Opinion Poll by Sociopol, 22 September–5 October 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul Social Democrat |
45.5% |
61.1% |
58.9–63.1% |
58.3–63.7% |
57.8–64.2% |
56.7–65.2% |
Partidul Național Liberal |
20.0% |
24.1% |
22.3–26.0% |
21.8–26.5% |
21.3–27.0% |
20.5–28.0% |
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților |
5.6% |
4.0% |
3.3–5.0% |
3.1–5.3% |
2.9–5.5% |
2.6–6.1% |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
6.2% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.9% |
2.2–4.1% |
2.0–4.3% |
1.8–4.8% |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
5.4% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.9% |
2.2–4.1% |
2.0–4.3% |
1.8–4.8% |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
8.9% |
1.9% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.3–2.9% |
1.2–3.1% |
1.0–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
154 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
155 |
0% |
100% |
|
156 |
0% |
100% |
|
157 |
0% |
100% |
|
158 |
0% |
100% |
|
159 |
0% |
100% |
|
160 |
0% |
100% |
|
161 |
0% |
100% |
|
162 |
0% |
100% |
|
163 |
0% |
100% |
|
164 |
0% |
100% |
|
165 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
166 |
0% |
100% |
|
167 |
0% |
100% |
|
168 |
0% |
100% |
|
169 |
0% |
100% |
|
170 |
0% |
100% |
|
171 |
0% |
100% |
|
172 |
0% |
100% |
|
173 |
0% |
100% |
|
174 |
0% |
100% |
|
175 |
0% |
100% |
|
176 |
0% |
100% |
|
177 |
0% |
100% |
|
178 |
0% |
100% |
|
179 |
0% |
100% |
|
180 |
0% |
100% |
|
181 |
0% |
100% |
|
182 |
0% |
100% |
|
183 |
0% |
100% |
|
184 |
0% |
100% |
|
185 |
0% |
100% |
|
186 |
0% |
100% |
|
187 |
0% |
100% |
|
188 |
0% |
100% |
|
189 |
0% |
100% |
|
190 |
0% |
100% |
|
191 |
0% |
100% |
|
192 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
193 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
194 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
195 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
196 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
197 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
198 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
199 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
200 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
201 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
202 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
203 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
204 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
205 |
2% |
94% |
|
206 |
2% |
92% |
|
207 |
2% |
90% |
|
208 |
2% |
88% |
|
209 |
3% |
86% |
|
210 |
4% |
83% |
|
211 |
5% |
79% |
|
212 |
5% |
75% |
|
213 |
6% |
69% |
|
214 |
6% |
63% |
|
215 |
6% |
57% |
|
216 |
7% |
51% |
Median |
217 |
7% |
44% |
|
218 |
7% |
38% |
|
219 |
6% |
31% |
|
220 |
6% |
25% |
|
221 |
5% |
19% |
|
222 |
4% |
14% |
|
223 |
3% |
10% |
|
224 |
2% |
7% |
|
225 |
2% |
5% |
|
226 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
227 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
228 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
229 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
230 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
231 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
232 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
233 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
234 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
76 |
2% |
96% |
|
77 |
3% |
95% |
|
78 |
3% |
92% |
|
79 |
4% |
88% |
|
80 |
6% |
85% |
|
81 |
6% |
79% |
|
82 |
7% |
73% |
|
83 |
7% |
66% |
|
84 |
8% |
58% |
Median |
85 |
7% |
50% |
|
86 |
7% |
43% |
|
87 |
8% |
36% |
|
88 |
5% |
29% |
|
89 |
6% |
24% |
|
90 |
4% |
17% |
|
91 |
4% |
13% |
|
92 |
3% |
10% |
|
93 |
2% |
7% |
|
94 |
2% |
5% |
|
95 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
96 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
9% |
|
2 |
0% |
9% |
|
3 |
0% |
9% |
|
4 |
0% |
9% |
|
5 |
0% |
9% |
|
6 |
0% |
9% |
|
7 |
0% |
9% |
|
8 |
0% |
9% |
|
9 |
0% |
9% |
|
10 |
0% |
9% |
|
11 |
0% |
9% |
|
12 |
0% |
9% |
|
13 |
0% |
9% |
|
14 |
0% |
9% |
|
15 |
0% |
9% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
17 |
4% |
9% |
|
18 |
3% |
5% |
|
19 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
8 |
10% |
95% |
|
9 |
16% |
85% |
|
10 |
20% |
68% |
Median |
11 |
17% |
48% |
|
12 |
14% |
31% |
|
13 |
9% |
17% |
|
14 |
4% |
8% |
|
15 |
2% |
4% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților |
174 |
217 |
100% |
210–224 |
208–226 |
206–227 |
202–231 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
158 |
96 |
0% |
89–105 |
88–108 |
86–111 |
83–116 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
140 |
96 |
0% |
89–105 |
88–108 |
86–111 |
83–116 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
128 |
96 |
0% |
89–105 |
88–108 |
86–111 |
83–116 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
110 |
96 |
0% |
89–105 |
88–108 |
86–111 |
83–116 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
138 |
95 |
0% |
88–102 |
86–104 |
85–106 |
81–110 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
120 |
95 |
0% |
88–102 |
86–104 |
85–106 |
81–109 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
108 |
95 |
0% |
88–102 |
86–104 |
85–106 |
81–110 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
90 |
95 |
0% |
88–102 |
86–104 |
85–106 |
81–109 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
137 |
86 |
0% |
79–95 |
77–98 |
76–101 |
73–106 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
119 |
86 |
0% |
79–95 |
77–98 |
76–101 |
73–106 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
117 |
85 |
0% |
78–91 |
76–93 |
75–95 |
71–99 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
99 |
84 |
0% |
78–91 |
76–93 |
75–95 |
71–98 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
87 |
85 |
0% |
78–91 |
76–93 |
75–95 |
71–99 |
Partidul Național Liberal |
69 |
84 |
0% |
78–91 |
76–93 |
75–95 |
71–98 |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
48 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
174 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
175 |
0% |
100% |
|
176 |
0% |
100% |
|
177 |
0% |
100% |
|
178 |
0% |
100% |
|
179 |
0% |
100% |
|
180 |
0% |
100% |
|
181 |
0% |
100% |
|
182 |
0% |
100% |
|
183 |
0% |
100% |
|
184 |
0% |
100% |
|
185 |
0% |
100% |
|
186 |
0% |
100% |
|
187 |
0% |
100% |
|
188 |
0% |
100% |
|
189 |
0% |
100% |
|
190 |
0% |
100% |
|
191 |
0% |
100% |
|
192 |
0% |
100% |
|
193 |
0% |
100% |
|
194 |
0% |
100% |
|
195 |
0% |
100% |
|
196 |
0% |
100% |
|
197 |
0% |
100% |
|
198 |
0% |
100% |
|
199 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
200 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
201 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
202 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
203 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
204 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
205 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
206 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
207 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
208 |
2% |
96% |
|
209 |
2% |
94% |
|
210 |
4% |
91% |
|
211 |
4% |
88% |
|
212 |
5% |
83% |
|
213 |
6% |
78% |
|
214 |
6% |
72% |
|
215 |
6% |
66% |
|
216 |
7% |
59% |
Median |
217 |
7% |
52% |
|
218 |
7% |
45% |
|
219 |
7% |
38% |
|
220 |
6% |
31% |
|
221 |
6% |
25% |
|
222 |
5% |
19% |
|
223 |
4% |
14% |
|
224 |
3% |
10% |
|
225 |
2% |
7% |
|
226 |
2% |
5% |
|
227 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
228 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
229 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
230 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
231 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
232 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
233 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
234 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
235 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
236 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
86 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
87 |
2% |
97% |
|
88 |
2% |
95% |
|
89 |
3% |
93% |
|
90 |
4% |
90% |
|
91 |
5% |
86% |
|
92 |
6% |
81% |
|
93 |
6% |
75% |
|
94 |
7% |
69% |
Median |
95 |
7% |
62% |
|
96 |
7% |
56% |
|
97 |
6% |
49% |
|
98 |
6% |
43% |
|
99 |
6% |
37% |
|
100 |
5% |
31% |
|
101 |
5% |
25% |
|
102 |
4% |
21% |
|
103 |
3% |
17% |
|
104 |
2% |
14% |
|
105 |
2% |
12% |
|
106 |
2% |
10% |
|
107 |
2% |
8% |
|
108 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
109 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
110 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
111 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
112 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
113 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
114 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
115 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
117 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
118 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
120 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
121 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
86 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
87 |
2% |
97% |
|
88 |
2% |
95% |
|
89 |
3% |
93% |
|
90 |
4% |
90% |
|
91 |
5% |
86% |
|
92 |
6% |
81% |
|
93 |
6% |
75% |
|
94 |
7% |
69% |
Median |
95 |
7% |
62% |
|
96 |
7% |
55% |
|
97 |
6% |
49% |
|
98 |
6% |
43% |
|
99 |
6% |
36% |
|
100 |
5% |
30% |
|
101 |
5% |
25% |
|
102 |
4% |
21% |
|
103 |
3% |
17% |
|
104 |
2% |
14% |
|
105 |
2% |
11% |
|
106 |
2% |
10% |
|
107 |
2% |
8% |
|
108 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
109 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
110 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
111 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
112 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
113 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
114 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
115 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
117 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
118 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
120 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
121 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
86 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
87 |
2% |
97% |
|
88 |
2% |
95% |
|
89 |
3% |
93% |
|
90 |
4% |
90% |
|
91 |
5% |
86% |
|
92 |
6% |
81% |
|
93 |
6% |
75% |
|
94 |
7% |
69% |
Median |
95 |
7% |
62% |
|
96 |
7% |
56% |
|
97 |
6% |
49% |
|
98 |
6% |
43% |
|
99 |
6% |
37% |
|
100 |
5% |
31% |
|
101 |
5% |
25% |
|
102 |
4% |
21% |
|
103 |
3% |
17% |
|
104 |
2% |
14% |
|
105 |
2% |
12% |
|
106 |
2% |
10% |
|
107 |
2% |
8% |
|
108 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
109 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
110 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
111 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
112 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
113 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
114 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
115 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
117 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
118 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
120 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
121 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
86 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
87 |
2% |
97% |
|
88 |
2% |
95% |
|
89 |
3% |
93% |
|
90 |
4% |
90% |
|
91 |
5% |
86% |
|
92 |
6% |
81% |
|
93 |
6% |
75% |
|
94 |
7% |
69% |
Median |
95 |
7% |
62% |
|
96 |
7% |
55% |
|
97 |
6% |
49% |
|
98 |
6% |
43% |
|
99 |
6% |
36% |
|
100 |
5% |
30% |
|
101 |
5% |
25% |
|
102 |
4% |
21% |
|
103 |
3% |
17% |
|
104 |
2% |
14% |
|
105 |
2% |
11% |
|
106 |
2% |
10% |
|
107 |
2% |
8% |
|
108 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
109 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
110 |
0.8% |
4% |
Last Result |
111 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
112 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
113 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
114 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
115 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
117 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
118 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
120 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
121 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
86 |
2% |
96% |
|
87 |
2% |
95% |
|
88 |
3% |
93% |
|
89 |
4% |
90% |
|
90 |
5% |
86% |
|
91 |
6% |
81% |
|
92 |
6% |
75% |
|
93 |
7% |
69% |
|
94 |
7% |
62% |
Median |
95 |
7% |
55% |
|
96 |
7% |
48% |
|
97 |
6% |
41% |
|
98 |
6% |
34% |
|
99 |
6% |
28% |
|
100 |
5% |
22% |
|
101 |
4% |
17% |
|
102 |
4% |
12% |
|
103 |
2% |
9% |
|
104 |
2% |
6% |
|
105 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
106 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
109 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
110 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
86 |
2% |
96% |
|
87 |
2% |
95% |
|
88 |
3% |
92% |
|
89 |
4% |
90% |
|
90 |
5% |
86% |
|
91 |
6% |
81% |
|
92 |
6% |
75% |
|
93 |
7% |
69% |
|
94 |
7% |
62% |
Median |
95 |
7% |
55% |
|
96 |
7% |
47% |
|
97 |
6% |
41% |
|
98 |
6% |
34% |
|
99 |
6% |
28% |
|
100 |
5% |
22% |
|
101 |
4% |
17% |
|
102 |
4% |
12% |
|
103 |
2% |
9% |
|
104 |
2% |
6% |
|
105 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
106 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
109 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
110 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
86 |
2% |
96% |
|
87 |
2% |
95% |
|
88 |
3% |
93% |
|
89 |
4% |
90% |
|
90 |
5% |
86% |
|
91 |
6% |
81% |
|
92 |
6% |
75% |
|
93 |
7% |
69% |
|
94 |
7% |
62% |
Median |
95 |
7% |
55% |
|
96 |
7% |
48% |
|
97 |
6% |
41% |
|
98 |
6% |
34% |
|
99 |
6% |
28% |
|
100 |
5% |
22% |
|
101 |
4% |
17% |
|
102 |
4% |
12% |
|
103 |
2% |
9% |
|
104 |
2% |
6% |
|
105 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
106 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
109 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
110 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
86 |
2% |
96% |
|
87 |
2% |
95% |
|
88 |
3% |
92% |
|
89 |
4% |
90% |
|
90 |
5% |
86% |
Last Result |
91 |
6% |
81% |
|
92 |
6% |
75% |
|
93 |
7% |
69% |
|
94 |
7% |
62% |
Median |
95 |
7% |
55% |
|
96 |
7% |
47% |
|
97 |
6% |
41% |
|
98 |
6% |
34% |
|
99 |
6% |
28% |
|
100 |
5% |
22% |
|
101 |
4% |
17% |
|
102 |
4% |
12% |
|
103 |
2% |
9% |
|
104 |
2% |
6% |
|
105 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
106 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
109 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
110 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
77 |
2% |
96% |
|
78 |
2% |
94% |
|
79 |
3% |
92% |
|
80 |
5% |
89% |
|
81 |
5% |
83% |
|
82 |
6% |
79% |
|
83 |
7% |
72% |
|
84 |
8% |
65% |
Median |
85 |
7% |
58% |
|
86 |
6% |
51% |
|
87 |
7% |
45% |
|
88 |
5% |
37% |
|
89 |
6% |
33% |
|
90 |
4% |
26% |
|
91 |
4% |
22% |
|
92 |
3% |
18% |
|
93 |
2% |
15% |
|
94 |
2% |
13% |
|
95 |
1.4% |
10% |
|
96 |
2% |
9% |
|
97 |
1.4% |
8% |
|
98 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
99 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
100 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
101 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
105 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
77 |
2% |
96% |
|
78 |
2% |
94% |
|
79 |
3% |
92% |
|
80 |
5% |
89% |
|
81 |
5% |
83% |
|
82 |
6% |
78% |
|
83 |
7% |
72% |
|
84 |
8% |
65% |
Median |
85 |
7% |
58% |
|
86 |
6% |
51% |
|
87 |
7% |
45% |
|
88 |
5% |
37% |
|
89 |
6% |
32% |
|
90 |
4% |
26% |
|
91 |
4% |
22% |
|
92 |
3% |
18% |
|
93 |
2% |
15% |
|
94 |
2% |
13% |
|
95 |
1.4% |
10% |
|
96 |
1.5% |
9% |
|
97 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
98 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
99 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
100 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
101 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
105 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
76 |
2% |
96% |
|
77 |
3% |
95% |
|
78 |
3% |
92% |
|
79 |
4% |
89% |
|
80 |
6% |
85% |
|
81 |
6% |
79% |
|
82 |
7% |
73% |
|
83 |
7% |
66% |
|
84 |
8% |
58% |
Median |
85 |
7% |
50% |
|
86 |
7% |
43% |
|
87 |
8% |
36% |
|
88 |
5% |
29% |
|
89 |
6% |
24% |
|
90 |
4% |
18% |
|
91 |
4% |
14% |
|
92 |
3% |
10% |
|
93 |
2% |
7% |
|
94 |
2% |
5% |
|
95 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
96 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
76 |
2% |
96% |
|
77 |
3% |
95% |
|
78 |
3% |
92% |
|
79 |
4% |
88% |
|
80 |
6% |
85% |
|
81 |
6% |
79% |
|
82 |
7% |
73% |
|
83 |
7% |
66% |
|
84 |
8% |
58% |
Median |
85 |
7% |
50% |
|
86 |
7% |
43% |
|
87 |
8% |
36% |
|
88 |
5% |
29% |
|
89 |
6% |
24% |
|
90 |
4% |
17% |
|
91 |
4% |
13% |
|
92 |
3% |
10% |
|
93 |
2% |
7% |
|
94 |
2% |
5% |
|
95 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
96 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
100 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
76 |
2% |
96% |
|
77 |
3% |
95% |
|
78 |
3% |
92% |
|
79 |
4% |
89% |
|
80 |
6% |
85% |
|
81 |
6% |
79% |
|
82 |
7% |
73% |
|
83 |
7% |
66% |
|
84 |
8% |
58% |
Median |
85 |
7% |
50% |
|
86 |
7% |
43% |
|
87 |
8% |
36% |
Last Result |
88 |
5% |
29% |
|
89 |
6% |
24% |
|
90 |
4% |
18% |
|
91 |
4% |
14% |
|
92 |
3% |
10% |
|
93 |
2% |
7% |
|
94 |
2% |
5% |
|
95 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
96 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
76 |
2% |
96% |
|
77 |
3% |
95% |
|
78 |
3% |
92% |
|
79 |
4% |
88% |
|
80 |
6% |
85% |
|
81 |
6% |
79% |
|
82 |
7% |
73% |
|
83 |
7% |
66% |
|
84 |
8% |
58% |
Median |
85 |
7% |
50% |
|
86 |
7% |
43% |
|
87 |
8% |
36% |
|
88 |
5% |
29% |
|
89 |
6% |
24% |
|
90 |
4% |
17% |
|
91 |
4% |
13% |
|
92 |
3% |
10% |
|
93 |
2% |
7% |
|
94 |
2% |
5% |
|
95 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
96 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sociopol
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22 September–5 October 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 873
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.63%