
88 2% 95%  
89 2% 93%  
90 3% 91%  
91 4% 87%  
92 3% 83%  
93 5% 80%  
94 6% 75%  
95 5% 69%  
96 4% 63%  
97 7% 59%  
98 5% 52% Median
99 5% 47%  
100 5% 42%  
101 6% 37%  
102 4% 31%  
103 4% 27%  
104 3% 23%  
105 3% 19%  
106 3% 17%  
107 2% 14%  
108 2% 11%  
109 2% 9%  
110 1.3% 8%  
111 1.5% 6%  
112 0.8% 5%  
113 0.9% 4%  
114 0.8% 3%  
115 0.4% 2%  
116 0.3% 2%  
117 0.4% 2%  
118 0.2% 1.2%  
119 0.3% 1.0%  
120 0.2% 0.7%  
121 0.1% 0.5%  
122 0.1% 0.4%  
123 0.1% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 0% 84%  
9 0% 84%  
10 0% 84%  
11 0% 84%  
12 0% 84%  
13 0% 84%  
14 0% 84%  
15 0% 84%  
16 0% 84%  
17 0% 84%  
18 0% 84%  
19 0% 84%  
20 0% 84%  
21 0% 84%  
22 0% 84%  
23 0% 84%  
24 0% 84%  
25 2% 84%  
26 6% 82%  
27 10% 76%  
28 13% 66%  
29 12% 53% Median
30 10% 42% Last Result
31 9% 32%  
32 6% 22%  
33 5% 16%  
34 4% 10%  
35 2% 6%  
36 2% 4%  
37 1.1% 2%  
38 0.5% 1.2%  
39 0.3% 0.6%  
40 0.2% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0% 91%  
7 0% 91%  
8 0% 91%  
9 0% 91%  
10 0% 91%  
11 0% 91%  
12 0% 91%  
13 0% 91%  
14 0% 91%  
15 0.1% 91%  
16 5% 91%  
17 9% 86%  
18 13% 76%  
19 14% 63% Median
20 12% 49% Last Result
21 12% 36%  
22 8% 25%  
23 6% 16%  
24 4% 10%  
25 2% 6%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.7% 2%  
28 0.4% 0.8%  
29 0.2% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100%  
1 0% 53%  
2 0% 53%  
3 0% 53%  
4 0% 53%  
5 0% 53%  
6 0% 53%  
7 0% 53%  
8 0% 53%  
9 0% 53%  
10 0% 53%  
11 0% 53%  
12 0% 53%  
13 0% 53%  
14 0% 53%  
15 0.6% 53%  
16 13% 52% Median
17 12% 39%  
18 10% 27% Last Result
19 7% 17%  
20 4% 10%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.2% 2%  
23 0.7% 1.2%  
24 0.3% 0.6%  
25 0.2% 0.3%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 1.2% 99.9%  
6 3% 98.6%  
7 10% 95%  
8 17% 85%  
9 21% 68% Median
10 13% 47%  
11 16% 34%  
12 9% 17%  
13 4% 9%  
14 3% 4%  
15 1.2% 2%  
16 0.4% 0.7%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 168 66% 157–182 154–189 151–193 146–200
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 158 162 39% 148–172 143–175 139–177 132–180
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 152 8% 138–163 133–166 129–168 122–172
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 152 7% 138–163 132–166 128–167 120–171
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 138 144 0.8% 130–155 123–158 119–161 112–166
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 143 0.2% 128–154 123–156 119–159 111–163
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 128 136 0.3% 124–148 120–153 117–157 110–163
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 134 0% 119–145 113–148 110–151 105–156
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 134 0% 119–145 113–148 108–151 101–156
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 126 0% 115–138 112–142 109–146 103–152
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 125 0% 108–135 103–138 100–141 95–146
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 108 117 0% 105–130 103–134 101–137 97–144
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 108 0% 96–120 93–124 91–127 88–133
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 107 0% 99–119 97–122 95–125 91–132
Partidul Național Liberal 69 98 0% 90–108 88–111 86–114 82–120
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 34 0% 18–49 0–51 0–52 0–55

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.2% 99.7%  
147 0.2% 99.4%  
148 0.3% 99.2%  
149 0.4% 98.9%  
150 0.5% 98%  
151 0.6% 98%  
152 0.7% 97%  
153 0.8% 97%  
154 1.1% 96%  
155 1.5% 95%  
156 2% 93%  
157 2% 91%  
158 2% 89%  
159 2% 87%  
160 3% 85%  
161 2% 82%  
162 4% 80%  
163 4% 75%  
164 5% 71%  
165 5% 66% Majority
166 4% 61%  
167 4% 57%  
168 3% 53%  
169 4% 49% Median
170 3% 45%  
171 4% 42%  
172 3% 37%  
173 3% 34%  
174 3% 31% Last Result
175 3% 29%  
176 3% 25%  
177 3% 22%  
178 2% 19%  
179 3% 17%  
180 1.5% 14%  
181 1.5% 13%  
182 1.2% 11%  
183 0.8% 10%  
184 0.9% 9%  
185 0.9% 8%  
186 1.0% 7%  
187 0.6% 6%  
188 0.6% 6%  
189 0.7% 5%  
190 0.6% 5%  
191 0.4% 4%  
192 0.6% 4%  
193 0.7% 3%  
194 0.4% 2%  
195 0.2% 2%  
196 0.4% 2%  
197 0.3% 1.2%  
198 0.1% 0.9%  
199 0.2% 0.8%  
200 0.2% 0.6%  
201 0.1% 0.4%  
202 0.1% 0.3%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0.1% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.1% 99.7%  
131 0.1% 99.6%  
132 0.3% 99.6%  
133 0.1% 99.3%  
134 0.2% 99.2%  
135 0.3% 99.1%  
136 0.2% 98.8%  
137 0.4% 98.6%  
138 0.4% 98%  
139 0.6% 98%  
140 0.6% 97%  
141 0.7% 97%  
142 0.6% 96%  
143 0.7% 95%  
144 0.9% 95%  
145 0.9% 94%  
146 1.2% 93%  
147 1.0% 92%  
148 0.9% 91%  
149 1.4% 90%  
150 2% 88%  
151 2% 87%  
152 2% 85%  
153 2% 82%  
154 3% 81%  
155 2% 77%  
156 4% 75%  
157 4% 71%  
158 3% 68% Last Result
159 4% 65%  
160 4% 61%  
161 5% 57%  
162 4% 52%  
163 4% 48%  
164 4% 44%  
165 5% 39% Majority
166 4% 34%  
167 5% 30%  
168 4% 25%  
169 3% 21%  
170 4% 18%  
171 3% 14% Median
172 2% 11%  
173 2% 9%  
174 2% 7%  
175 2% 5%  
176 1.1% 4%  
177 0.8% 3%  
178 0.6% 2%  
179 0.5% 1.3%  
180 0.3% 0.7%  
181 0.2% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0.1% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0.1% 99.5%  
123 0.2% 99.5%  
124 0.2% 99.3%  
125 0.2% 99.0%  
126 0.4% 98.8%  
127 0.4% 98%  
128 0.3% 98%  
129 0.6% 98%  
130 0.6% 97%  
131 0.5% 97%  
132 0.8% 96%  
133 0.9% 95%  
134 0.9% 94%  
135 1.0% 93%  
136 0.8% 92%  
137 1.4% 92%  
138 1.2% 90%  
139 2% 89%  
140 2% 87% Last Result
141 2% 86%  
142 2% 84%  
143 2% 83%  
144 2% 81%  
145 3% 79%  
146 3% 76%  
147 4% 73%  
148 3% 69%  
149 5% 67%  
150 4% 62%  
151 5% 58%  
152 4% 53%  
153 4% 49%  
154 5% 45%  
155 3% 40% Median
156 5% 37%  
157 4% 32%  
158 3% 29%  
159 4% 26%  
160 3% 21%  
161 3% 18%  
162 3% 15%  
163 2% 12%  
164 2% 10%  
165 2% 8% Majority
166 1.4% 6%  
167 1.0% 4%  
168 1.0% 3%  
169 0.8% 2%  
170 0.6% 2%  
171 0.4% 1.0%  
172 0.2% 0.7%  
173 0.2% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.7%  
120 0.1% 99.6%  
121 0.1% 99.5%  
122 0.1% 99.4%  
123 0.2% 99.2%  
124 0.1% 99.0%  
125 0.3% 98.9%  
126 0.3% 98.6%  
127 0.3% 98%  
128 0.7% 98%  
129 0.5% 97%  
130 0.5% 97%  
131 0.6% 96%  
132 0.8% 96%  
133 0.7% 95%  
134 0.7% 94%  
135 1.1% 94%  
136 0.9% 92%  
137 1.0% 92% Last Result
138 1.2% 91%  
139 1.5% 89%  
140 1.2% 88%  
141 2% 87%  
142 2% 85%  
143 2% 83%  
144 2% 80%  
145 4% 78%  
146 2% 75%  
147 3% 72%  
148 4% 69%  
149 3% 66%  
150 4% 62%  
151 5% 58%  
152 4% 53%  
153 4% 49%  
154 4% 45%  
155 4% 41%  
156 4% 37%  
157 4% 32%  
158 4% 29%  
159 4% 25%  
160 4% 21%  
161 3% 17%  
162 3% 14% Median
163 2% 11%  
164 2% 9%  
165 2% 7% Majority
166 1.4% 5%  
167 1.1% 4%  
168 0.7% 2%  
169 0.6% 2%  
170 0.4% 1.2%  
171 0.3% 0.8%  
172 0.2% 0.5%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0.1% 99.7%  
112 0.2% 99.6%  
113 0.2% 99.4%  
114 0.1% 99.2%  
115 0.3% 99.1%  
116 0.4% 98.8%  
117 0.2% 98%  
118 0.4% 98%  
119 0.7% 98%  
120 0.6% 97%  
121 0.4% 96%  
122 0.6% 96%  
123 0.7% 95%  
124 0.6% 95%  
125 0.6% 94%  
126 1.0% 94%  
127 0.9% 93%  
128 0.9% 92%  
129 0.8% 91%  
130 1.2% 90%  
131 1.5% 89%  
132 1.5% 87%  
133 3% 86%  
134 2% 83%  
135 3% 81%  
136 3% 78%  
137 3% 75%  
138 3% 71% Last Result
139 3% 69%  
140 3% 66%  
141 4% 63%  
142 3% 58%  
143 4% 55%  
144 3% 51%  
145 4% 47%  
146 4% 43%  
147 5% 39%  
148 5% 34%  
149 4% 29%  
150 4% 25%  
151 2% 20%  
152 3% 18% Median
153 2% 15%  
154 2% 13%  
155 2% 11%  
156 2% 9%  
157 1.5% 7%  
158 1.1% 5%  
159 0.8% 4%  
160 0.7% 3%  
161 0.6% 3%  
162 0.5% 2%  
163 0.4% 2%  
164 0.3% 1.1%  
165 0.2% 0.8% Majority
166 0.2% 0.6%  
167 0.1% 0.3%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0.1% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0.1% 99.7%  
110 0.1% 99.6%  
111 0.1% 99.5%  
112 0.1% 99.5%  
113 0.2% 99.3%  
114 0.2% 99.1%  
115 0.2% 99.0%  
116 0.3% 98.7%  
117 0.4% 98%  
118 0.4% 98%  
119 0.5% 98% Last Result
120 0.6% 97%  
121 0.7% 97%  
122 0.7% 96%  
123 1.1% 95%  
124 0.6% 94%  
125 1.0% 93%  
126 1.1% 92%  
127 0.9% 91%  
128 2% 90%  
129 1.4% 89%  
130 1.0% 87%  
131 2% 86%  
132 2% 85%  
133 2% 83%  
134 2% 81%  
135 2% 79%  
136 3% 77%  
137 3% 74%  
138 3% 71%  
139 3% 68%  
140 4% 65%  
141 3% 60%  
142 5% 57%  
143 5% 52%  
144 4% 47%  
145 5% 43%  
146 3% 38% Median
147 4% 35%  
148 4% 31%  
149 3% 27%  
150 4% 24%  
151 4% 20%  
152 3% 16%  
153 2% 13%  
154 3% 11%  
155 2% 8%  
156 1.4% 6%  
157 1.3% 5%  
158 1.1% 4%  
159 0.6% 3%  
160 0.7% 2%  
161 0.5% 1.2%  
162 0.2% 0.7%  
163 0.2% 0.5%  
164 0.2% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.2% Majority
166 0.1% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.8%  
109 0.1% 99.7%  
110 0.2% 99.6%  
111 0.1% 99.3%  
112 0.3% 99.3%  
113 0.3% 99.0%  
114 0.2% 98.8%  
115 0.4% 98.6%  
116 0.5% 98%  
117 0.6% 98%  
118 0.6% 97%  
119 0.8% 97%  
120 0.8% 96%  
121 1.3% 95%  
122 1.4% 94%  
123 2% 92%  
124 2% 90%  
125 3% 89%  
126 2% 86%  
127 3% 83%  
128 3% 81% Last Result
129 4% 78%  
130 4% 74%  
131 3% 70%  
132 4% 67%  
133 4% 63%  
134 4% 59%  
135 4% 55%  
136 3% 51%  
137 5% 47%  
138 4% 43%  
139 4% 39%  
140 5% 35%  
141 4% 30%  
142 4% 26% Median
143 3% 23%  
144 3% 20%  
145 2% 17%  
146 2% 15%  
147 2% 13%  
148 1.3% 11%  
149 1.3% 10%  
150 1.1% 8%  
151 1.1% 7%  
152 0.9% 6%  
153 0.6% 5%  
154 0.7% 5%  
155 0.5% 4%  
156 0.6% 4%  
157 0.8% 3%  
158 0.3% 2%  
159 0.5% 2%  
160 0.3% 1.3%  
161 0.3% 1.1%  
162 0.2% 0.8%  
163 0.2% 0.6%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.3% Majority
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.1% 99.7%  
105 0.2% 99.5%  
106 0.2% 99.3%  
107 0.3% 99.1%  
108 0.7% 98.8%  
109 0.5% 98%  
110 0.8% 98%  
111 0.6% 97%  
112 0.7% 96%  
113 0.8% 96%  
114 0.8% 95%  
115 0.8% 94%  
116 0.8% 93%  
117 0.6% 92%  
118 0.9% 92%  
119 1.5% 91%  
120 1.2% 89% Last Result
121 1.0% 88%  
122 1.4% 87%  
123 2% 86%  
124 2% 84%  
125 1.5% 82%  
126 2% 81%  
127 2% 78%  
128 2% 76%  
129 3% 74%  
130 3% 71%  
131 5% 67%  
132 4% 62%  
133 6% 58%  
134 4% 52%  
135 6% 48%  
136 4% 42% Median
137 4% 38%  
138 3% 34%  
139 4% 31%  
140 3% 27%  
141 4% 25%  
142 3% 20%  
143 4% 17%  
144 2% 13%  
145 3% 11%  
146 2% 8%  
147 1.4% 7%  
148 1.0% 5%  
149 0.7% 4%  
150 0.8% 3%  
151 0.5% 3%  
152 0.6% 2%  
153 0.4% 2%  
154 0.3% 1.2%  
155 0.2% 0.9%  
156 0.2% 0.6%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.3%  
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.2% 99.7%  
102 0.2% 99.5%  
103 0.2% 99.3%  
104 0.2% 99.1%  
105 0.3% 98.9%  
106 0.4% 98.6%  
107 0.3% 98%  
108 0.6% 98%  
109 0.4% 97%  
110 0.6% 97%  
111 0.6% 96%  
112 0.4% 96%  
113 0.7% 95%  
114 0.6% 95%  
115 0.6% 94%  
116 0.7% 93%  
117 0.8% 93% Last Result
118 0.7% 92%  
119 1.1% 91%  
120 1.4% 90%  
121 1.3% 89%  
122 1.4% 87%  
123 2% 86%  
124 2% 84%  
125 3% 82%  
126 4% 79%  
127 3% 75%  
128 3% 73%  
129 3% 70%  
130 3% 67%  
131 4% 64%  
132 4% 60%  
133 3% 55%  
134 4% 52%  
135 4% 49%  
136 3% 45%  
137 5% 42%  
138 5% 37%  
139 4% 32%  
140 4% 28%  
141 3% 24%  
142 4% 21%  
143 3% 18% Median
144 3% 15%  
145 2% 12%  
146 2% 10%  
147 2% 8%  
148 1.3% 6%  
149 1.3% 5%  
150 0.8% 4%  
151 0.8% 3%  
152 0.5% 2%  
153 0.5% 2%  
154 0.3% 1.2%  
155 0.3% 0.9%  
156 0.2% 0.6%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.3%  
159 0% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.8%  
102 0.1% 99.7%  
103 0.2% 99.6%  
104 0.1% 99.4%  
105 0.3% 99.3%  
106 0.4% 99.0%  
107 0.4% 98.6%  
108 0.5% 98%  
109 0.4% 98%  
110 0.8% 97% Last Result
111 0.8% 96%  
112 1.1% 96%  
113 1.1% 94%  
114 1.4% 93%  
115 2% 92%  
116 2% 90%  
117 2% 88%  
118 3% 86%  
119 3% 83%  
120 3% 80%  
121 5% 76%  
122 4% 71%  
123 5% 67%  
124 5% 61%  
125 5% 57%  
126 5% 52% Median
127 5% 47%  
128 4% 43%  
129 4% 39%  
130 4% 34%  
131 3% 30%  
132 4% 27%  
133 4% 23%  
134 3% 19%  
135 3% 17%  
136 2% 14%  
137 2% 12%  
138 1.5% 11%  
139 2% 9%  
140 1.1% 7%  
141 0.9% 6%  
142 0.9% 5%  
143 0.7% 5%  
144 0.7% 4%  
145 0.5% 3%  
146 0.5% 3%  
147 0.4% 2%  
148 0.2% 2%  
149 0.3% 1.3%  
150 0.4% 1.1%  
151 0.1% 0.7%  
152 0.1% 0.6%  
153 0.1% 0.5%  
154 0.1% 0.3%  
155 0.1% 0.2%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.1% 99.7%  
95 0.2% 99.6%  
96 0.3% 99.3%  
97 0.3% 99.0%  
98 0.5% 98.7%  
99 0.6% 98% Last Result
100 0.7% 98%  
101 0.8% 97%  
102 0.7% 96%  
103 0.8% 95%  
104 0.8% 95%  
105 0.9% 94%  
106 0.8% 93%  
107 1.0% 92%  
108 1.2% 91%  
109 0.8% 90%  
110 1.0% 89%  
111 1.1% 88%  
112 1.0% 87%  
113 1.3% 86%  
114 2% 85%  
115 1.4% 83%  
116 2% 82%  
117 2% 80%  
118 3% 78%  
119 3% 75%  
120 3% 73%  
121 4% 69%  
122 5% 66%  
123 4% 61%  
124 5% 56%  
125 5% 51%  
126 6% 47%  
127 4% 41% Median
128 5% 37%  
129 4% 32%  
130 4% 29%  
131 4% 25%  
132 4% 21%  
133 2% 17%  
134 3% 15%  
135 2% 12%  
136 2% 9%  
137 2% 8%  
138 1.2% 6%  
139 1.1% 4%  
140 0.7% 3%  
141 0.7% 3%  
142 0.5% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.5%  
144 0.3% 1.1%  
145 0.3% 0.8%  
146 0.2% 0.5%  
147 0.1% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.2% 99.8%  
97 0.2% 99.6%  
98 0.3% 99.4%  
99 0.6% 99.1%  
100 0.8% 98%  
101 1.0% 98%  
102 0.8% 97%  
103 1.2% 96%  
104 2% 95%  
105 2% 92%  
106 3% 90%  
107 2% 87%  
108 3% 85% Last Result
109 3% 82%  
110 4% 79%  
111 3% 75%  
112 4% 73%  
113 3% 69%  
114 4% 65%  
115 4% 62%  
116 4% 57%  
117 4% 54%  
118 4% 50%  
119 5% 46%  
120 4% 41%  
121 4% 37%  
122 5% 33%  
123 4% 28% Median
124 3% 25%  
125 3% 22%  
126 3% 19%  
127 2% 16%  
128 2% 14%  
129 2% 12%  
130 1.5% 11%  
131 1.2% 9%  
132 1.1% 8%  
133 1.2% 7%  
134 0.8% 6%  
135 0.8% 5%  
136 0.7% 4%  
137 1.0% 3%  
138 0.4% 2%  
139 0.3% 2%  
140 0.4% 2%  
141 0.3% 1.2%  
142 0.2% 1.0%  
143 0.1% 0.7%  
144 0.3% 0.6%  
145 0.1% 0.4%  
146 0.1% 0.3%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
88 0.3% 99.5%  
89 0.5% 99.2%  
90 0.6% 98.8%  
91 0.9% 98%  
92 1.0% 97%  
93 1.3% 96%  
94 2% 95%  
95 3% 93%  
96 2% 91%  
97 3% 89%  
98 3% 86%  
99 3% 83%  
100 3% 80%  
101 4% 77%  
102 3% 73%  
103 4% 70%  
104 3% 66%  
105 3% 63%  
106 4% 60%  
107 4% 56%  
108 4% 52%  
109 4% 47%  
110 5% 44%  
111 4% 39%  
112 4% 35%  
113 4% 31%  
114 4% 27% Median
115 4% 24%  
116 2% 20%  
117 3% 18%  
118 2% 15%  
119 2% 13%  
120 2% 11%  
121 1.3% 9%  
122 1.2% 8%  
123 1.0% 7%  
124 0.8% 6%  
125 0.9% 5%  
126 0.9% 4%  
127 0.7% 3%  
128 0.6% 2%  
129 0.4% 2%  
130 0.3% 1.3%  
131 0.2% 1.1%  
132 0.2% 0.9%  
133 0.2% 0.7%  
134 0.1% 0.5%  
135 0.1% 0.4%  
136 0.1% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
91 0.2% 99.7%  
92 0.5% 99.5%  
93 0.6% 99.0%  
94 0.6% 98%  
95 1.1% 98%  
96 2% 97%  
97 2% 95%  
98 2% 93%  
99 3% 91%  
100 3% 88%  
101 4% 85%  
102 5% 80%  
103 4% 75%  
104 5% 71%  
105 6% 66%  
106 6% 60%  
107 5% 54% Median
108 5% 50%  
109 5% 45%  
110 5% 39%  
111 4% 34%  
112 4% 30%  
113 3% 26%  
114 4% 23%  
115 3% 19%  
116 3% 16%  
117 2% 14%  
118 2% 12%  
119 2% 10%  
120 2% 8%  
121 1.2% 7%  
122 1.0% 5%  
123 0.9% 4%  
124 0.8% 3%  
125 0.4% 3%  
126 0.5% 2%  
127 0.3% 2%  
128 0.2% 1.4%  
129 0.2% 1.2%  
130 0.3% 1.0%  
131 0.1% 0.7%  
132 0.2% 0.6%  
133 0.1% 0.4%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0.1% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.8%  
82 0.2% 99.7%  
83 0.3% 99.5%  
84 0.6% 99.2%  
85 0.8% 98.6%  
86 1.1% 98%  
87 2% 97%  
88 2% 95%  
89 2% 93%  
90 3% 91%  
91 4% 87%  
92 3% 83%  
93 5% 80%  
94 6% 75%  
95 5% 69%  
96 4% 63%  
97 7% 59%  
98 5% 52% Median
99 5% 47%  
100 5% 42%  
101 6% 37%  
102 4% 31%  
103 4% 27%  
104 3% 23%  
105 3% 19%  
106 3% 17%  
107 2% 14%  
108 2% 11%  
109 2% 9%  
110 1.3% 8%  
111 1.5% 6%  
112 0.8% 5%  
113 0.9% 4%  
114 0.8% 3%  
115 0.4% 2%  
116 0.3% 2%  
117 0.4% 2%  
118 0.2% 1.2%  
119 0.3% 1.0%  
120 0.2% 0.7%  
121 0.1% 0.5%  
122 0.1% 0.4%  
123 0.1% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 0% 93%  
15 0% 93%  
16 0% 93%  
17 2% 93%  
18 2% 91%  
19 2% 89%  
20 1.1% 87%  
21 1.1% 86%  
22 0.5% 85%  
23 0.3% 84%  
24 0.2% 84%  
25 0.1% 84%  
26 1.0% 84%  
27 4% 83%  
28 6% 79%  
29 6% 74%  
30 5% 68%  
31 5% 63%  
32 4% 58%  
33 3% 54%  
34 3% 51%  
35 1.4% 48%  
36 1.1% 47%  
37 0.9% 46%  
38 0.4% 45%  
39 0.3% 44%  
40 0.1% 44%  
41 1.1% 44%  
42 1.5% 43%  
43 4% 41%  
44 4% 37%  
45 6% 33% Median
46 6% 27%  
47 5% 21%  
48 5% 16% Last Result
49 4% 12%  
50 2% 8%  
51 2% 6%  
52 2% 4%  
53 0.9% 2%  
54 0.6% 1.4%  
55 0.3% 0.8%  
56 0.2% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations