Opinion Poll by IMAS, 1–30 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 45.5% 38.8% 36.9–40.8% 36.3–41.4% 35.8–41.9% 34.9–42.8%
Partidul Național Liberal 20.0% 30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.5–33.4% 28.1–33.8% 27.3–34.8%
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 5.6% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 8.9% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 6.2% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.1%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 5.4% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 154 146 137–153 134–155 131–157 126–160
Partidul Național Liberal 69 116 108–123 105–125 103–127 98–130
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 20 30 26–35 25–36 24–37 22–39
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 30 0 0 0–28 0–30 0–32
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 19 15–21 14–23 14–25 12–26
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 18 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.8%  
125 0.2% 99.7%  
126 0.3% 99.5%  
127 0.3% 99.3%  
128 0.4% 99.0%  
129 0.4% 98.6%  
130 0.5% 98%  
131 0.6% 98%  
132 0.7% 97%  
133 0.8% 96%  
134 1.1% 96%  
135 1.3% 94%  
136 2% 93%  
137 2% 91%  
138 2% 89%  
139 3% 87%  
140 4% 84%  
141 5% 80%  
142 5% 76%  
143 6% 71%  
144 6% 65%  
145 6% 58%  
146 6% 52% Median
147 7% 46%  
148 6% 38%  
149 6% 32%  
150 6% 26%  
151 4% 20%  
152 4% 16%  
153 3% 12%  
154 2% 9% Last Result
155 2% 6%  
156 1.4% 4%  
157 1.0% 3%  
158 0.6% 2%  
159 0.5% 1.2%  
160 0.3% 0.7%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.3%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0% Majority

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.2% 99.8%  
98 0.2% 99.6%  
99 0.3% 99.5%  
100 0.4% 99.1%  
101 0.5% 98.8%  
102 0.6% 98%  
103 0.8% 98%  
104 1.0% 97%  
105 1.0% 96%  
106 2% 95%  
107 2% 93%  
108 2% 91%  
109 3% 89%  
110 4% 86%  
111 5% 82%  
112 5% 77%  
113 6% 72%  
114 7% 66%  
115 7% 59%  
116 7% 52% Median
117 7% 45%  
118 6% 38%  
119 6% 32%  
120 6% 26%  
121 5% 20%  
122 4% 15%  
123 3% 12%  
124 2% 8%  
125 2% 6%  
126 1.2% 4%  
127 1.2% 3%  
128 0.6% 2%  
129 0.4% 1.2%  
130 0.3% 0.8%  
131 0.2% 0.4%  
132 0.1% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  

Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100% Last Result
21 0.2% 99.9%  
22 0.4% 99.7%  
23 1.0% 99.3%  
24 2% 98%  
25 4% 96%  
26 5% 92%  
27 8% 87%  
28 11% 79%  
29 12% 69%  
30 11% 56% Median
31 10% 45%  
32 10% 35%  
33 9% 25%  
34 6% 16%  
35 4% 10%  
36 3% 6%  
37 1.5% 3%  
38 0.8% 2%  
39 0.5% 0.9%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0% 7%  
7 0% 7%  
8 0% 7%  
9 0% 7%  
10 0% 7%  
11 0% 7%  
12 0% 7%  
13 0% 7%  
14 0% 7%  
15 0% 7%  
16 0% 7%  
17 0% 7%  
18 0% 7%  
19 0% 7%  
20 0% 7%  
21 0% 7%  
22 0% 7%  
23 0% 7%  
24 0% 7%  
25 0% 7%  
26 0% 7%  
27 0.5% 7%  
28 2% 7%  
29 2% 4%  
30 2% 3% Last Result
31 0.3% 0.8%  
32 0.3% 0.5%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.5%  
14 5% 98%  
15 7% 93%  
16 5% 86%  
17 5% 80%  
18 12% 75%  
19 22% 63% Median
20 22% 41%  
21 11% 19% Last Result
22 3% 8%  
23 1.2% 6%  
24 2% 5%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.8% 1.1%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților 174 176 93% 167–183 162–185 158–187 153–191
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 158 166 62% 159–175 157–178 155–181 152–186
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 140 166 62% 159–175 157–178 155–181 152–186
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 128 165 55% 156–172 152–174 148–176 142–180
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 110 165 55% 156–172 152–174 148–176 142–179
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 137 147 2% 140–156 138–160 137–164 133–170
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 119 147 2% 140–156 138–160 137–164 133–170
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 138 136 0% 129–145 127–150 125–154 121–159
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 120 136 0% 129–145 127–150 125–154 121–159
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 108 135 0% 126–142 123–144 120–146 115–149
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 90 135 0% 126–142 123–144 120–146 115–149
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 117 117 0% 110–126 108–132 106–136 103–142
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 99 117 0% 110–126 108–132 106–136 103–142
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 87 116 0% 108–123 105–125 103–127 98–130
Partidul Național Liberal 69 116 0% 108–123 105–125 103–127 98–130
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 48 0 0% 0 0–28 0–30 0–32

Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.1% 99.7%  
153 0.2% 99.6%  
154 0.3% 99.4%  
155 0.3% 99.1%  
156 0.3% 98.8%  
157 0.5% 98.5%  
158 0.7% 98%  
159 0.5% 97%  
160 0.5% 97%  
161 0.7% 96%  
162 0.7% 96%  
163 0.9% 95%  
164 0.8% 94%  
165 1.0% 93% Majority
166 1.4% 92%  
167 2% 91%  
168 2% 89%  
169 2% 87%  
170 3% 85%  
171 5% 82%  
172 5% 77%  
173 4% 72%  
174 5% 67% Last Result
175 8% 62%  
176 7% 54% Median
177 6% 48%  
178 6% 42%  
179 7% 35%  
180 6% 28%  
181 4% 22%  
182 4% 18%  
183 4% 14%  
184 3% 10%  
185 2% 7%  
186 1.3% 5%  
187 1.4% 3%  
188 0.9% 2%  
189 0.4% 1.2%  
190 0.3% 0.8%  
191 0.2% 0.5%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.1% 99.7%  
152 0.3% 99.6%  
153 0.5% 99.3%  
154 0.6% 98.8%  
155 1.0% 98%  
156 1.4% 97%  
157 2% 96%  
158 2% 94% Last Result
159 3% 91%  
160 4% 88%  
161 4% 84%  
162 6% 80%  
163 6% 74%  
164 6% 68%  
165 7% 62% Median, Majority
166 6% 54%  
167 6% 48%  
168 6% 42%  
169 6% 35%  
170 5% 29%  
171 5% 24%  
172 4% 20%  
173 3% 16%  
174 2% 13%  
175 2% 11%  
176 2% 9%  
177 1.3% 7%  
178 1.1% 6%  
179 0.8% 4%  
180 0.7% 4%  
181 0.6% 3%  
182 0.5% 2%  
183 0.4% 2%  
184 0.4% 1.4%  
185 0.3% 1.0%  
186 0.3% 0.7%  
187 0.2% 0.5%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100% Last Result
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.2% 99.7%  
152 0.3% 99.6%  
153 0.5% 99.3%  
154 0.6% 98.8%  
155 1.0% 98%  
156 1.4% 97%  
157 2% 96%  
158 2% 94%  
159 3% 91%  
160 4% 88%  
161 4% 84%  
162 6% 80%  
163 6% 74%  
164 6% 68%  
165 7% 62% Median, Majority
166 6% 54%  
167 6% 48%  
168 6% 41%  
169 6% 35%  
170 5% 29%  
171 5% 24%  
172 4% 20%  
173 3% 16%  
174 2% 13%  
175 2% 11%  
176 2% 9%  
177 1.3% 7%  
178 1.1% 6%  
179 0.8% 4%  
180 0.7% 4%  
181 0.6% 3%  
182 0.5% 2%  
183 0.4% 2%  
184 0.4% 1.4%  
185 0.3% 1.0%  
186 0.3% 0.7%  
187 0.2% 0.5%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100% Last Result
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.2% 99.6%  
143 0.2% 99.5%  
144 0.4% 99.3%  
145 0.4% 98.9%  
146 0.4% 98.6%  
147 0.5% 98%  
148 0.6% 98%  
149 0.6% 97%  
150 0.7% 96%  
151 0.7% 96%  
152 0.8% 95%  
153 0.9% 94%  
154 1.0% 93%  
155 1.3% 92%  
156 2% 91%  
157 2% 89%  
158 2% 87%  
159 3% 85%  
160 4% 81%  
161 4% 77%  
162 6% 73%  
163 6% 67%  
164 6% 61%  
165 7% 55% Median, Majority
166 6% 47%  
167 6% 41%  
168 6% 35%  
169 6% 28%  
170 5% 23%  
171 4% 18%  
172 3% 13%  
173 3% 10%  
174 2% 7%  
175 2% 5%  
176 1.1% 3%  
177 0.8% 2%  
178 0.5% 1.4%  
179 0.3% 0.9%  
180 0.2% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.2% 99.6%  
143 0.2% 99.5%  
144 0.4% 99.3%  
145 0.4% 98.9%  
146 0.4% 98.5%  
147 0.5% 98%  
148 0.6% 98%  
149 0.6% 97%  
150 0.7% 96%  
151 0.7% 96%  
152 0.8% 95%  
153 0.9% 94%  
154 1.0% 93%  
155 1.3% 92%  
156 2% 91%  
157 2% 89%  
158 2% 87%  
159 3% 85%  
160 4% 81%  
161 4% 77%  
162 6% 73%  
163 6% 67%  
164 6% 61%  
165 7% 55% Median, Majority
166 6% 47%  
167 6% 41%  
168 6% 34%  
169 6% 28%  
170 5% 23%  
171 4% 18%  
172 3% 13%  
173 3% 10%  
174 2% 7%  
175 2% 5%  
176 1.1% 3%  
177 0.8% 2%  
178 0.5% 1.4%  
179 0.3% 0.8%  
180 0.2% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
129 0% 100%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0.2% 99.8%  
133 0.2% 99.6%  
134 0.4% 99.4%  
135 0.6% 99.1%  
136 0.9% 98%  
137 1.2% 98% Last Result
138 2% 96%  
139 3% 95%  
140 3% 92%  
141 4% 89%  
142 5% 85%  
143 6% 80%  
144 6% 74%  
145 7% 68%  
146 7% 61% Median
147 7% 54%  
148 6% 47%  
149 6% 41%  
150 5% 35%  
151 5% 30%  
152 4% 25%  
153 3% 21%  
154 3% 17%  
155 2% 14%  
156 2% 12%  
157 2% 10%  
158 1.3% 8%  
159 1.2% 7%  
160 1.0% 6%  
161 0.8% 5%  
162 0.7% 4%  
163 0.7% 3%  
164 0.5% 3%  
165 0.5% 2% Majority
166 0.4% 2%  
167 0.3% 1.3%  
168 0.2% 1.0%  
169 0.2% 0.7%  
170 0.2% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.4%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100% Last Result
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0.2% 99.8%  
133 0.2% 99.6%  
134 0.4% 99.4%  
135 0.6% 99.0%  
136 0.9% 98%  
137 1.2% 98%  
138 2% 96%  
139 3% 95%  
140 3% 92%  
141 4% 89%  
142 5% 85%  
143 6% 80%  
144 6% 74%  
145 7% 68%  
146 7% 61% Median
147 7% 54%  
148 6% 47%  
149 6% 41%  
150 5% 35%  
151 5% 30%  
152 4% 25%  
153 3% 21%  
154 3% 17%  
155 2% 14%  
156 2% 12%  
157 2% 10%  
158 1.3% 8%  
159 1.2% 7%  
160 1.0% 6%  
161 0.8% 5%  
162 0.7% 4%  
163 0.7% 3%  
164 0.5% 3%  
165 0.5% 2% Majority
166 0.4% 2%  
167 0.3% 1.3%  
168 0.2% 1.0%  
169 0.2% 0.7%  
170 0.2% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.4%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0% 100%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.2% 99.7%  
122 0.3% 99.5%  
123 0.4% 99.2%  
124 0.9% 98.8%  
125 1.4% 98%  
126 1.3% 97%  
127 2% 95%  
128 3% 93%  
129 4% 90%  
130 4% 86%  
131 4% 82%  
132 6% 78%  
133 7% 72%  
134 6% 65%  
135 6% 58% Median
136 7% 52%  
137 8% 46%  
138 5% 38% Last Result
139 4% 33%  
140 5% 28%  
141 5% 23%  
142 3% 18%  
143 2% 15%  
144 2% 13%  
145 2% 11%  
146 1.4% 9%  
147 1.0% 8%  
148 0.8% 7%  
149 0.9% 6%  
150 0.7% 5%  
151 0.7% 4%  
152 0.5% 4%  
153 0.5% 3%  
154 0.7% 3%  
155 0.5% 2%  
156 0.3% 1.5%  
157 0.3% 1.2%  
158 0.3% 0.9%  
159 0.2% 0.6%  
160 0.1% 0.4%  
161 0.1% 0.3%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0% Majority

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0% 100%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
121 0.2% 99.7%  
122 0.3% 99.5%  
123 0.4% 99.2%  
124 0.9% 98.8%  
125 1.4% 98%  
126 1.3% 97%  
127 2% 95%  
128 3% 93%  
129 4% 90%  
130 4% 86%  
131 4% 82%  
132 6% 78%  
133 7% 72%  
134 6% 64%  
135 6% 58% Median
136 7% 52%  
137 8% 46%  
138 5% 38%  
139 4% 32%  
140 5% 28%  
141 5% 23%  
142 3% 18%  
143 2% 15%  
144 2% 13%  
145 2% 11%  
146 1.4% 9%  
147 1.0% 8%  
148 0.8% 7%  
149 0.9% 6%  
150 0.7% 5%  
151 0.7% 4%  
152 0.5% 4%  
153 0.5% 3%  
154 0.7% 3%  
155 0.5% 2%  
156 0.3% 1.5%  
157 0.3% 1.2%  
158 0.3% 0.9%  
159 0.2% 0.6%  
160 0.1% 0.4%  
161 0.1% 0.3%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0% Majority

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100% Last Result
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.7%  
115 0.2% 99.6%  
116 0.3% 99.4%  
117 0.4% 99.2%  
118 0.4% 98.8%  
119 0.5% 98%  
120 0.7% 98%  
121 0.9% 97%  
122 0.8% 96%  
123 0.9% 96%  
124 1.5% 95%  
125 2% 93%  
126 2% 91%  
127 2% 90%  
128 3% 88%  
129 5% 84%  
130 4% 80%  
131 5% 76%  
132 6% 71%  
133 8% 65%  
134 6% 58%  
135 6% 51% Median
136 7% 45%  
137 8% 39%  
138 5% 31%  
139 4% 26%  
140 5% 21%  
141 5% 16%  
142 3% 11%  
143 2% 8%  
144 2% 6%  
145 2% 4%  
146 1.0% 3%  
147 0.6% 2%  
148 0.4% 1.2%  
149 0.4% 0.8%  
150 0.2% 0.4%  
151 0.1% 0.2%  
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100% Last Result
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.7%  
115 0.2% 99.6%  
116 0.3% 99.4%  
117 0.4% 99.2%  
118 0.4% 98.8%  
119 0.5% 98%  
120 0.7% 98%  
121 0.9% 97%  
122 0.8% 96%  
123 0.9% 96%  
124 1.5% 95%  
125 2% 93%  
126 2% 91%  
127 2% 90%  
128 3% 87%  
129 5% 84%  
130 4% 79%  
131 5% 76%  
132 6% 71%  
133 8% 65%  
134 6% 57%  
135 6% 51% Median
136 7% 45%  
137 8% 39%  
138 5% 31%  
139 4% 25%  
140 5% 21%  
141 5% 16%  
142 3% 11%  
143 2% 8%  
144 2% 6%  
145 2% 4%  
146 1.0% 3%  
147 0.6% 2%  
148 0.4% 1.1%  
149 0.3% 0.7%  
150 0.2% 0.4%  
151 0.1% 0.2%  
152 0.1% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.3% 99.7%  
104 0.4% 99.4%  
105 0.6% 99.0%  
106 1.0% 98%  
107 1.4% 97%  
108 2% 96%  
109 3% 94%  
110 4% 91%  
111 4% 88%  
112 5% 83%  
113 6% 78%  
114 7% 73%  
115 7% 66%  
116 7% 59% Median
117 7% 52% Last Result
118 6% 45%  
119 6% 39%  
120 6% 33%  
121 5% 27%  
122 4% 22%  
123 3% 19%  
124 2% 16%  
125 2% 13%  
126 1.3% 11%  
127 1.4% 10%  
128 0.8% 8%  
129 0.7% 8%  
130 0.7% 7%  
131 0.6% 6%  
132 0.7% 5%  
133 0.5% 5%  
134 0.7% 4%  
135 0.4% 4%  
136 0.8% 3%  
137 0.4% 2%  
138 0.4% 2%  
139 0.4% 2%  
140 0.2% 1.1%  
141 0.3% 0.8%  
142 0.1% 0.5%  
143 0.2% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100% Last Result
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.3% 99.7%  
104 0.4% 99.4%  
105 0.6% 99.0%  
106 1.0% 98%  
107 1.4% 97%  
108 2% 96%  
109 3% 94%  
110 4% 91%  
111 4% 88%  
112 5% 83%  
113 6% 78%  
114 7% 72%  
115 7% 66%  
116 7% 59% Median
117 7% 52%  
118 6% 45%  
119 6% 39%  
120 6% 33%  
121 5% 27%  
122 4% 22%  
123 3% 19%  
124 2% 15%  
125 2% 13%  
126 1.3% 11%  
127 1.4% 10%  
128 0.8% 8%  
129 0.7% 7%  
130 0.7% 7%  
131 0.6% 6%  
132 0.7% 5%  
133 0.5% 5%  
134 0.7% 4%  
135 0.4% 3%  
136 0.8% 3%  
137 0.4% 2%  
138 0.4% 2%  
139 0.4% 1.5%  
140 0.2% 1.0%  
141 0.3% 0.8%  
142 0.1% 0.5%  
143 0.2% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100% Last Result
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.2% 99.8%  
98 0.2% 99.6%  
99 0.3% 99.5%  
100 0.4% 99.2%  
101 0.4% 98.8%  
102 0.6% 98%  
103 0.8% 98%  
104 1.0% 97%  
105 1.0% 96%  
106 2% 95%  
107 2% 93%  
108 2% 91%  
109 3% 89%  
110 4% 86%  
111 5% 82%  
112 5% 77%  
113 6% 72%  
114 7% 66%  
115 7% 59%  
116 7% 52% Median
117 7% 45%  
118 6% 38%  
119 6% 32%  
120 6% 26%  
121 5% 20%  
122 4% 15%  
123 3% 12%  
124 2% 9%  
125 2% 6%  
126 1.2% 4%  
127 1.2% 3%  
128 0.6% 2%  
129 0.4% 1.2%  
130 0.3% 0.8%  
131 0.2% 0.5%  
132 0.1% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100% Last Result
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.2% 99.8%  
98 0.2% 99.6%  
99 0.3% 99.5%  
100 0.4% 99.1%  
101 0.5% 98.8%  
102 0.6% 98%  
103 0.8% 98%  
104 1.0% 97%  
105 1.0% 96%  
106 2% 95%  
107 2% 93%  
108 2% 91%  
109 3% 89%  
110 4% 86%  
111 5% 82%  
112 5% 77%  
113 6% 72%  
114 7% 66%  
115 7% 59%  
116 7% 52% Median
117 7% 45%  
118 6% 38%  
119 6% 32%  
120 6% 26%  
121 5% 20%  
122 4% 15%  
123 3% 12%  
124 2% 8%  
125 2% 6%  
126 1.2% 4%  
127 1.2% 3%  
128 0.6% 2%  
129 0.4% 1.2%  
130 0.3% 0.8%  
131 0.2% 0.4%  
132 0.1% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0% 7%  
7 0% 7%  
8 0% 7%  
9 0% 7%  
10 0% 7%  
11 0% 7%  
12 0% 7%  
13 0% 7%  
14 0% 7%  
15 0% 7%  
16 0% 7%  
17 0% 7%  
18 0.1% 7%  
19 0% 7%  
20 0% 7%  
21 0% 7%  
22 0% 7%  
23 0% 7%  
24 0% 7%  
25 0% 7%  
26 0% 7%  
27 0.5% 7%  
28 2% 7%  
29 2% 4%  
30 2% 3%  
31 0.3% 0.8%  
32 0.3% 0.5%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations