Opinion Poll by Sociopol, 28 August–14 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 51.0% 49.0–53.1% 48.4–53.6% 48.0–54.1% 47.0–55.1%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 27.0% 25.2–28.8% 24.7–29.3% 24.3–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 181 170–189 165–193 162–197 157–202
Partidul Național Liberal 69 95 88–102 86–104 83–106 80–111
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 0 0–26 0–27 0–28 0–30
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 21 17–24 0–25 0–26 0–28
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 14 11–17 11–18 10–18 9–20
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.2% 99.7%  
158 0.3% 99.5%  
159 0.4% 99.2%  
160 0.4% 98.8%  
161 0.6% 98%  
162 0.9% 98%  
163 1.0% 97%  
164 0.8% 96%  
165 1.2% 95% Majority
166 1.1% 94%  
167 0.8% 93%  
168 1.0% 92%  
169 0.9% 91%  
170 1.2% 90%  
171 1.3% 89%  
172 2% 88%  
173 2% 86%  
174 3% 84%  
175 4% 81%  
176 3% 78%  
177 5% 74%  
178 6% 69%  
179 6% 64%  
180 6% 58%  
181 7% 52% Median
182 7% 46%  
183 7% 39%  
184 5% 32%  
185 4% 27%  
186 5% 23%  
187 4% 18%  
188 2% 14%  
189 3% 12%  
190 1.5% 9%  
191 2% 8%  
192 1.1% 6%  
193 0.9% 5%  
194 0.6% 4%  
195 0.7% 4%  
196 0.6% 3%  
197 0.5% 3%  
198 0.3% 2%  
199 0.6% 2%  
200 0.2% 1.1%  
201 0.3% 0.9%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0.2% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.3% 99.6%  
81 0.3% 99.3%  
82 0.6% 99.0%  
83 0.9% 98%  
84 1.0% 97%  
85 1.2% 96%  
86 2% 95%  
87 2% 93%  
88 3% 91%  
89 4% 88%  
90 5% 84%  
91 4% 79%  
92 5% 74%  
93 7% 69%  
94 7% 62%  
95 7% 54% Median
96 6% 47%  
97 7% 41%  
98 7% 34%  
99 6% 27%  
100 5% 21%  
101 4% 17%  
102 3% 13%  
103 3% 10%  
104 2% 7%  
105 1.2% 5%  
106 0.9% 3%  
107 0.8% 2%  
108 0.6% 2%  
109 0.4% 1.2%  
110 0.3% 0.8%  
111 0.1% 0.5%  
112 0.1% 0.4%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Median
1 0% 11%  
2 0% 11%  
3 0% 11%  
4 0% 11%  
5 0% 11%  
6 0% 11%  
7 0% 11%  
8 0% 11%  
9 0% 11%  
10 0% 11%  
11 0% 11%  
12 0% 11%  
13 0% 11%  
14 0% 11%  
15 0% 11%  
16 0% 11%  
17 0% 11%  
18 0% 11%  
19 0% 11%  
20 0% 11%  
21 0% 11%  
22 0% 11%  
23 0% 11%  
24 0% 11%  
25 0% 11%  
26 3% 11%  
27 4% 9%  
28 2% 5%  
29 1.4% 2%  
30 0.6% 1.1% Last Result
31 0.3% 0.5%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 0% 92%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 0% 92%  
15 0% 92%  
16 0.4% 92%  
17 3% 92%  
18 9% 89%  
19 12% 81%  
20 15% 69% Last Result
21 14% 53% Median
22 13% 39%  
23 10% 26%  
24 7% 16%  
25 5% 10%  
26 3% 5%  
27 1.3% 2%  
28 0.6% 1.0%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100%  
9 2% 99.6%  
10 3% 98%  
11 7% 95%  
12 18% 88%  
13 21% 71%  
14 13% 50% Median
15 12% 37%  
16 12% 26%  
17 8% 13%  
18 3% 5%  
19 1.1% 2%  
20 0.9% 1.4%  
21 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 201 100% 188–208 183–210 180–212 175–215
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 131 0% 123–142 119–147 115–150 110–155
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 131 0% 123–142 119–147 115–150 110–155
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 130 0% 119–137 115–139 112–141 105–144
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 130 0% 119–137 115–139 112–141 105–144
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 117 0% 109–129 104–135 100–137 95–142
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 119 117 0% 109–129 104–135 100–137 95–142
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 111 0% 104–124 102–129 100–132 97–137
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 111 0% 104–124 102–129 100–132 97–137
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 109 0% 101–117 99–119 97–121 92–126
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 109 0% 101–117 99–119 97–121 92–125
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 97 0% 90–111 88–116 87–119 84–124
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 97 0% 90–111 88–116 87–119 84–124
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 95 0% 88–102 86–104 83–107 80–111
Partidul Național Liberal 69 95 0% 88–102 86–104 83–106 80–111
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 0 0% 0–26 0–27 0–28 0–30

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0.1% 99.8%  
173 0.1% 99.7%  
174 0.1% 99.6% Last Result
175 0.2% 99.5%  
176 0.2% 99.3%  
177 0.3% 99.1%  
178 0.3% 98.8%  
179 0.6% 98%  
180 0.7% 98%  
181 0.6% 97%  
182 1.1% 97%  
183 0.9% 96%  
184 1.1% 95%  
185 0.8% 93%  
186 1.4% 93%  
187 0.8% 91%  
188 1.2% 91%  
189 0.9% 89%  
190 1.0% 88%  
191 1.1% 87%  
192 2% 86%  
193 2% 85%  
194 2% 83%  
195 3% 81%  
196 3% 78%  
197 4% 75%  
198 4% 71%  
199 6% 66%  
200 5% 61%  
201 7% 55%  
202 7% 49% Median
203 7% 41%  
204 6% 35%  
205 6% 29%  
206 5% 22%  
207 4% 17%  
208 4% 13%  
209 3% 10%  
210 2% 7%  
211 2% 4%  
212 1.1% 3%  
213 0.6% 2%  
214 0.5% 1.0%  
215 0.2% 0.5%  
216 0.1% 0.3%  
217 0.1% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.8%  
109 0.2% 99.8%  
110 0.1% 99.6%  
111 0.3% 99.5%  
112 0.2% 99.1%  
113 0.6% 98.9%  
114 0.3% 98%  
115 0.5% 98%  
116 0.6% 97%  
117 0.7% 97%  
118 0.6% 96%  
119 0.9% 96%  
120 1.1% 95%  
121 2% 94%  
122 1.5% 92%  
123 3% 91%  
124 2% 88%  
125 4% 86%  
126 5% 82%  
127 4% 77%  
128 5% 73%  
129 7% 68%  
130 7% 61% Median
131 7% 54%  
132 6% 48%  
133 6% 42%  
134 6% 36%  
135 5% 31%  
136 3% 26%  
137 4% 22%  
138 3% 19%  
139 2% 16%  
140 2% 14%  
141 1.3% 12%  
142 1.2% 11%  
143 0.9% 10%  
144 1.0% 9%  
145 0.8% 8%  
146 1.1% 7%  
147 1.2% 6%  
148 0.8% 5%  
149 1.0% 4%  
150 0.9% 3%  
151 0.6% 2%  
152 0.4% 2%  
153 0.4% 1.2%  
154 0.3% 0.8%  
155 0.2% 0.5%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.8%  
109 0.2% 99.8%  
110 0.1% 99.6%  
111 0.3% 99.4%  
112 0.2% 99.1%  
113 0.6% 98.9%  
114 0.3% 98%  
115 0.5% 98%  
116 0.6% 97%  
117 0.7% 97%  
118 0.6% 96%  
119 0.9% 96%  
120 1.1% 95%  
121 2% 94%  
122 1.5% 92%  
123 3% 91%  
124 2% 88%  
125 4% 86%  
126 5% 82%  
127 4% 77%  
128 5% 73%  
129 7% 68%  
130 7% 61% Median
131 7% 54%  
132 6% 48%  
133 6% 42%  
134 6% 36%  
135 5% 31%  
136 3% 26%  
137 4% 22%  
138 3% 19%  
139 2% 16%  
140 2% 14% Last Result
141 1.3% 12%  
142 1.2% 11%  
143 0.9% 10%  
144 1.0% 9%  
145 0.8% 8%  
146 1.1% 7%  
147 1.2% 6%  
148 0.8% 5%  
149 1.0% 4%  
150 0.9% 3%  
151 0.6% 2%  
152 0.4% 2%  
153 0.4% 1.1%  
154 0.3% 0.8%  
155 0.2% 0.5%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.1% 99.7%  
105 0.1% 99.6%  
106 0.1% 99.5%  
107 0.2% 99.4%  
108 0.1% 99.1%  
109 0.4% 99.0%  
110 0.3% 98.6%  
111 0.5% 98%  
112 0.6% 98%  
113 0.9% 97%  
114 0.7% 96%  
115 1.2% 96%  
116 1.0% 94%  
117 1.5% 93%  
118 2% 92%  
119 1.4% 90%  
120 2% 89%  
121 2% 87%  
122 2% 84%  
123 4% 82%  
124 3% 79%  
125 4% 76%  
126 5% 72%  
127 5% 67%  
128 5% 62% Last Result
129 7% 57%  
130 7% 50% Median
131 7% 43%  
132 6% 37%  
133 5% 31%  
134 6% 25%  
135 5% 20%  
136 3% 15%  
137 3% 12%  
138 3% 8%  
139 2% 6%  
140 1.3% 4%  
141 0.9% 3%  
142 0.8% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.1%  
144 0.3% 0.7%  
145 0.2% 0.4%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0.1% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.1% 99.7%  
105 0.1% 99.6%  
106 0.1% 99.5%  
107 0.2% 99.4%  
108 0.1% 99.1%  
109 0.4% 99.0%  
110 0.3% 98.6% Last Result
111 0.5% 98%  
112 0.6% 98%  
113 0.9% 97%  
114 0.7% 96%  
115 1.2% 96%  
116 1.0% 94%  
117 1.5% 93%  
118 2% 92%  
119 1.4% 90%  
120 2% 89%  
121 2% 87%  
122 2% 84%  
123 4% 82%  
124 3% 79%  
125 4% 76%  
126 5% 72%  
127 5% 67%  
128 5% 62%  
129 7% 57%  
130 7% 50% Median
131 7% 43%  
132 6% 37%  
133 5% 31%  
134 6% 25%  
135 5% 20%  
136 3% 15%  
137 3% 12%  
138 3% 8%  
139 2% 6%  
140 1.3% 4%  
141 0.9% 3%  
142 0.8% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.1%  
144 0.3% 0.6%  
145 0.2% 0.4%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0.1% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.2% 99.7%  
96 0.2% 99.5%  
97 0.3% 99.2%  
98 0.5% 99.0%  
99 0.6% 98%  
100 0.4% 98%  
101 0.6% 97%  
102 0.4% 97%  
103 0.7% 97%  
104 0.9% 96%  
105 0.6% 95%  
106 0.8% 94%  
107 1.4% 93%  
108 1.1% 92%  
109 2% 91%  
110 3% 89%  
111 3% 86%  
112 5% 83%  
113 5% 78%  
114 5% 73%  
115 6% 68%  
116 7% 62% Median
117 6% 55%  
118 7% 49%  
119 7% 42%  
120 4% 35%  
121 5% 31%  
122 5% 26%  
123 3% 22%  
124 3% 19%  
125 2% 16%  
126 1.3% 14%  
127 1.3% 13%  
128 1.1% 11%  
129 0.9% 10%  
130 0.8% 9%  
131 0.8% 9%  
132 0.9% 8%  
133 0.7% 7%  
134 1.0% 6%  
135 1.1% 5%  
136 0.9% 4%  
137 0.9% 3% Last Result
138 0.7% 2%  
139 0.6% 2%  
140 0.4% 1.2%  
141 0.3% 0.8%  
142 0.2% 0.6%  
143 0.1% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.2% 99.7%  
96 0.2% 99.5%  
97 0.3% 99.2%  
98 0.5% 99.0%  
99 0.6% 98%  
100 0.5% 98%  
101 0.6% 97%  
102 0.4% 97%  
103 0.7% 97%  
104 0.9% 96%  
105 0.6% 95%  
106 0.8% 94%  
107 1.4% 93%  
108 1.1% 92%  
109 2% 91%  
110 3% 89%  
111 3% 86%  
112 5% 83%  
113 5% 78%  
114 5% 73%  
115 6% 68%  
116 7% 62% Median
117 6% 55%  
118 7% 49%  
119 7% 42% Last Result
120 4% 35%  
121 5% 31%  
122 5% 26%  
123 3% 22%  
124 3% 19%  
125 2% 16%  
126 1.3% 14%  
127 1.3% 13%  
128 1.1% 11%  
129 0.9% 10%  
130 0.8% 9%  
131 0.8% 9%  
132 0.9% 8%  
133 0.7% 7%  
134 1.0% 6%  
135 1.1% 5%  
136 0.9% 4%  
137 0.9% 3%  
138 0.7% 2%  
139 0.6% 2%  
140 0.4% 1.2%  
141 0.3% 0.8%  
142 0.2% 0.6%  
143 0.1% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.2% 99.7%  
98 0.5% 99.5%  
99 0.6% 99.0%  
100 1.1% 98%  
101 2% 97%  
102 2% 96%  
103 3% 93%  
104 4% 90%  
105 4% 87%  
106 5% 83%  
107 6% 78%  
108 6% 71%  
109 7% 65% Median
110 7% 59%  
111 7% 51%  
112 5% 45%  
113 6% 39%  
114 4% 34%  
115 4% 29%  
116 3% 25%  
117 3% 22%  
118 2% 19%  
119 2% 17%  
120 2% 15%  
121 1.1% 14%  
122 1.0% 13%  
123 0.9% 12%  
124 1.2% 11%  
125 0.8% 9%  
126 1.4% 9%  
127 0.8% 7%  
128 1.1% 7%  
129 0.9% 5%  
130 1.1% 4%  
131 0.6% 3%  
132 0.7% 3%  
133 0.6% 2%  
134 0.3% 2%  
135 0.3% 1.2%  
136 0.2% 0.9%  
137 0.2% 0.7%  
138 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
139 0.1% 0.4%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.2% 99.7%  
98 0.5% 99.4%  
99 0.6% 98.9%  
100 1.1% 98%  
101 2% 97%  
102 2% 96%  
103 3% 93%  
104 4% 90%  
105 4% 87%  
106 5% 83%  
107 6% 78%  
108 6% 71%  
109 7% 65% Median
110 7% 59%  
111 7% 51%  
112 5% 45%  
113 6% 39%  
114 4% 33%  
115 4% 29%  
116 3% 25%  
117 3% 22%  
118 2% 19%  
119 2% 17%  
120 1.5% 15% Last Result
121 1.1% 14%  
122 1.0% 13%  
123 0.9% 12%  
124 1.2% 11%  
125 0.8% 9%  
126 1.4% 9%  
127 0.8% 7%  
128 1.1% 7%  
129 0.9% 5%  
130 1.1% 4%  
131 0.6% 3%  
132 0.7% 3%  
133 0.6% 2%  
134 0.3% 2%  
135 0.3% 1.2%  
136 0.2% 0.9%  
137 0.2% 0.7%  
138 0.1% 0.5%  
139 0.1% 0.4%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.2% 99.6%  
93 0.3% 99.4%  
94 0.4% 99.2%  
95 0.5% 98.8%  
96 0.7% 98%  
97 1.0% 98%  
98 1.3% 97%  
99 1.5% 95%  
100 2% 94%  
101 2% 92%  
102 3% 89%  
103 4% 86%  
104 4% 82%  
105 4% 78%  
106 6% 73%  
107 6% 67%  
108 6% 61% Last Result
109 7% 55% Median
110 8% 48%  
111 7% 40%  
112 5% 33%  
113 6% 28%  
114 4% 22%  
115 4% 18%  
116 3% 14%  
117 3% 11%  
118 2% 8%  
119 1.5% 6%  
120 1.3% 4%  
121 0.8% 3%  
122 0.6% 2%  
123 0.5% 2%  
124 0.3% 1.1%  
125 0.3% 0.8%  
126 0.2% 0.5%  
127 0.1% 0.4%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.2% 99.6%  
93 0.3% 99.4%  
94 0.4% 99.2%  
95 0.5% 98.8%  
96 0.7% 98%  
97 1.0% 98%  
98 1.3% 97%  
99 2% 95%  
100 2% 94%  
101 2% 92%  
102 3% 89%  
103 4% 86%  
104 4% 82%  
105 4% 78%  
106 6% 73%  
107 6% 67%  
108 6% 61%  
109 7% 55% Median
110 8% 48%  
111 7% 40%  
112 5% 33%  
113 6% 28%  
114 4% 22%  
115 4% 18%  
116 3% 14%  
117 3% 11%  
118 2% 8%  
119 1.5% 6%  
120 1.3% 4%  
121 0.8% 3%  
122 0.6% 2%  
123 0.5% 2%  
124 0.3% 1.1%  
125 0.2% 0.7%  
126 0.1% 0.5%  
127 0.1% 0.3%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 0.4% 99.6%  
85 0.7% 99.2%  
86 0.9% 98.5%  
87 1.3% 98%  
88 2% 96%  
89 3% 94%  
90 4% 91%  
91 3% 87%  
92 4% 84%  
93 7% 79%  
94 7% 72%  
95 7% 65% Median
96 5% 58%  
97 7% 53%  
98 7% 46%  
99 6% 38%  
100 5% 33%  
101 4% 28%  
102 3% 24%  
103 3% 21%  
104 2% 18%  
105 1.3% 16%  
106 1.1% 15%  
107 0.9% 14%  
108 0.8% 13%  
109 0.9% 12%  
110 0.8% 11%  
111 0.7% 10%  
112 1.0% 9%  
113 0.9% 9%  
114 1.2% 8%  
115 0.9% 6%  
116 0.9% 6%  
117 1.0% 5% Last Result
118 0.8% 4%  
119 0.7% 3%  
120 0.5% 2%  
121 0.4% 2%  
122 0.4% 1.2%  
123 0.2% 0.8%  
124 0.2% 0.6%  
125 0.1% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.3%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0.1% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 0.4% 99.6%  
85 0.7% 99.2%  
86 0.9% 98%  
87 1.3% 98%  
88 2% 96%  
89 3% 94%  
90 4% 91%  
91 3% 87%  
92 4% 83%  
93 7% 79%  
94 7% 72%  
95 7% 65% Median
96 5% 58%  
97 7% 53%  
98 7% 46%  
99 6% 38% Last Result
100 5% 33%  
101 4% 28%  
102 3% 24%  
103 3% 21%  
104 2% 18%  
105 1.3% 16%  
106 1.1% 15%  
107 0.9% 14%  
108 0.8% 13%  
109 0.8% 12%  
110 0.8% 11%  
111 0.7% 10%  
112 1.0% 9%  
113 0.9% 8%  
114 1.2% 8%  
115 0.9% 6%  
116 0.9% 6%  
117 1.0% 5%  
118 0.8% 4%  
119 0.7% 3%  
120 0.5% 2%  
121 0.4% 2%  
122 0.4% 1.2%  
123 0.2% 0.8%  
124 0.2% 0.6%  
125 0.1% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.3%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0.1% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.3% 99.6%  
81 0.3% 99.3%  
82 0.6% 99.0%  
83 0.9% 98%  
84 1.0% 97%  
85 1.2% 96%  
86 2% 95%  
87 2% 93% Last Result
88 3% 91%  
89 4% 88%  
90 5% 84%  
91 4% 79%  
92 5% 74%  
93 7% 69%  
94 7% 62%  
95 7% 54% Median
96 6% 47%  
97 7% 42%  
98 7% 35%  
99 6% 27%  
100 5% 22%  
101 4% 17%  
102 3% 13%  
103 3% 10%  
104 2% 7%  
105 1.2% 5%  
106 1.0% 3%  
107 0.8% 3%  
108 0.6% 2%  
109 0.4% 1.2%  
110 0.3% 0.8%  
111 0.1% 0.6%  
112 0.2% 0.4%  
113 0.1% 0.3%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.3% 99.6%  
81 0.3% 99.3%  
82 0.6% 99.0%  
83 0.9% 98%  
84 1.0% 97%  
85 1.2% 96%  
86 2% 95%  
87 2% 93%  
88 3% 91%  
89 4% 88%  
90 5% 84%  
91 4% 79%  
92 5% 74%  
93 7% 69%  
94 7% 62%  
95 7% 54% Median
96 6% 47%  
97 7% 41%  
98 7% 34%  
99 6% 27%  
100 5% 21%  
101 4% 17%  
102 3% 13%  
103 3% 10%  
104 2% 7%  
105 1.2% 5%  
106 0.9% 3%  
107 0.8% 2%  
108 0.6% 2%  
109 0.4% 1.2%  
110 0.3% 0.8%  
111 0.1% 0.5%  
112 0.1% 0.4%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Median
1 0% 11%  
2 0% 11%  
3 0% 11%  
4 0% 11%  
5 0% 11%  
6 0% 11%  
7 0% 11%  
8 0% 11%  
9 0% 11%  
10 0% 11%  
11 0% 11%  
12 0% 11%  
13 0% 11%  
14 0% 11%  
15 0% 11%  
16 0% 11%  
17 0% 11%  
18 0% 11%  
19 0% 11%  
20 0% 11%  
21 0% 11%  
22 0% 11%  
23 0% 11%  
24 0% 11%  
25 0% 11%  
26 3% 11%  
27 4% 9%  
28 2% 5%  
29 1.4% 2%  
30 0.6% 1.1%  
31 0.3% 0.5%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations