Opinion Poll by CURS for STIRIPESURSE.RO, 1–30 November 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat | 45.5% | 43.0% | 41.1–45.0% | 40.5–45.5% | 40.1–46.0% | 39.2–47.0% | 
| Partidul Național Liberal | 20.0% | 27.0% | 25.3–28.8% | 24.8–29.3% | 24.4–29.7% | 23.6–30.6% | 
| Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.0–10.2% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 7.0–11.5% | 
| Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% | 
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% | 
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 8.9% | 5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.5–6.9% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat | 154 | 148 | 141–155 | 140–158 | 138–160 | 135–165 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal | 69 | 93 | 87–99 | 85–101 | 84–103 | 81–107 | 
| Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților | 20 | 31 | 27–35 | 26–36 | 25–37 | 24–39 | 
| Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 21 | 20 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 16–26 | 15–28 | 
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 18 | 20 | 17–24 | 0–25 | 0–26 | 0–27 | 
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 138 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 139 | 2% | 97% | |
| 140 | 2% | 95% | |
| 141 | 3% | 93% | |
| 142 | 4% | 90% | |
| 143 | 4% | 86% | |
| 144 | 8% | 82% | |
| 145 | 6% | 74% | |
| 146 | 7% | 68% | |
| 147 | 8% | 62% | |
| 148 | 7% | 53% | Median | 
| 149 | 8% | 46% | |
| 150 | 6% | 39% | |
| 151 | 6% | 32% | |
| 152 | 7% | 26% | |
| 153 | 4% | 20% | |
| 154 | 3% | 16% | Last Result | 
| 155 | 3% | 13% | |
| 156 | 2% | 10% | |
| 157 | 2% | 8% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 159 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 160 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 0.7% | Majority | 
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | |
| 86 | 3% | 94% | |
| 87 | 4% | 91% | |
| 88 | 5% | 87% | |
| 89 | 5% | 82% | |
| 90 | 8% | 77% | |
| 91 | 7% | 69% | |
| 92 | 8% | 62% | |
| 93 | 9% | 53% | Median | 
| 94 | 8% | 44% | |
| 95 | 6% | 36% | |
| 96 | 7% | 30% | |
| 97 | 6% | 23% | |
| 98 | 4% | 17% | |
| 99 | 4% | 13% | |
| 100 | 3% | 9% | |
| 101 | 2% | 6% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 26 | 4% | 97% | |
| 27 | 6% | 93% | |
| 28 | 9% | 86% | |
| 29 | 11% | 77% | |
| 30 | 13% | 66% | |
| 31 | 14% | 53% | Median | 
| 32 | 11% | 39% | |
| 33 | 9% | 28% | |
| 34 | 7% | 19% | |
| 35 | 5% | 12% | |
| 36 | 4% | 7% | |
| 37 | 2% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | 
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 3% | 98% | |
| 17 | 7% | 95% | |
| 18 | 10% | 88% | |
| 19 | 14% | 78% | |
| 20 | 17% | 63% | Median | 
| 21 | 14% | 47% | Last Result | 
| 22 | 11% | 33% | |
| 23 | 9% | 22% | |
| 24 | 6% | 12% | |
| 25 | 3% | 6% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Mișcarea Populară
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 94% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 0% | 94% | |
| 8 | 0% | 94% | |
| 9 | 0% | 94% | |
| 10 | 0% | 94% | |
| 11 | 0% | 94% | |
| 12 | 0% | 94% | |
| 13 | 0% | 94% | |
| 14 | 0% | 94% | |
| 15 | 0% | 94% | |
| 16 | 0% | 94% | |
| 17 | 6% | 94% | |
| 18 | 10% | 88% | Last Result | 
| 19 | 14% | 78% | |
| 20 | 17% | 63% | Median | 
| 21 | 14% | 47% | |
| 22 | 13% | 33% | |
| 23 | 9% | 20% | |
| 24 | 6% | 11% | |
| 25 | 3% | 6% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | 
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median | 
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților | 174 | 179 | 99.7% | 172–186 | 170–189 | 169–192 | 166–198 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 158 | 164 | 47% | 157–171 | 154–172 | 152–174 | 147–177 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 128 | 164 | 47% | 157–171 | 154–172 | 152–174 | 147–177 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 140 | 144 | 0.1% | 137–151 | 136–154 | 134–156 | 131–161 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 110 | 144 | 0.1% | 137–151 | 136–154 | 134–156 | 131–161 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 137 | 144 | 0% | 136–150 | 133–152 | 130–154 | 125–157 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 138 | 133 | 0% | 126–140 | 123–142 | 120–143 | 114–146 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 108 | 133 | 0% | 126–140 | 123–142 | 120–143 | 114–146 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 119 | 124 | 0% | 117–131 | 115–133 | 114–135 | 111–139 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 120 | 113 | 0% | 107–120 | 105–122 | 104–124 | 101–129 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 90 | 113 | 0% | 107–120 | 105–122 | 104–124 | 101–129 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 117 | 113 | 0% | 105–119 | 102–121 | 98–123 | 92–126 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 87 | 113 | 0% | 105–119 | 102–121 | 98–123 | 92–126 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 99 | 93 | 0% | 87–99 | 85–101 | 84–103 | 81–107 | 
| Partidul Național Liberal | 69 | 93 | 0% | 87–99 | 85–101 | 84–103 | 81–107 | 
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 48 | 20 | 0% | 17–24 | 0–25 | 0–26 | 0–27 | 
Partidul Social Democrat – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Majority | 
| 166 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 167 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 168 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 169 | 2% | 98% | |
| 170 | 2% | 96% | |
| 171 | 2% | 95% | |
| 172 | 4% | 92% | |
| 173 | 4% | 88% | |
| 174 | 5% | 84% | Last Result | 
| 175 | 6% | 80% | |
| 176 | 7% | 73% | |
| 177 | 7% | 67% | |
| 178 | 8% | 60% | |
| 179 | 9% | 52% | Median | 
| 180 | 6% | 43% | |
| 181 | 7% | 37% | |
| 182 | 6% | 30% | |
| 183 | 5% | 24% | |
| 184 | 3% | 19% | |
| 185 | 3% | 16% | |
| 186 | 3% | 12% | |
| 187 | 2% | 9% | |
| 188 | 2% | 8% | |
| 189 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 190 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 191 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 192 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 193 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 154 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 155 | 2% | 95% | |
| 156 | 2% | 92% | |
| 157 | 3% | 90% | |
| 158 | 3% | 87% | Last Result | 
| 159 | 4% | 84% | |
| 160 | 7% | 80% | |
| 161 | 6% | 74% | |
| 162 | 6% | 68% | |
| 163 | 8% | 61% | |
| 164 | 7% | 54% | Median | 
| 165 | 8% | 47% | Majority | 
| 166 | 7% | 38% | |
| 167 | 6% | 32% | |
| 168 | 8% | 26% | |
| 169 | 4% | 18% | |
| 170 | 4% | 14% | |
| 171 | 3% | 10% | |
| 172 | 2% | 7% | |
| 173 | 2% | 5% | |
| 174 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 175 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 176 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 177 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 154 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 155 | 2% | 95% | |
| 156 | 2% | 92% | |
| 157 | 3% | 90% | |
| 158 | 3% | 87% | |
| 159 | 4% | 84% | |
| 160 | 7% | 80% | |
| 161 | 6% | 74% | |
| 162 | 6% | 68% | |
| 163 | 8% | 61% | |
| 164 | 7% | 54% | Median | 
| 165 | 8% | 47% | Majority | 
| 166 | 7% | 38% | |
| 167 | 6% | 32% | |
| 168 | 8% | 26% | |
| 169 | 4% | 18% | |
| 170 | 4% | 14% | |
| 171 | 3% | 10% | |
| 172 | 2% | 7% | |
| 173 | 2% | 5% | |
| 174 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 175 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 176 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 177 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 134 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 97% | |
| 136 | 2% | 95% | |
| 137 | 3% | 93% | |
| 138 | 4% | 90% | |
| 139 | 5% | 86% | |
| 140 | 5% | 81% | Last Result | 
| 141 | 7% | 75% | |
| 142 | 7% | 69% | |
| 143 | 8% | 62% | |
| 144 | 8% | 54% | Median | 
| 145 | 7% | 47% | |
| 146 | 7% | 39% | |
| 147 | 6% | 33% | |
| 148 | 6% | 27% | |
| 149 | 4% | 21% | |
| 150 | 4% | 17% | |
| 151 | 3% | 12% | |
| 152 | 2% | 10% | |
| 153 | 2% | 7% | |
| 154 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 156 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority | 
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 134 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 97% | |
| 136 | 2% | 95% | |
| 137 | 3% | 93% | |
| 138 | 4% | 90% | |
| 139 | 5% | 86% | |
| 140 | 5% | 81% | |
| 141 | 7% | 75% | |
| 142 | 7% | 69% | |
| 143 | 8% | 62% | |
| 144 | 8% | 54% | Median | 
| 145 | 7% | 47% | |
| 146 | 7% | 39% | |
| 147 | 6% | 33% | |
| 148 | 6% | 27% | |
| 149 | 4% | 21% | |
| 150 | 4% | 17% | |
| 151 | 3% | 12% | |
| 152 | 2% | 10% | |
| 153 | 2% | 7% | |
| 154 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 156 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority | 
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 132 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 133 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 134 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 135 | 2% | 93% | |
| 136 | 3% | 91% | |
| 137 | 3% | 89% | Last Result | 
| 138 | 3% | 86% | |
| 139 | 5% | 82% | |
| 140 | 6% | 78% | |
| 141 | 6% | 72% | |
| 142 | 8% | 66% | |
| 143 | 7% | 58% | |
| 144 | 7% | 50% | Median | 
| 145 | 7% | 43% | |
| 146 | 7% | 36% | |
| 147 | 7% | 29% | |
| 148 | 5% | 23% | |
| 149 | 5% | 18% | |
| 150 | 4% | 13% | |
| 151 | 2% | 9% | |
| 152 | 2% | 6% | |
| 153 | 2% | 4% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 122 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 123 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 124 | 2% | 94% | |
| 125 | 2% | 92% | |
| 126 | 3% | 91% | |
| 127 | 3% | 88% | |
| 128 | 3% | 84% | |
| 129 | 5% | 81% | |
| 130 | 6% | 76% | |
| 131 | 7% | 70% | |
| 132 | 6% | 63% | |
| 133 | 9% | 57% | Median | 
| 134 | 8% | 48% | |
| 135 | 7% | 40% | |
| 136 | 7% | 33% | |
| 137 | 6% | 27% | |
| 138 | 5% | 20% | Last Result | 
| 139 | 4% | 16% | |
| 140 | 4% | 12% | |
| 141 | 2% | 8% | |
| 142 | 2% | 5% | |
| 143 | 2% | 4% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 122 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 123 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 124 | 2% | 94% | |
| 125 | 2% | 92% | |
| 126 | 3% | 91% | |
| 127 | 3% | 88% | |
| 128 | 3% | 84% | |
| 129 | 5% | 81% | |
| 130 | 6% | 76% | |
| 131 | 7% | 70% | |
| 132 | 6% | 63% | |
| 133 | 9% | 57% | Median | 
| 134 | 8% | 48% | |
| 135 | 7% | 40% | |
| 136 | 7% | 33% | |
| 137 | 6% | 27% | |
| 138 | 5% | 20% | |
| 139 | 4% | 16% | |
| 140 | 4% | 12% | |
| 141 | 2% | 8% | |
| 142 | 2% | 5% | |
| 143 | 2% | 4% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 114 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 115 | 2% | 97% | |
| 116 | 2% | 95% | |
| 117 | 4% | 92% | |
| 118 | 4% | 89% | |
| 119 | 5% | 85% | Last Result | 
| 120 | 6% | 79% | |
| 121 | 6% | 73% | |
| 122 | 8% | 67% | |
| 123 | 8% | 59% | |
| 124 | 7% | 51% | Median | 
| 125 | 7% | 43% | |
| 126 | 7% | 36% | |
| 127 | 6% | 30% | |
| 128 | 6% | 24% | |
| 129 | 4% | 18% | |
| 130 | 3% | 14% | |
| 131 | 3% | 10% | |
| 132 | 2% | 8% | |
| 133 | 2% | 6% | |
| 134 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 136 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 104 | 2% | 98% | |
| 105 | 2% | 96% | |
| 106 | 3% | 95% | |
| 107 | 4% | 92% | |
| 108 | 4% | 88% | |
| 109 | 6% | 84% | |
| 110 | 6% | 77% | |
| 111 | 7% | 71% | |
| 112 | 10% | 65% | |
| 113 | 7% | 55% | Median | 
| 114 | 7% | 48% | |
| 115 | 8% | 41% | |
| 116 | 6% | 33% | |
| 117 | 6% | 27% | |
| 118 | 6% | 22% | |
| 119 | 3% | 16% | |
| 120 | 4% | 13% | Last Result | 
| 121 | 3% | 9% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 123 | 2% | 5% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 125 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 126 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 104 | 2% | 98% | |
| 105 | 2% | 96% | |
| 106 | 3% | 95% | |
| 107 | 4% | 92% | |
| 108 | 4% | 88% | |
| 109 | 6% | 84% | |
| 110 | 6% | 77% | |
| 111 | 7% | 71% | |
| 112 | 10% | 65% | |
| 113 | 7% | 55% | Median | 
| 114 | 7% | 48% | |
| 115 | 8% | 41% | |
| 116 | 6% | 33% | |
| 117 | 6% | 27% | |
| 118 | 6% | 22% | |
| 119 | 3% | 16% | |
| 120 | 4% | 13% | |
| 121 | 3% | 9% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 123 | 2% | 5% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 125 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 126 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 104 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 105 | 2% | 92% | |
| 106 | 3% | 90% | |
| 107 | 3% | 87% | |
| 108 | 4% | 84% | |
| 109 | 5% | 79% | |
| 110 | 7% | 74% | |
| 111 | 6% | 68% | |
| 112 | 8% | 62% | |
| 113 | 7% | 53% | Median | 
| 114 | 8% | 46% | |
| 115 | 7% | 37% | |
| 116 | 6% | 31% | |
| 117 | 6% | 24% | Last Result | 
| 118 | 4% | 18% | |
| 119 | 4% | 13% | |
| 120 | 3% | 9% | |
| 121 | 2% | 6% | |
| 122 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 104 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 105 | 2% | 92% | |
| 106 | 3% | 90% | |
| 107 | 3% | 87% | |
| 108 | 4% | 84% | |
| 109 | 5% | 79% | |
| 110 | 7% | 74% | |
| 111 | 6% | 68% | |
| 112 | 8% | 62% | |
| 113 | 7% | 53% | Median | 
| 114 | 8% | 46% | |
| 115 | 7% | 37% | |
| 116 | 6% | 31% | |
| 117 | 6% | 24% | |
| 118 | 4% | 18% | |
| 119 | 4% | 13% | |
| 120 | 3% | 9% | |
| 121 | 2% | 6% | |
| 122 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | |
| 86 | 3% | 94% | |
| 87 | 4% | 91% | |
| 88 | 5% | 87% | |
| 89 | 5% | 82% | |
| 90 | 8% | 77% | |
| 91 | 7% | 69% | |
| 92 | 8% | 62% | |
| 93 | 9% | 53% | Median | 
| 94 | 8% | 45% | |
| 95 | 6% | 36% | |
| 96 | 7% | 30% | |
| 97 | 6% | 23% | |
| 98 | 4% | 17% | |
| 99 | 4% | 13% | Last Result | 
| 100 | 3% | 9% | |
| 101 | 2% | 6% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Național Liberal

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | |
| 86 | 3% | 94% | |
| 87 | 4% | 91% | |
| 88 | 5% | 87% | |
| 89 | 5% | 82% | |
| 90 | 8% | 77% | |
| 91 | 7% | 69% | |
| 92 | 8% | 62% | |
| 93 | 9% | 53% | Median | 
| 94 | 8% | 44% | |
| 95 | 6% | 36% | |
| 96 | 7% | 30% | |
| 97 | 6% | 23% | |
| 98 | 4% | 17% | |
| 99 | 4% | 13% | |
| 100 | 3% | 9% | |
| 101 | 2% | 6% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | 
Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 94% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 0% | 94% | |
| 8 | 0% | 94% | |
| 9 | 0% | 94% | |
| 10 | 0% | 94% | |
| 11 | 0% | 94% | |
| 12 | 0% | 94% | |
| 13 | 0% | 94% | |
| 14 | 0% | 94% | |
| 15 | 0% | 94% | |
| 16 | 0% | 94% | |
| 17 | 6% | 94% | |
| 18 | 10% | 88% | |
| 19 | 14% | 78% | |
| 20 | 17% | 63% | Median | 
| 21 | 14% | 47% | |
| 22 | 13% | 33% | |
| 23 | 9% | 20% | |
| 24 | 6% | 11% | |
| 25 | 3% | 6% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: CURS
- Commissioner(s): STIRIPESURSE.RO
- Fieldwork period: 1–30 November 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1067
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.87%