Opinion Poll by Avangarde, 11–23 August 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 46.1% 43.7–48.5% 43.0–49.2% 42.4–49.7% 41.3–50.9%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 25.1% 23.1–27.3% 22.5–27.9% 22.0–28.4% 21.1–29.5%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 7.0% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.8% 5.4–9.2% 4.9–9.9%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 6.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.8–7.7% 4.5–8.1% 4.1–8.7%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.1% 4.2–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.7–7.0% 3.3–7.6%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 3.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.7% 2.4–6.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 172 161–180 158–183 155–185 149–190
Partidul Național Liberal 69 93 85–101 83–103 81–106 77–110
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 26 22–31 20–32 19–34 0–36
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 0 0 0 0–27 0–30
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 19 15–23 14–24 13–25 12–28
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0–17 0–19 0–20 0–22

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.8%  
148 0.1% 99.7%  
149 0.1% 99.6%  
150 0.2% 99.4%  
151 0.2% 99.2%  
152 0.3% 99.0%  
153 0.4% 98.7%  
154 0.6% 98% Last Result
155 0.7% 98%  
156 0.8% 97%  
157 1.0% 96%  
158 1.1% 95%  
159 1.4% 94%  
160 2% 93%  
161 2% 91%  
162 2% 89%  
163 3% 87%  
164 3% 85%  
165 3% 82% Majority
166 3% 79%  
167 4% 75%  
168 5% 71%  
169 6% 66%  
170 5% 61%  
171 5% 56%  
172 6% 51% Median
173 5% 45%  
174 6% 40%  
175 5% 34%  
176 4% 29%  
177 5% 24%  
178 4% 20%  
179 3% 16%  
180 3% 13%  
181 2% 10%  
182 2% 7%  
183 1.5% 6%  
184 1.1% 4%  
185 0.8% 3%  
186 0.7% 2%  
187 0.5% 2%  
188 0.3% 1.1%  
189 0.2% 0.8%  
190 0.2% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 0.2% 99.6%  
78 0.4% 99.4%  
79 0.5% 99.0%  
80 0.7% 98.5%  
81 1.0% 98%  
82 1.2% 97%  
83 2% 96%  
84 2% 94%  
85 3% 92%  
86 3% 89%  
87 4% 86%  
88 4% 82%  
89 6% 78%  
90 5% 72%  
91 6% 67%  
92 6% 61%  
93 6% 54% Median
94 7% 49%  
95 7% 42%  
96 5% 35%  
97 5% 30%  
98 5% 25%  
99 4% 20%  
100 4% 16%  
101 3% 12%  
102 2% 9%  
103 2% 7%  
104 1.4% 5%  
105 0.9% 4%  
106 0.9% 3%  
107 0.5% 2%  
108 0.4% 1.2%  
109 0.3% 0.8%  
110 0.2% 0.5%  
111 0.1% 0.3%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100%  
1 0% 99.2%  
2 0% 99.2%  
3 0% 99.2%  
4 0% 99.2%  
5 0% 99.2%  
6 0% 99.2%  
7 0% 99.2%  
8 0% 99.2%  
9 0% 99.2%  
10 0% 99.2%  
11 0% 99.2%  
12 0% 99.2%  
13 0% 99.2%  
14 0% 99.2%  
15 0% 99.2%  
16 0% 99.2%  
17 0% 99.2%  
18 0.3% 99.2%  
19 1.4% 98.9%  
20 3% 97% Last Result
21 4% 95%  
22 6% 91%  
23 8% 85%  
24 10% 76%  
25 10% 66%  
26 11% 56% Median
27 10% 45%  
28 9% 35%  
29 7% 26%  
30 6% 18%  
31 4% 12%  
32 3% 8%  
33 2% 5%  
34 1.2% 3%  
35 0.7% 2%  
36 0.4% 0.8%  
37 0.2% 0.4%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 0% 3%  
8 0% 3%  
9 0% 3%  
10 0% 3%  
11 0% 3%  
12 0% 3%  
13 0% 3%  
14 0% 3%  
15 0% 3%  
16 0% 3%  
17 0% 3%  
18 0% 3%  
19 0% 3%  
20 0% 3%  
21 0% 3%  
22 0% 3%  
23 0% 3%  
24 0% 3%  
25 0% 3%  
26 0% 3%  
27 0.2% 3%  
28 0.9% 2%  
29 0.7% 1.4%  
30 0.4% 0.7% Last Result
31 0.2% 0.3%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.9%  
12 0.9% 99.6%  
13 2% 98.7%  
14 4% 97%  
15 6% 93%  
16 8% 86%  
17 12% 78%  
18 13% 66%  
19 13% 53% Median
20 11% 40%  
21 9% 29% Last Result
22 7% 20%  
23 5% 13%  
24 3% 7%  
25 2% 4%  
26 1.2% 2%  
27 0.6% 1.2%  
28 0.3% 0.6%  
29 0.2% 0.3%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 0% 10%  
5 0% 10%  
6 0% 10%  
7 0% 10%  
8 0% 10%  
9 0% 10%  
10 0% 10%  
11 0% 10%  
12 0% 10%  
13 0% 10%  
14 0% 10%  
15 0% 10%  
16 0% 10%  
17 0.6% 10%  
18 4% 10% Last Result
19 3% 6%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.8% 1.4%  
22 0.4% 0.6%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 198 100% 187–206 183–209 179–211 173–214
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 140 0.3% 132–151 129–154 127–157 122–163
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 140 0.1% 131–150 128–153 125–155 119–160
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 139 0.1% 130–148 127–151 124–154 119–160
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 138 0% 129–147 126–150 123–152 117–156
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 121 0% 113–132 110–136 108–139 103–145
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 119 120 0% 111–129 108–132 106–135 101–143
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 114 0% 106–125 103–129 101–133 98–139
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 114 0% 105–124 102–127 100–130 96–135
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 113 0% 104–122 102–125 99–128 95–137
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 112 0% 103–121 101–123 99–125 94–129
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 95 0% 87–106 85–111 83–114 80–121
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 95 0% 86–105 84–109 82–112 78–117
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 94 0% 86–102 83–106 81–110 78–119
Partidul Național Liberal 69 93 0% 85–101 83–103 81–106 77–110
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 0 0% 0–18 0–20 0–27 0–30

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
165 0% 100% Majority
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.8%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0.1% 99.7%  
173 0.1% 99.6%  
174 0.1% 99.4% Last Result
175 0.3% 99.3%  
176 0.3% 99.0%  
177 0.4% 98.8%  
178 0.4% 98%  
179 0.6% 98%  
180 0.5% 97%  
181 0.7% 97%  
182 0.8% 96%  
183 0.9% 95%  
184 1.0% 94%  
185 1.2% 93%  
186 1.4% 92%  
187 2% 91%  
188 2% 89%  
189 2% 87%  
190 3% 85%  
191 3% 83%  
192 3% 80%  
193 4% 76%  
194 4% 72%  
195 5% 68%  
196 5% 63%  
197 5% 58%  
198 6% 52% Median
199 6% 47%  
200 5% 41%  
201 5% 36%  
202 5% 30%  
203 5% 25%  
204 4% 20%  
205 3% 16%  
206 3% 13%  
207 3% 10%  
208 2% 7%  
209 2% 5%  
210 1.2% 4%  
211 0.9% 3%  
212 0.6% 2%  
213 0.4% 1.2%  
214 0.3% 0.8%  
215 0.2% 0.5%  
216 0.1% 0.3%  
217 0.1% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0.2% 99.6%  
123 0.2% 99.4%  
124 0.3% 99.2%  
125 0.5% 98.9%  
126 0.7% 98%  
127 0.8% 98%  
128 1.1% 97%  
129 1.5% 96%  
130 2% 94%  
131 2% 93%  
132 3% 90%  
133 3% 87%  
134 4% 84%  
135 5% 80%  
136 4% 76%  
137 5% 71%  
138 6% 66% Median
139 5% 60%  
140 6% 55%  
141 5% 49%  
142 5% 44%  
143 6% 39%  
144 5% 34%  
145 4% 29%  
146 3% 25%  
147 3% 21%  
148 3% 18%  
149 3% 15%  
150 2% 13%  
151 2% 11%  
152 2% 9%  
153 1.4% 7%  
154 1.1% 6%  
155 1.0% 5%  
156 0.8% 4%  
157 0.7% 3%  
158 0.6% 2% Last Result
159 0.4% 2%  
160 0.3% 1.3%  
161 0.2% 1.0%  
162 0.2% 0.8%  
163 0.1% 0.6%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.3% Majority
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.1% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.6%  
120 0.2% 99.5%  
121 0.3% 99.3%  
122 0.3% 99.1%  
123 0.3% 98.8%  
124 0.4% 98%  
125 0.7% 98%  
126 0.9% 97%  
127 1.0% 96%  
128 1.2% 96% Last Result
129 2% 94%  
130 2% 93%  
131 3% 91%  
132 3% 88%  
133 3% 85%  
134 4% 82%  
135 5% 78%  
136 4% 73%  
137 5% 69%  
138 6% 64% Median
139 5% 58%  
140 6% 53%  
141 5% 47%  
142 5% 41%  
143 6% 37%  
144 5% 31%  
145 4% 27%  
146 3% 22%  
147 3% 19%  
148 3% 16%  
149 2% 13%  
150 2% 10%  
151 2% 8%  
152 2% 7%  
153 1.2% 5%  
154 1.0% 4%  
155 0.8% 3%  
156 0.6% 2%  
157 0.5% 2%  
158 0.4% 1.3%  
159 0.2% 0.9%  
160 0.2% 0.6%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.3%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1% Majority
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.1% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.6%  
120 0.2% 99.4%  
121 0.3% 99.2%  
122 0.4% 98.9%  
123 0.6% 98.5%  
124 0.6% 98%  
125 1.0% 97%  
126 1.1% 96%  
127 1.4% 95%  
128 2% 94%  
129 2% 92%  
130 2% 90%  
131 3% 88%  
132 4% 85%  
133 3% 81%  
134 5% 78%  
135 5% 73%  
136 5% 68%  
137 5% 63%  
138 6% 58% Median
139 5% 52%  
140 6% 46% Last Result
141 5% 40%  
142 4% 35%  
143 5% 31%  
144 4% 25%  
145 4% 21%  
146 3% 17%  
147 3% 14%  
148 2% 11%  
149 2% 9%  
150 1.4% 7%  
151 1.2% 6%  
152 1.0% 5%  
153 0.8% 4%  
154 0.6% 3%  
155 0.4% 2%  
156 0.4% 2%  
157 0.3% 1.4%  
158 0.2% 1.1%  
159 0.2% 0.8%  
160 0.1% 0.6%  
161 0.1% 0.5%  
162 0.1% 0.4%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1% Majority
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9% Last Result
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.1% 99.8%  
116 0.1% 99.7%  
117 0.1% 99.6%  
118 0.2% 99.4%  
119 0.2% 99.3%  
120 0.3% 99.0%  
121 0.5% 98.7%  
122 0.5% 98%  
123 0.7% 98%  
124 0.8% 97%  
125 1.2% 96%  
126 1.3% 95%  
127 2% 94%  
128 2% 92%  
129 2% 91%  
130 2% 88%  
131 3% 86%  
132 4% 83%  
133 4% 79%  
134 5% 75%  
135 5% 71%  
136 5% 66%  
137 5% 61%  
138 6% 56% Median
139 5% 49%  
140 6% 44%  
141 5% 38%  
142 4% 32%  
143 5% 28%  
144 4% 23%  
145 4% 19%  
146 3% 15%  
147 3% 12%  
148 2% 9%  
149 2% 7%  
150 1.3% 5%  
151 1.1% 4%  
152 0.9% 3%  
153 0.6% 2%  
154 0.4% 1.2%  
155 0.3% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.5%  
157 0.1% 0.3%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.7%  
102 0.1% 99.7%  
103 0.1% 99.6%  
104 0.2% 99.4%  
105 0.3% 99.2%  
106 0.4% 98.9%  
107 0.6% 98.5%  
108 0.7% 98%  
109 1.1% 97%  
110 2% 96%  
111 2% 95%  
112 2% 93%  
113 3% 90%  
114 4% 88%  
115 4% 84%  
116 4% 80%  
117 5% 76%  
118 5% 71%  
119 5% 66% Median
120 6% 61%  
121 5% 55%  
122 7% 50%  
123 5% 43%  
124 5% 39%  
125 5% 34%  
126 4% 29%  
127 4% 25%  
128 3% 21%  
129 3% 18%  
130 2% 16%  
131 2% 13%  
132 2% 11%  
133 1.5% 9%  
134 1.3% 8%  
135 1.2% 7%  
136 0.9% 5%  
137 0.9% 5% Last Result
138 0.7% 4%  
139 0.6% 3%  
140 0.5% 2%  
141 0.4% 2%  
142 0.3% 1.4%  
143 0.3% 1.1%  
144 0.2% 0.8%  
145 0.1% 0.6%  
146 0.1% 0.5%  
147 0.1% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0.1% 99.6%  
101 0.2% 99.5%  
102 0.2% 99.4%  
103 0.3% 99.1%  
104 0.4% 98.8%  
105 0.5% 98%  
106 0.8% 98%  
107 1.0% 97%  
108 1.1% 96%  
109 2% 95%  
110 2% 93%  
111 2% 91%  
112 3% 89%  
113 3% 86%  
114 4% 82%  
115 5% 78%  
116 5% 74%  
117 6% 69%  
118 5% 63%  
119 6% 58% Last Result, Median
120 6% 52%  
121 6% 47%  
122 7% 41%  
123 5% 34%  
124 5% 30%  
125 4% 25%  
126 3% 20%  
127 3% 17%  
128 3% 14%  
129 2% 11%  
130 2% 9%  
131 1.3% 7%  
132 1.2% 6%  
133 0.9% 4%  
134 0.7% 4%  
135 0.6% 3%  
136 0.4% 2%  
137 0.4% 2%  
138 0.3% 2%  
139 0.3% 1.3%  
140 0.2% 1.1%  
141 0.1% 0.9%  
142 0.2% 0.7%  
143 0.1% 0.6%  
144 0.1% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.2% 99.7%  
98 0.3% 99.5%  
99 0.4% 99.2%  
100 0.6% 98.8%  
101 0.9% 98%  
102 1.2% 97%  
103 2% 96%  
104 2% 95%  
105 3% 93%  
106 3% 90%  
107 3% 87%  
108 4% 84%  
109 5% 80%  
110 5% 75%  
111 5% 70%  
112 5% 64% Median
113 6% 59%  
114 6% 53%  
115 5% 48%  
116 5% 42%  
117 5% 37%  
118 4% 32%  
119 4% 28%  
120 3% 24%  
121 3% 20%  
122 3% 17%  
123 2% 15%  
124 2% 13%  
125 2% 11%  
126 1.4% 9%  
127 1.2% 8%  
128 1.0% 7%  
129 0.9% 6%  
130 0.8% 5%  
131 0.7% 4%  
132 0.5% 3%  
133 0.6% 3%  
134 0.4% 2%  
135 0.4% 2%  
136 0.3% 1.2%  
137 0.3% 1.0%  
138 0.1% 0.7% Last Result
139 0.1% 0.6%  
140 0.1% 0.4%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.1% 99.7%  
96 0.2% 99.6%  
97 0.3% 99.4%  
98 0.4% 99.1%  
99 0.5% 98.7%  
100 0.8% 98%  
101 1.0% 97%  
102 1.4% 96%  
103 2% 95%  
104 2% 93%  
105 3% 91%  
106 3% 89%  
107 4% 85%  
108 4% 82% Last Result
109 5% 78%  
110 5% 73%  
111 6% 68%  
112 5% 62% Median
113 6% 57%  
114 6% 51%  
115 5% 45%  
116 5% 40%  
117 5% 35%  
118 4% 30%  
119 4% 25%  
120 3% 21%  
121 3% 18%  
122 3% 15%  
123 2% 13%  
124 2% 10%  
125 2% 9%  
126 1.3% 7%  
127 1.1% 6%  
128 0.8% 5%  
129 0.8% 4%  
130 0.7% 3%  
131 0.5% 2%  
132 0.4% 2%  
133 0.4% 1.3%  
134 0.2% 0.9%  
135 0.2% 0.7%  
136 0.2% 0.5%  
137 0.1% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.2% 99.7%  
96 0.3% 99.5%  
97 0.4% 99.2%  
98 0.5% 98.8%  
99 0.8% 98%  
100 1.0% 97%  
101 1.3% 96%  
102 2% 95%  
103 2% 93%  
104 2% 91%  
105 3% 89%  
106 4% 86%  
107 4% 82%  
108 5% 78%  
109 5% 73%  
110 6% 68%  
111 6% 62%  
112 6% 56% Median
113 6% 50%  
114 6% 45%  
115 5% 39%  
116 5% 33%  
117 5% 28%  
118 4% 24%  
119 4% 19%  
120 3% 16% Last Result
121 3% 13%  
122 2% 10%  
123 2% 8%  
124 1.3% 7%  
125 0.9% 5%  
126 0.8% 4%  
127 0.6% 4%  
128 0.5% 3%  
129 0.4% 2%  
130 0.3% 2%  
131 0.3% 2%  
132 0.2% 1.4%  
133 0.2% 1.2%  
134 0.2% 0.9%  
135 0.2% 0.8%  
136 0.1% 0.6%  
137 0.2% 0.5%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0% 0.2%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9% Last Result
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.2% 99.6%  
95 0.3% 99.4%  
96 0.4% 99.2%  
97 0.5% 98.8%  
98 0.7% 98%  
99 1.0% 98%  
100 1.2% 97%  
101 1.5% 95%  
102 2% 94%  
103 2% 92%  
104 3% 90%  
105 3% 87%  
106 4% 84%  
107 4% 80%  
108 5% 76%  
109 5% 71%  
110 6% 66%  
111 6% 60%  
112 6% 54% Median
113 6% 48%  
114 6% 42%  
115 5% 36%  
116 5% 31%  
117 5% 26%  
118 4% 21%  
119 4% 17%  
120 3% 13%  
121 2% 10%  
122 2% 8%  
123 1.5% 6%  
124 1.2% 4%  
125 0.9% 3%  
126 0.7% 2%  
127 0.5% 2%  
128 0.3% 1.1%  
129 0.2% 0.7%  
130 0.2% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.3%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.4% 99.5%  
81 0.5% 99.1%  
82 0.7% 98.6%  
83 1.1% 98%  
84 2% 97%  
85 2% 95%  
86 2% 94%  
87 3% 91%  
88 3% 88%  
89 5% 85%  
90 5% 80%  
91 5% 75%  
92 6% 70%  
93 5% 64% Median
94 6% 59%  
95 6% 53%  
96 5% 47%  
97 5% 42%  
98 5% 37%  
99 4% 31%  
100 4% 28%  
101 3% 23%  
102 2% 20%  
103 3% 17%  
104 2% 15%  
105 2% 13%  
106 2% 11%  
107 1.2% 10%  
108 1.1% 8%  
109 1.2% 7%  
110 0.9% 6%  
111 0.8% 5%  
112 0.7% 4%  
113 0.7% 4%  
114 0.5% 3%  
115 0.5% 2%  
116 0.4% 2%  
117 0.3% 2% Last Result
118 0.3% 1.3%  
119 0.2% 1.0%  
120 0.2% 0.8%  
121 0.1% 0.6%  
122 0.1% 0.5%  
123 0.1% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.8%  
78 0.2% 99.7%  
79 0.3% 99.4%  
80 0.4% 99.2%  
81 0.7% 98.7%  
82 0.8% 98%  
83 1.2% 97%  
84 2% 96%  
85 2% 94%  
86 3% 92%  
87 3% 90% Last Result
88 4% 87%  
89 5% 83%  
90 5% 78%  
91 5% 73%  
92 6% 68%  
93 5% 62% Median
94 6% 57%  
95 6% 51%  
96 5% 44%  
97 5% 39%  
98 5% 34%  
99 4% 29%  
100 4% 25%  
101 3% 21%  
102 2% 17%  
103 3% 15%  
104 2% 12%  
105 2% 11%  
106 2% 9%  
107 1.2% 7%  
108 1.0% 6%  
109 1.1% 5%  
110 0.8% 4%  
111 0.7% 3%  
112 0.5% 3%  
113 0.5% 2%  
114 0.4% 2%  
115 0.3% 1.2%  
116 0.3% 0.8%  
117 0.2% 0.6%  
118 0.1% 0.4%  
119 0.1% 0.3%  
120 0.1% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.3% 99.6%  
79 0.4% 99.3%  
80 0.6% 98.9%  
81 0.9% 98%  
82 1.1% 97%  
83 2% 96%  
84 2% 95%  
85 2% 93%  
86 3% 90%  
87 4% 87%  
88 4% 84%  
89 6% 80%  
90 5% 74%  
91 6% 69%  
92 6% 63%  
93 6% 57% Median
94 7% 51%  
95 7% 44%  
96 5% 38%  
97 5% 33%  
98 5% 27%  
99 4% 22% Last Result
100 4% 19%  
101 3% 15%  
102 2% 12%  
103 2% 9%  
104 1.4% 7%  
105 1.0% 6%  
106 1.0% 5%  
107 0.6% 4%  
108 0.5% 3%  
109 0.4% 3%  
110 0.3% 3%  
111 0.3% 2%  
112 0.3% 2%  
113 0.2% 2%  
114 0.2% 1.4%  
115 0.2% 1.2%  
116 0.2% 1.1%  
117 0.2% 0.8%  
118 0.1% 0.7%  
119 0.1% 0.5%  
120 0.1% 0.4%  
121 0.1% 0.3%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 0.2% 99.6%  
78 0.4% 99.4%  
79 0.5% 99.0%  
80 0.7% 98.5%  
81 1.0% 98%  
82 1.2% 97%  
83 2% 96%  
84 2% 94%  
85 3% 92%  
86 3% 89%  
87 4% 86%  
88 4% 82%  
89 6% 78%  
90 5% 72%  
91 6% 67%  
92 6% 61%  
93 6% 54% Median
94 7% 49%  
95 7% 42%  
96 5% 35%  
97 5% 30%  
98 5% 25%  
99 4% 20%  
100 4% 16%  
101 3% 12%  
102 2% 9%  
103 2% 7%  
104 1.4% 5%  
105 0.9% 4%  
106 0.9% 3%  
107 0.5% 2%  
108 0.4% 1.2%  
109 0.3% 0.8%  
110 0.2% 0.5%  
111 0.1% 0.3%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 0% 13%  
4 0% 13%  
5 0% 13%  
6 0% 13%  
7 0% 13%  
8 0% 13%  
9 0% 13%  
10 0% 13%  
11 0% 13%  
12 0% 13%  
13 0% 13%  
14 0% 13%  
15 0% 13%  
16 0% 13%  
17 0.5% 13%  
18 4% 12%  
19 3% 8%  
20 2% 5%  
21 0.8% 4%  
22 0.4% 3%  
23 0.2% 3%  
24 0.1% 3%  
25 0% 3%  
26 0% 3%  
27 0.1% 3%  
28 0.9% 2%  
29 0.7% 2%  
30 0.4% 0.9%  
31 0.2% 0.5%  
32 0.1% 0.3%  
33 0% 0.3%  
34 0% 0.2%  
35 0% 0.2%  
36 0% 0.2%  
37 0% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.2%  
42 0% 0.2%  
43 0% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations